Denis Ginnivan

Politics & community matter. Director @VoicesForAU project. Adjunct Associate Professor @ LaTrobe Uni. Director, @Events_Matter. @TotalRenewYack ambassador

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Hey, you call that a campaign vehicle? This is a campaign vehicle!
No head in the clouds, nor blinded by big money. Rural people in #Farrer know the difference. Community not corporate; community not party chaos, nor big egos #⁦@VoicesForAU⁩ ⁦@adropex⁩

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Great to catch up with Michelle Milthorpe and team in Albury last night. #FarrerVotes. Heading to Deniliquin doorknocking and exciting campaign event over weekend. Meeting people of good heart seeking positive political representation ⁦@adropex⁩ @KristenLock1@VoicesForAU

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Great day out at Corowa yesterday. #Farrervotes Michelle Milthorpe with community and volunteer engagement. Getting the truck glammed up for online presence in this its sixth federal campaign!#moretocome ⁦@adropex⁩ @KristenLock1 @Carolyn Hendriks ⁦@VoicesForAU⁩

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Such a successful and engaging Michelle Milthorpe community campaign event in Corowa today. Great day for community politics! @KristenLock1 ⁦@adropex⁩ ⁦@WeAreFarrer⁩ @VoicesForAU #moretocome

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

The Corowa band is growing exponentially for Michelle Milthorpe for Farrer @KristenLock1 ⁦@adropex⁩ @VoicesForAU

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

All happening at Corowa this morning! #michellemilthorpe4Farrer Welcoming campaign music, speech from Michelle at 10.30 ⁦@adropex⁩ ⁦@VoicesForAU⁩

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

#MSM It misrepresents local communities to deliberately/ignorantly not recognise the voluntary hard work of Voices groups seeking to improve engagement, participation in our democracy. Why not acknowledge this @insiders @KristenLock1 @adropex @VoicesForAU

['Voices For' Australia @VoicesForAU]

Hey #MSM with respect can we call community independents / candidates who they are? They emerge from a grassroots community identification process. There is no teal party /donor setting voting; are accountable to their own community; have multiple donors, not one. @KristenLock1

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Such a great night in Wangaratta. Community forum on housing, Est. 200 attending. Hosted by federal ‘Voices for Indi’ and state ‘Voices of Benambra’ ⁦@helenhainesindi⁩ ⁦@VoicesForAU⁩ #Sold ⁦@KristenLock1⁩ ⁦@adropex⁩ Repeat event in Wodonga tonight

[Helen Haines MP @helenhainesindi]

@TonyHWindsor @michelle4farrer Agree Tony. @michelle4farrer clearly understands that a one size fits all national policy is not serving country people. She is not part of the tired power struggle of the coalition nor an outrager from ON. Michelle would be a brilliant Member for Farrer

[Tony Windsor @TonyHWindsor]

Listened to the Independent candidate for the seat of Farrer @michelle4farrer on Radio National.Very impressive advocate for regional issues and brave enough to discuss immigration and country needs.
I wish her well we need people who genuinely care for their community.

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Fascination reading about new paradigm voting @KristenLock1 @adropex @VoicesForAU

[Kos Samaras @KosSamaras]

The New Swing Voter: Someone Switching Within Their Side

Bloc voting (or bloc politics) is when voters don’t really “cross the aisle” anymore. They move within an ideological political ecosytem, a progressive bloc (Labor/Greens/Teals/left-leaning independents and minors) and a conservative bloc (Coalition/One Nation and right-leaning minors). Switching mostly happens inside the bloc, not between blocs. There is some switching between blocks but it’s no longer the main game.

We at RedBridge have been socialising this trend since 2022. It’s why Labor was able to win with a record low primary. It’s why the old story, that elections are decided by a persuadable “median voter”, swayed by leaders, campaign stunts, or the loudest political commentators on social media, is increasingly nostalgia.

This is supercharged by Millennials and Gen Z, who are more psychologically sorted, more values-anchored, and far less tolerant of “preference borrowing” across the divide. But we’re now seeing the same sorting dynamics creep into Gen X: Liberal voting Gen X men drifting deeper into the right ecosystem (towards One Nation), and Labor leaning Gen X leaking into the left ecosystem (Greens, independents, minor parties). The movement isn’t left or right, it’s increasingly within tribe.

Ben Ansell nails the strategic implication whilst writing about this trend in the UK. The main campaign objective is bloc management, hold your coalition together, win back your “don’t knows”, and force the contest onto issues your side can actually unite around. If you choose the wrong battleground, you don’t just lose swing voters, you trigger internal defections. These defections hurt because both major parties now have a structural problem with their base, so losing too many within the bloc can allow your opponent to take advantage of that if they succeed in keeping their primary vote stable.

Bottom line is the age of “one speech to win the middle” is fading. The age of coalition discipline and bloc strategy is already here.

Link to Ben’s yarn in the thread.

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

@VoicesForAU account is moving over to Blue Sky
May see you there?

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Ok, I am moving my caravan over to BlueSky. May see you there?

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Hear, hear!

[Peter Murphy @PeterWMurphy1]

Dear @TonyHWindsor,
cc @Peter_Fitz
Srsly, if THIS 👇 doesn't win Political Tweet of the Year 2025, I will be very disappointed. This is the best tweet I've read in ages. 😂 #auspol #BarnabyJoyce #Nationals

[Peter Murphy @PeterWMurphy1]

Dear @TonyHWindsor,
cc @Peter_Fitz
Srsly, if THIS 👇 doesn't win Political Tweet of the Year 2025, I will be very disappointed. This is the best tweet I've read in ages. 😂 #auspol #BarnabyJoyce #Nationals

[Kristen Lock @KristenLock1]

This is quiet unpaid personal investment of Australians valuing the democracy gift and its unique architecture that gives us all such potential for agency.
#LoveAusDemocracy

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

A privilege for ⁦@VoicesForAU⁩ to present, be at this inspiring Perth gathering of 8 federal WA electorate community Voices groups.The people ARE into politics.Sharing, networking, strategizing, having fun ⁦@adropex⁩ ⁦@KristenLock1⁩ ⁦@WaVoices⁩ #moretocome

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Thank, South Perth, for last night’s opportunity to discuss the rise of community engagement, strategy and action in our politics. There is definitely more to come!! ⁦@VoicesForAU⁩ ⁦@WaVoices⁩ ⁦@adropex⁩ ⁦@KristenLock1⁩

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Important to ‘own’ your personal politics .. this is powerful @adropex @KristenLock1 @VoicesForAU
https://t.co/m9uuJJBv96

[Denis Ginnivan @dginnivan]

Great Britain lion is waking up to damage negative approach to politics of Brexit has caused their politics and their country
@VoicesForAU @adropex @KristenLock1
https://t.co/aCbVK7TUxH