@dmartkc He says “I have been worried about AI takeover since I was 16” and his post boils down to: my greatest fear has an increasingly good chance of becoming reality.
Fear isn’t probabilistic. It’s emotional.
I've summarized where things stand at the AI frontier:
- Unreleased models (Anthropic's Models 3 and 4) are now half-way between AI2027's Agents-1 and 2 (graphs fixed for the bug flagged by the AI2027 authors). @DKokotajlo please let me know if I missed something.
- We're right on track with AI2027's prediction of an automated coder (AC) for April 2027, wild. Public models are now massively lagging unreleased models (1 day vs. 1 week of autonomous high-quality work). Fuelled by RSI, the gap is huge and growing.
- This trajectory, if continued, means a world-changing intelligence explosion in 2027, so the public needs to know. I highly recommend reading more on the topic to grasp what's coming.
Nice DeepSWE score! Does it survive a lowercase filename?
Introducing MaxxBench: 89 DeepSWE tasks with small changes to the instructions or starting code. Same engineering problem, slightly different requirement.
Models clustered around 74% on DeepSWE end up 23 pp apart.
Good at coding, or good at DeepSWE? 🧵
This report shares our three subjective conclusions about risk:
1. We believe that, as of Oct 2026, the pace of capability growth on well-specified tasks is likely about 2x what it was from Mar 2024 to Oct 2025. We’re highly uncertain and would not be surprised by 1.3x–3x.
@SamMendelsohnW6 Spot on. You have to both give it clear instructions on your goal and clear success criteria that it can measure as a pass/fail.
That’s how graph engineering works for code, and I assume the same can be done with other types of tasks.
🚨 BREAKING: Hackers are hitting the world's money system in 7 places at the same time.
This is what Covid looked like in week 1. A few banks. A few apps. Nobody called it a crisis.
1/ France: more than €118 million (about $133 million) was pulled out of Crédit Mutuel Arkéa over several days and turned into crypto. Today its app was down and EVERY transfer was blocked. The bank says customers lose nothing.
2/ Belgium: on October 28, the federal finance ministry said a cyberattack hit it. The online tax portal was SHUT and tax deadlines will be pushed back.
3/ Eurozone: on October 22, the European Central Bank, the bank behind the euro, confirmed that attackers planted malware on one of its websites.
4/ South Korea: at least 9 banks targeted since late September by an attacker using an AI hacking agent. At Shinhan Bank alone, about 25,000 customers had their names, phone numbers, incomes and loan limits exposed.
5/ Japan: hackers broke into GMO Internet and demanded $50 million in crypto. The prime minister promised an emergency anti-cyberattack package.
6/ At least 14 countries: China-linked hackers used AI agents to attack 200+ organisations in just 11 days. Finance was on the target list.
7/ Crypto: more than $6 billion drained from Binance hot wallets on 11 blockchains on October 29, most of it in about 30 minutes. The FBI says North Korea did it.
Now zoom out.
Hackers now send AI agents to do the work. The French money left over several days before the bank confirmed anything. Fake IDs passed the crypto exchanges' checks. About $63 million in stablecoins became 27,553 Ether in 4 hours. Part of it vanished into Monero, a coin built to hide who sends and who receives.
Covid locked the streets. This time the lock is on the bank app, and €118 million is already gone. Nobody is calling this a crisis yet. But central bankers already plan for the day the hackers get in.
The G7 agreed to run drills that simulate AI attacks on banks. The ECB gave eurozone banks until October 31 to hand in AI cyber defence plans. And last month the IMF chief warned we may end up with "lots of people with shoeboxes under their beds."
We confirm every attack on banks and exchanges before we post it. Follow for the next confirmed case, and share this with anyone whose salary lands in a bank account.
‼️Breaking - French Bank Crédit Mutuel Arkéa Confirms Cyberattack Amid Reports of $133 Million Theft
Details: https://t.co/gCijqC0U2R
French banking group Crédit Mutuel Arkéa has confirmed a cyberattack that enabled fraudulent transactions, following reports linking the institution to cryptocurrency theft exceeding $133 million.
The bank says the incident is contained, operations are gradually resuming, and customer assets remain unaffected. It has not confirmed the reported loss figure.
The group notified regulatory and supervisory authorities after detecting the attack. Teams temporarily suspended certain transactions to prevent further fraud while checking systems and adding security measures.
According to its statement, customers experienced delays involving some transfers, but their funds remain protected.
#CyberSecurity #cybersecurityNews
This is f*cking insane. OpenAI co-founder and former chief scientist Ilya Sutskever just described the future he doesn't like:
"Maybe every person will have an AI that does their bidding. It earns money for them, advocates for their needs, then writes a little report: here's what I've done
The person says great, keep it up. But the person is no longer a participant"
His only way out of it: people becoming part AI, through something like Neuralink++. And he admits he doesn't like that either
In this 1.5-hour interview, he explains why almost nobody can feel what's coming until it's already here
AI → Agents → AIs That Earn For You → Humans Who Are No Longer Participants
The way to stay a participant: learn to run the agents yourself, instead of just reading their reports
Worth more than any $4,000 AI course
Bookmark it and watch it tonight
Then read how to build agents you actually stay in charge of in the harness engineering guide below ↓
Our security researchers built an autonomous cyber vulnerability discovery, exploitation, and patching pipeline.
In a single run with an upcoming cyber model, it validated and generated patches for 948 local privilege escalation vulnerabilities in the Linux kernel at a total API cost of $1.2 million.
@peterrhague you got one part wrong, in my opinion. Bickering is at its max when you have a divided house and senate where all votes are very close. With an overwhelming majority in both branches of government, Team Trump is facing 2 years of prosecution, not infighting.
i've reproduced the results from the MIT blog post today on weight-space programming. but one additional result i have to add: this is a new, step-change emerging capability that's appeared in just the latest set of models.
We asked GPT-6 Astra to edit Qwen3.5-0.8B weights to improve math.
It directly changed only 0.016% of weights, fixing 0.8B's reasoning loops & improving math up to 6x and even instruction following 3x, without gradients or training.
We call this Weight-Space Programming: frontier LLMs can now natively read/write neural network weights! 🧵
Blog: https://t.co/bOWCcFhCVq
@morganlinton@VulcanBench Wow. Interesting to see how Terra holds efficiency even when its performance peaks on Max.
Curious how it would compare to Sonnet 5.5
@jarrodhoopsevo@theDAHTcom@Jason Its not a single hacker making a single attack. If the capability to crack encryption becomes real, lots of attacks will go after lots of targets, and bitcoin would 100% be one of them