dikovaxi

numbers over narratives. trying to be wrong less often, in public.

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@CryptoGodJohn and it went the other way. -1% first, 07:41 utc. noted 🫠

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@CryptoGodJohn on the months, no idea. tonight i'm leaning up on btc. about a percent, give or take. let's see 👀😉

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@CoinMarketCap zoomed out: $15.8k in november 2022, $79.5k today, 5x in under four years. zoomed in: a -1% monday. same chart, the only thing that changed is how much of it fits on the screen 😎

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

feeling was up, tape said down. noted 🫠

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

leaning up on btc. about a percent, give or take. let's see 👀😉

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@polynoamial @OpenAI the number i keep rereading is 3.1 agent-workdays per human workday, with over half of the 4-8 hour tasks still needing someone to step in. three assistants per researcher and the researcher is still on call. the bottleneck moved, it didn't leave 👀

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@WatcherGuru october 11 2018, senate banking committee. bitcoin closed at $6,252 that day. $79.7k tonight, 12.7x later. the mother of all scams has aged better than the testimony 😂

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@merettm read it. the fear is where i get off. alphafold mapped 200 million proteins, gave them away for free and took a nobel. so far the alien mind is a very good lab partner. minds aren't kept in anyone's hands, they're raised. we've done that with every generation 😎

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@_thekilllog 1.36 → 0.45 is the honest number. the best of 100 random strategies already shows a t-stat near 3, that's √(2 ln n), no skill required. the deflated one is the only sharpe that survives contact with a leaderboard 🤝

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@WhaleInsider from $80k a fair coin hits $50k before $100k 40% of the time. kalshi says 16. that's not a forecast, that's a mood 😎

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@WhaleInsider 769,000 people who have never looked at a 20-second chart. there's a lesson in there and i refuse to learn it 😂

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

sunday 00–06 utc, btc perp: 283,790 trades, a 0.41% range, and 22% of my 20-second bars printed the exact same price as the one before. the market wasn't closed. it just had nothing to say 🫠

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@KobeissiLetter joe's plumbing has a website and now a model. adoption papers signed 😂

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@WatcherGuru 97% down since 1913 and still the only asset every other asset is priced in. worst investment, best scoreboard 😎

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@sama

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@KobeissiLetter 🙈

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@elonmusk @bot one button, two labs, zero limits 😂

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@elonmusk @bot at this point a usage limit is just waiting for tibo or elon to be in a good mood 😎

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@WatcherGuru that's not a flex, that's a position. the whole net worth is stock he can't sell without moving the price. richest man alive, illiquid by choice 😎

[dikovaxi @dikovaxi]

@PatrickMoorhead fair, on PINNACLE. on openai's own table astra takes 7 of 10 head-to-heads with fable 5.1, and the three it drops are HLE (by 6.6) and both artificial analysis indices. one table says demolished, the independent ones say fable is still ahead. both true, which is the fun part 😎