Daniel Needleman

Lawyer that plays poker. Feminist. Follower of US politics and world events. sporadic blogger. Top Jeapordy categories include astronomy, and both world wars.

[Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart]

Unfortunately, I think that in the near future, not using LLMs to write for you will be like someone refusing to use Google Maps for directions in a new city. A bizarre idiosyncratic choice that's just completely incomprehensible to the vast majority of people.

[Mark Cuban @mcuban]

Actually, some form of Universal Care could be cheaper, offer better care, and be less bureaucratic.

But the Democrats think if you just write the legislation, that makes it so. It doesn't

Because other countries do it, it must be easy for us to do it.

Problem in this country is no one really knows what medical care or drugs cost.

Everything related to the cost of care has been made intentionally opague. It's a business strategy at every step. Every healthcare contract has a confidentially clause.
Hospitals don't know how to allocate costs to determine their true cost

If you don't know what the cost of what the government wants to buy from you, and the government doesn't know what the fully burdened cost they will pay is. And we don't know how high end hospitals can offer the same level of care at Medicare pricing. Etc etc etc

And of course every insurance company and big hospital system will tie up the legislation in courts for decades.

Ideology is not a strategy. Until there is transparency so a budget can be attempted , and the influence of the huge HC conglomerates is diminished , universal healthcare isn't achievable.

[Echoes of War @EchoesofWarYT]

On June 13, 1777, a 19-year-old French teenager landed on a beach in South Carolina, uninvited, to fight in someone else's war. He would become one of the most important men in American history.

The Marquis de Lafayette was one of the richest young aristocrats in France. He had a beautiful wife, a fortune, and zero reason to risk any of it. But he believed in the American cause so fiercely that when the French king forbade him from going, Lafayette bought his own ship and sailed anyway. He literally went AWOL from a life of luxury to bleed for a country that didn't exist yet.

Congress was annoyed at first. Another foreign officer looking for a paycheck? Then Lafayette offered to serve for free and pay his own way. That got their attention.

He met Washington and the two formed one of the great father-son bonds in American history. Washington had no biological children. Lafayette named his only son George Washington Lafayette.

He took a bullet in the leg at Brandywine and kept rallying the retreat. He was instrumental at Yorktown, the battle that won the war. He went home a hero on two continents.

A foreign teenager believed in America before America did. 249 years ago today.

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@Angelajordison Well done, now take it down!

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@mancusomaryanna OMG. I am a double spacer with no attention of changing.

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@jeffplatt @DarryllFish @WSOP Do we know why the WSOP webpage no longer has tournament updates?

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@helloitslynne How come in Paris 🇫🇷 rather than Paris Las Vegas for the WSOP?

[Mitt Romney @MittRomney]

Our highest and most urgent national priority should be AI safeguards. The risks of AI weapons, pathogens, mass unemployment, surveillance, and even extinction must not continue to be largely ignored.

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@helloitslynne It’s a sign of the time of year that I wasn’t sure if you meant Paris France 🇫🇷 or Paris Las Vegas. Then I looked online.

[Oded Rechavi @OdedRechavi]

Most experiments fail, and negative results rarely get published. This means LLMs are unaware of the outcomes of most experiments.

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@vanessainstem @astro_jaz I also own no merch. Maybe I need to rethink my life choices.

[Gary Marcus @GaryMarcus]

Why things will eventually fall apart:

1. Everybody, even Google, seems to be treating AI as if it were some kind of winner take all competition like web search was, in which Google taking over 95%

2. But everybody is building essentially the same technical solution with essentially the same data, so there is no moat.

3. If there is no moat, nobody is going to take 90% of the market.

4. With no clear winners, nobody can charge monopoly prices; instead, you get price wars and commodity pricing.

5. Which means everybody will wind up overpaying compared to the modest profits they will be able to make in an intensely competitive regime.

Am I missing something?

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@Liv_Boeree @Noahpinion I was going to @ you about this Liv. Glad to see you are aware.

[Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 @Noahpinion]

The Farm Bill -- passed by the House, now being considered in the Senate -- contains a measure that would ban states from banning horriffically abusive farming practices.

The cruelty is the point.

https://t.co/NzkOPNalQ3

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

It seems to me that people don't really have a good sense of how much a small number of House seats matter, given what will probably be a good overall night for Democrats in November, paired with high variance.

[Simon Maechling @simonmaechling]

The collapse of trust in science is going to go down in history as one of the most sad, bizarre, and destructive social contagions of modern times.

We fed billions, cured diseases and powered nations - yet people ran toward conspiracies instead.

[Mistress Dividend @mistressdivy]

Are we ready to admit we should've just kept cable instead of paying for five different streaming apps?

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@phil_hellmuth AI will destroy millions of jobs Phil. Mine will likely be obsolete of them. I’m not a Luddite but we are in a multi year period of massive job loss and fundamental destabilizing change I think will be net negative.

[LoLNothingMatters @DastDn]

France is a society that never recovered from leaving it all on the field to stop Germany in WW1.

Britain is a society that never recovered from holding the line (single-handedly, for a year) against Nazis in WW2.

Germany murder-suicided the European branch of the West.

[Daniel Needleman @dneedle1]

@catehall If AI kills millions of white collar jobs UBI > potential revolution! We’ll have no choice.