@moj_mal I think over time as the negotiations stale - the Arabs will have to approach Iran or the importing country to cut a deal for the ships to pass through and pay security guarantee
@moj_mal@hmdtvkli It’s a piece of the whole game. Ground invasion will be met by forced ground resistance and Iran terrain plus population suggest a much stronger counter.
Nuke creates another dimension, deterrence or negotiation card in the game.
@hmdtvkli From 60% to 90% is super easy apparently according to the professor below
https://t.co/1qU808yBnV
Also airdefenses are weakened and worst case scenario suicide air drops with old planes