ATB-Miami Dolphins

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[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Chris Grier Historical Draft Testing Averages by position

Comparing his drafts by position to NFL averages from 2011-2023

Green is above average, Red is below average

What stands out?

Thank you to @arjunmenon100 and @Clevta for data compilation

[Tyler DeSena @desena_tyler]

Stay up late, get special 2AM mock drafts from yours truly…

#FinsUp

[Tyler DeSena @desena_tyler]

The Miami Dolphins have a number of needs, including offensive line, tight end linebacker and secondary depth.

But it’s their need for a big slot that, despite being overlooked, could help them take the next step. https://t.co/YxDXo2YUGc

[ATB-Miami Dolphins @dolphins_atb]

The Dolphins have many needs in order to take their team to the next level, and @DeSenaSports highlights one that may be overlooked.

https://t.co/KIYRqoIIJO

[ATB-Miami Dolphins @dolphins_atb]

Senior Bowl week is in the books, and our very own @DeSenaSports breaks down some of the best fits from Mobile for the Miami Dolphins.
https://t.co/NJoRLx2R3X

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Now I took a look at when he throws to each

Tuas EPA/Play when throwing to Tyreek:

136 plays
.395 EPA/Play

Tuas EPA/Play when throwing to Waddle:

93 plays
.832 EPA/Play

I just want to say getting a .832 EPA/Play throwing to 1 WR is absolutely ridiculous and insane

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

I remember talking with @TakeThePointz guys @tejfbanalytics and @arjunmenon100 about Tua's EPA/Play when one of Waddle/Tyreek are not on the field.

When Tyreek isn't on the field:

59 plays
.227 EPA/Play

When Waddle isn't on the field:

76 plays
-.139 EPA/Play

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Now I took at Tua's EPA/Play when one is targeted and the other isn't on the field.

Targets Tyreek, Waddle not on field:

20 plays
.497 EPA/Play

Targets Waddle, Tyreek not on field:

9 plays
.862 EPA/Play

Small Sample size

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Raheem Mosterts 2022 season with the Dolphins

On 181 Carries:

891 yards (29th)
3 TDs (T-35th)
4.9 YPC (12th)

-.005 EPA/Rush
43% success rate

Let’s dig a bit deeper into each major personnel grouping

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Majority of snaps

11 personnel:

52 carries
245 yards
38% success rate
-.025 EPA/Rush
1 TD

12 personnel:

20 carries
52 yards
35% success rate
-.223 EPA/Rush

21 personnel:

90 carries
413 yards
42% success rate
-.127 EPA/Rush
1 TD

Gains of 0 yards are filtered out

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Wilkins had an underrated season and a critical part of the Dolphins defense.

Should be extended by all accounts this off-season.

Was also the top interior lineman in run stop win rate (46%)

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Looking at the #Dolphins 2022 offensive formation thread:

11 personnel

1 RB, 1 TE, 1 WR

517 plays
.04 EPA/Play
79% pass rate

Highest # of Snaps

Sherfield: 481
Waddle: 427
Hill: 417
Gesicki: 327
Mostert: 241

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

21 personnel

2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR

376 plays
.05 EPA/Play
48% pass rate

Highest # of snaps:

Ingold: 351
Smythe: 272
Hill: 272
Waddle: 257
Mostert: 191

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

12 personnel

1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR

113 plays
-.16 EPA/Play
57% pass rate

Highest # of snaps:

Smythe: 111
Waddle: 87
Hill: 86
Gesicki: 68
Mostert: 68

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

23 personnel

2 RB, 0 TE, 3 WR

42 snaps
.16 EPA/Play
71% Pass Rate

Highest # of snaps

Ingold: 36
Waddle: 33
Hill: 32
Mostert: 29
Sherfield: 29

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

10 personnel

1 RB, 0 TE, 4 WR

23 snaps
.37 EPA/ Play
100% pass rate

Highest # of snaps:

Waddle/Sherfield: 23
Hill/C. Wilson: 22
Mostert: 10
J. Wilson: 6

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

22 personnel

2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR

21 snaps
.35 EPA/Play
29% pass rate

Highest # of snaps:

Smythe: 21
Ingold: 19
Long: 15
Moster: 14
Hill: 10

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

01 personnel

0 RB, 1 TE, 4 WR

13 snaps
.35 EPA/Play
92% pass rate

Highest # of snaps:

Sherfield/C. Wilson: 13
Hill: 12
Waddle: 11
Gesicki: 9

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Overall takes from this:

Miami had the best EPA in 21 personnel (min 100 snaps)

800+ snaps for Waddle/Hill

Sherfield a solid WR3

Durham Smythe had 91 more snaps than Mike Gesicki

Mostert was RB1

Alec Ingold made Gesicki expendable in 21 And 22 personnel

[Hussam Patel @HussamPatel]

Looking at QB efficiency in late downs and the "clutch quarters"

- Top 4: Mahomes, TLaw, JImmy G, Tua, Dak
- Rodgers, Lamar, D. Jones and Dalton bottom 4
- Herbert, Burrow, Carr, Fields middle of the pack
- Brady ranked 23rd