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Ketika kamu tengok kiri-kanan masih ada rasa aman dan nyaman, bisa dipastikan kamu belum ke mana-mana.
Jadikan rasa tidak nyaman pemicu untuk terus mendaki.
Sampai kau temukan dirimu.
Damn, Forex Factory is too outdated 😭
This is how you can actually prepare to trade CPI on NQ.
We already know the forecast is 3.8%, but the more important number is the institutional expectation range.
For CPI YoY, that range is currently:
Minimum expectation: 3.7%
Maximum expectation: 4.0%
The playbook:
1. Above 3.9% → Bearish NQ
Hotter inflation can push rate cuts further out, keep yields elevated, and pressure tech.
2. Below 3.75% → Bullish NQ
Softer inflation can bring rate cuts back into play, lower yield expectations, and support a move higher in NQ.
3. Inside the range → Expect more chop and whipsaw
The market has largely prepared for those outcomes already.
The cleanest one-sided volatility usually comes when CPI prints outside the institutional range and forces the market to rapidly reprice inflation expectations, yields, and rate-cut bets.
Get back to your roots.
Get back to the relentless hunger and drive that got you here. Fiery passion for the process and true joy from learning more and leveraging that knowledge.
Get back deeper in the trenches, research, backtesting, collaborating, documenting, learning, refining and growing. That feeling of accomplishment when everything clicks, the gear begin to turn, the dots connect.
Increase the work ethic and activity. Be more intentional with every webinar, report, analysis, video, podcast, post. Have humble pride in the risks you take.
More intensity, control and intention in the gym. More discipline with diet and sleep. You must realize your potential and achieve it.
Get back to sculpting and shaping your body, mind and life instead of maintaining it or letting it rot away.
FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL TRADERS PLAYBOOK
War and FOMC views
XAUUSD, GBPJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, US30, SPX, OIL, BTCUSD
Check out Capital Hungry for daily NY and London trading streams, news updates, red folder report break downs, daily analysis webinars, Asian session study streams, constant chart updates and 120+ educational webinars.
This is from our LIVE STREAM that was YESTERDAY
Understanding and expecting damage control after escalations and the phases of war that cause price pullbacks and key set ups.
Pay attention kids.
🚨The Bank of Japan just issued its most direct rate hike warning of 2026.
In a speech delivered this morning, Governor Ueda said the BOJ is now more concerned about inflation running too hot than it is about the economy slowing down.
That is a significant statement from a central bank that spent decades fighting deflation.
Here is exactly what he said.
Japan's CPI is projected to hit 2.8% this fiscal year and rise above 3% for a period. The Producer Price Index hit 4.9% year on year in April, the highest reading in nearly 3 years.
Upstream price increases are already spreading into plastic products, construction, transport, and food. Wages are rising at 5% for the third consecutive year.
Inflation expectations among firms and households are both moving higher.
Ueda explicitly stated that if upside risks to prices continue to outweigh downside risks to the economy, the BOJ will raise rates.
Real interest rates in Japan are still negative despite three hikes since 2024. The policy rate currently sits at 0.75%.
A move to 1% at the June 15-16 meeting is now widely expected.
This matters far beyond Japan.
For decades global investors borrowed money in Japan at near zero interest rates. They then took that borrowed money and invested it into higher yielding assets around the world, US stocks, tech stocks, emerging market bonds, and crypto.
The trade generates profit as long as Japanese borrowing costs stay low.
When the BOJ raises rates, the cost of borrowing in yen goes up. That forces investors to close those positions selling US stocks, selling crypto, selling emerging market assets and converting the proceeds back into yen to repay their loans.
The selling happens fast and across every market simultaneously.
In August 2024 the BOJ raised rates by just 0.15%. Within 48 hours the Japanese stock market posted its single largest one day crash in history. Global equities, crypto, and emerging markets all sold off violently. That was just 0.15%.
The expected June move is to 1%, from 0.75%. That is a larger move in a market that is already under significantly more stress than August 2024.
The global carry trade built on near zero Japanese rates is estimated at over $4 trillion.
At the same June meeting the BOJ will also conduct an interim assessment of its bond purchase reduction plan and announce a new guideline for 2027.
Reuters reports that a full pause to QT is the preferred option internally. If the BOJ raises rates and pauses QT simultaneously it means tighter monetary policy through rates but continued bond market support, a direct acknowledgment that Japan's bond market cannot yet stand on its own.
The June 15-16 BOJ decision, whether it hikes, how much, and what it decides on QT will be the single most important data point for global risk assets in the weeks ahead.
NFP will be solid tomorrow IMO.
Impact on jobs won't be hit til following month.
UER stays the same and NFP 80-100k+.
Highlights resiliency of US labor market and drives all focus of Feds dual mandate to inflation aka energy crisis building.
Rate cuts pushed back further and expectations shifted.
USD supoort/ bulls, Gold bears and war escalates further for Oil pressure.
My 2cents, man with a plan.
Ready to adapt and update here if wrong.
FOMC COMING UP!
Join us as we wave goodbye to an absolute GIANT of the finance world.
Jerome Powell will be retiring from his position as Federal Reserve Chairman and give us the last of his notorious post FOMC press conferences.
He will go down as one of the most legendary and influential figures to EVER serve as Fed Chair. He navigated the US and GLOBAL economy through some of the worst and unique crises the world has ever seen.
His speeches became subject of millions of traders, some loving them, some hating them, some betting he's going to cut rates based on the color of his tie. Regardless, markets are going to direct all of their attention to his tone and wording for the final time today!
And of course, we’ll be dissecting it live💪 Link below!!
FOMC focus:
1) Level of urgency and repetition regarding the road block to inflation goals being met (energy risk)
2) Dot path update or members shifting from cuts to no cut positioning
3) Feds underlying view of current economy besides inflation (labor reslience)
Having the combination of repetitive concerns on geopolitical tensions, members adjusting positioning from prior cut vote and labor market/ growth resilience for now can allow a prolonged wait a see approach (collapse of rate cut bets) and bring the probability of a hike to the table.
Last FOMC these concerns were brought up but it was to early in the war conflict to have clarity on energy price damage. Now we got more facts and pricing context for Feds to provide positioning on.
YOU DON'T NEED TO WATCH EVERY TRUMP HEADLINE
Not because they aren’t important
Because a lot of them are theatrics
Instead, pay attention to the ones marked “HIGH IMPACT”
That’s where the market actually moves
Regular headlines fill your feed
These are the ones that move price
If Allah ( GOD ) helps you, none can defeat you. But if He denies you help, then who else can help you? So in Allah ( GOD ) let the believers put their trust.
Al-Quran : 3:160
Summary:
True believers must place their complete trust in Allah alone. This trust comes AFTER making full effort, preparation, and taking necessary actions , not as a replacement for them.
So don't think if you put your trust in God , everything will happen itself.
Put in the effort and work first , then leave everything on God
BREAKING: China took advantage of lower price in March (hovering around low to mid $4000 and added #Gold reserves, 5.33 times the rate of February and several months in the past where China only added 30,000 oz a month
This is 17 consecutive months of adding
PBOC “officially” added 160K oz (4.98 tonnes) of gold in March
Total gold reserves is now 74,380,000 oz (2313.5 tonnes)