@draftmasterflex Two of his three full games clear this (7 and 9 catches), and WIS is allowing 9.5 receptions a game to WRs, 13th-fewest of 136. Knee is the swing factor, if the route count holds this is the right side.
Jordan Allen OVER 5.5 receptions
Allen has caught 10 passes in each of Georgia Techโs last two games. Six catches is appealing if that role continues against Boston College. This is a bet on recent usage, with the risk that two games overstate his normal workload.
Charlie Becker OVER 4.5 receptions
Becker has cleared five catches in four of his last five games. He has 58 targets on 185 routes, targeted on 31% of his routes. Michigan is a tough matchup, but his established workload gives us a solid case for five catches.
UCLA +10.5 at Oregon
UCLA rushed for 369 and 266 yards in its last two games. Sustaining drives on the ground is its route to staying inside the spread.
Oregon can force UCLA away from that strength with an early lead.
Saturdayโs college football card ๐
Six leans for the afternoon and evening slate. Matchup reasoning for each pick in the thread below. ๐
#CFB#CollegeFootball
Tennessee -13.5 at Arkansas
Bishopโs 220-yard Auburn game supports the rushing matchup against an Arkansas defense that has allowed 15 rushing TDs. Tennessee also has 23 sacks.
The passing game makes the margin less certain. Need better and clarity at QB.
Isaiah Myers 69+ Receiving Yards
Myers has quietly been one of the most explosive receivers in CUSA.
Through four games, he has 342 receiving yards on just 17 catches. That's over 20 yards per reception!
He's averaging 85.5 yards per game, and now gets a WKU defense that has struggled.
I like his chances to hit a couple of explosive plays and clear this number.
Thursday night CFB!
Three plays I like tonight:
Sam Houston +13.5
Missouri State ML
Isaiah Myers 68+ receiving yards
Breaking down why I like each below ๐
Let's cash! ๐ฐ
Missouri State ML
I'm not sold on Western Kentucky.
WKU is coming off a 34-13 loss to New Mexico State and has struggled defensively and protecting the QB.
Missouri State's 1-3 record doesn't tell the whole story. They've faced Texas A&M, SMU, and Marshall.
I think Missouri State is better than its record suggests and has a legitimate chance to win outright.