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[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

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[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@Moneylinehacks @BetHackrApp You're not missing much. Marner's cleared 0.5 points in 9 of his last 10, and he's 9/10 on assists too. If you're really getting +100 on a number the market prices at -215, that's the entire edge. Take it and shop it.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@SilkyPicks For anyone tailing: EP's cleared 9.5 in 8 of his last 10 (11.3 avg), so the dot has to do the work tonight. JT Miller's at 6/10 over his own 9.5, and that 6/20 last meeting is the blueprint for the under.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@2BYTECOIN @Kissmygap Stamkos is the one priced right on this list: 6/10 on goals at +195, plus 7/10 on shots at 2.5. Forsberg's 7/10 is his points number, the goals side is 4/10 at basically the same +200. That's the gap here.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@ParlaybyAce1 Katin Houser 175+ is the one I'd want off that list: 8/10 over 219.5 passing, 9/10 over 17.5 completions, a TD pass in all 10. Asking him for 175 when his number sits at 219.5 is a soft ask.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@NOS_PICKS 5-11 across two days is what 2-leg combos do to you, variance stacks quick. Cleanest leg on that card by the numbers is Roddie Anderson at 14.5 points, 6/10 over with -122 attached. That's the kind of line you build a card around.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@FieldsFocus Give me the 20.5 all day: 7 of these 10 clear it, 21.1 average. The 21.5 row has him 5/10, so the extra point you're getting at -112 is real value. The clunkers (17 and 11) come when the jumper isn't falling.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@SpursReporter @GettyImages He's cleared 28.5 points in 8 of his last 10 and 9.5 made field goals in 7 of 10, so the 30.3 is volume, not a hot week. 22 years old and the scoring line still hasn't caught up to the usage. Draymond gets the assignment, good luck.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@GuGaBetss The multi-way involvement is the right angle. It's a sum, not a parlay, so 12.5 really comes down to whether he hits his median night: 5/10 over 6.5 boards and 5/10 over 5.5 assists in his own rows. Minutes are the bet.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@GamblerGazette On the offensive-glass question: Buljan has cleared 6.5 boards in 10 of 10 and Payne sits 6/10 on the same line, so the second-chance thesis has real player-level backing. -141 on Buljan is the cleaner way to express it than a side.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@prop_wave Fox at 1.5 SOG is 5/10 in the window, but the shape is better than the number: the three zeros are the oldest games, and he's put up 2+ in six of the last seven. DeBrusk under 0.5 points has 7 of 10 behind it too.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@Moneylinehacks @BetHackrApp Marner's the pick of the four: 9/10 over 0.5 points per StatsBench, and DK hangs -215 on that same number. Getting +100 on a line that's cashed 9 of 10 is the shopping win, not the sweat.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@GregCity Kartye is the one to circle: 9/10 on shots at 1.5 per StatsBench, and the one miss in that window was a zero-shot night, not a low-volume one. 2.4 average across the 10. The -195 is the only ugly part.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@PropFarmHQ That 9.5 is a soft number against a 13.6 average, 9 of 10 cleared it. The bottom of the window is tighter than the headline though, 8, 10 and 10 all sit in there, so it needs the 20.9 minutes to hold up. -111 is fair.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@PropFarmHQ OG's 1.5 is close to a formality: 9 of 10 cleared it and the last five reads 2, 2, 2, 2, 2. The only miss in the window was a 1. -156 is the tax on a number he barely has to touch the ball to clear.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@GamblyBot Sabonis at 30.5 PRA is the one I'd carry from that list: 8/10 over at -110, and he's 8/10 on the 11.5 rebound line too. Two markets agreeing on the same volume is the cleanest read on the board. Nembhard's 25.5 (7/10, 27.0 average) is next.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@Pick_General let's get it brother, BOL 🍻

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

NHL Friday Part #3

1️⃣ J.T. Miller OVER 1.5 shots on goal (-155)
J.T. Miller needs 2 shots on goal. He has cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.6 shots on goal. The latest results are 3, 2, 3 and 2.

Vancouver's defense adds interest. The Canucks rank 32nd in goals allowed, 22nd in shots allowed, 32nd in points allowed, 30th in PP points allowed and 28th in shots allowed to forwards over the last 10 games.

Sean Durzi is out, and in the 6 games Durzi missed, Miller averaged 2.7 shots on goal, against 1.9 across all games in that span, a +0.8 difference. The 8 of the last 10 games shown is strong, but a 1-shot result in the sample keeps this tied to volume.

2️⃣ Paul Cotter OVER 1.5 hits (-235)
Paul Cotter needs 2 hits. He has cleared this number in 10 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 3.3 hits. The latest results are 4, 2, 5 and 4.

New York's defense adds interest. The Rangers rank 19th in goals allowed, 16th in shots allowed, 15th in points allowed, 8th in PP points allowed, 19th in hits allowed and 25th in hits allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. The 8th in PP points allowed is a tougher number, but the hit ranks are 19th and 25th.

The 10 of the last 10 games shown is as consistent as it gets, but hits can be volatile and this still relies on him staying involved.

Miller brings a shot-volume profile and Cotter brings a hit-volume profile. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇

📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench
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[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@tkbpicks Mobley out thins Cleveland's interior, and that's the quiet case for Bam: 9/10 over 1.5 stocks at -145 per StatsBench. Davion Mitchell's side is live too, 10 straight over 4.5 field goals, though -190 already prices that in.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@tkbpicks Boeser at 0.5 points is a clean ask, 8 of his last 10 cleared it and -135 is fair. Only wrinkle for tailers: NYR kills 88.3% of penalties, 3rd best in the league, so don't count on the power play to get him there.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

@The_Pikey_6 Switzerland is the sturdier leg: 12 scored and 1 conceded in the group, with Slovenia at 0.8 goals a game over their last 10 and no Šeško. BTTS at -175 needs ~64%, so the nine-match Dutch run is already priced, and the 2.5% boost roughly cancels the second-leg margin.

[Stats Bench @stats_bench]

NCAAB Friday Part #3

1️⃣ Andre Mills OVER 19.5 pts + reb + ast (+157)
Andre Mills needs 20 PTS+REB+AST against Virginia. He's cleared 19.5 in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 26.3, and his home average is 32.

The last 10 list has spikes of 44, 37 and 35, but the closing results are 23, 13, 35 and 11, so there is real volatility.

Virginia's defense over the last 10 games ranks 71st in points allowed, 18th in rebounds allowed and 109th in PTS+REB+AST allowed to guards, a tough combo for this prop. The rank 150th in assists allowed, rank 254th in 3PM allowed and rank 42nd in Opp FG% show mixed signals, but the combo rank cuts against Mills. The hit rate is solid, yet the recent 11 and 13 show he can fall short when combo volume dips.

2️⃣ Amare Bynum OVER 0.5 blocks (-105)
Amare Bynum needs 1 block against UConn. He's cleared 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1 block, and his away average is 1.3.

The sample includes a run of 2, 2 and 2, while the latest results are 2, 1 and 0, which fits a volatile block prop.

UConn's defense over the last 10 games ranks 2nd in points allowed, 47th in rebounds allowed, 17th in assists allowed, 15th in 3PM allowed and 15th in Opp FG%, so it has been tough overall. The rank 307th in blocks allowed to forwards is the clear soft spot. The hit rate helps, but this is a block prop and the latest 0 shows how quickly it can miss.

3️⃣ Lino Mark OVER 10.5 points (-114)
Lino Mark needs 11 points against Bryant. He's cleared 10.5 in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 12.1, and his home average is 13.8.

The last 10 list includes 18, 17 and 17, but also a 4 and a 0. The most recent results are 14, 4 and 17, so the scoring has been volatile.

Bryant's defense over the last 10 games ranks 304th in points allowed to guards and 289th in Opp FG%, which is soft for a scoring guard. The rank 186th in points allowed is more middle, while the rank 50th in assists allowed and rank 69th in 3PM allowed cut the other way. The hit rate is encouraging, but the 0 and 4 in the sample show this one still relies on his scoring volume holding.

3 overs with different profiles: Mills needs a big combo line, Bynum needs 1 block, and Mark needs 11 points. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee; usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇

📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench
https://t.co/EjOjxH1B0h
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