Every time @mlmabc posted a large TWAP, I wondered why anyone would reveal their execution params to the whole market instead of executing privately
So we dug into the data
Turns out visible execution is not that bad and can even be cheaper on average
https://t.co/03SOEuDw0B
Inspired by @cartoonitunes' work with @EthereumHistory, I've been digging into contracts from the 2015-2019 era to find ETH's still withdrawable but has no active frontend and isn't tracked by Debank or other portfolio trackers.
116 contracts, 76,000+ ETH, 516k depositors with claimable balance.
Built Forgotten ETH to help people recover it
👇
How many institutional investors who bought AAPL at 40 P/E are now realising it is worth ~15 P/E at best and they have been fooled by the most weaponised stock buyback programme ever implemented? 🤔
Homebuyer demand has plummeted to the lowest level in 30 years.
With mortgage applications to purchase down 63% from the pandemic peak.
The last time we saw demand this low, it was 1995.
This warning signal should NOT be overlooked
The unemployment rate tends to follow the yield curve closely
Right now, the yield curve un-inversion indicates that unemployment is likely to trend up soon
Do you know what I find hilarious? People calling crypto a speculative bubble while ignoring what’s going on in stocks is the literally the financial equivalent of seeing the mote in someone else’s eye but not the beam in one’s own
Narrator: a beam big like the Sun
These scam coins are getting crazy.
Someone just shilled me a shitcoin with:
- 27 Trillion supply
- No supply cap
- 1 validator
- 25% of supply minted in the last 6 months
- 1% of holders own 30%
Jk that’s the US dollar.
The yield curve has just un-inverted
This also happened in 1990, 2000, and 2008
All 3 ended in sharp economic downturns
Is this time different?
A thread 🧵
Private sector employment is falling in the US:
Full-time private sector jobs have declined by a whopping 1.8 MILLION year-over-year in November.
Full-time private sector employment has been contracting for ~1.5 years.
Such a significant drop has never occurred outside of recessions.
In fact, similar declines have been seen during the 1990s and 2001 recessions.
Meanwhile, state and local government full-time jobs have risen by ~400,000 year-over-year, twice as much as the pre-pandemic period.
The US labor market is weaker than it seems.
🚨US TECHNOLOGY STOCKS FUNDS HAVE EXPERIENCED MASSIVE OUTFLOWS🚨
Global investors withdrew $1.3 BILLION from US tech funds, in the week ended Dec 18.
Over the last 3 weeks, technology funds outflows have reached $2.5 BILLION.
Is smart money running to the exit?
Retail investors are buying stocks like never before:
Off-exchange trading as a % of total market volume hit 57% in December, an all-time high.
Off-exchange trading run by firms like Robinhood or Charles Schwab is a proxy for retail investors' participation in the stock market.
This year, off-exchange trading as jumped by ~15 percentage points.
This is also nearly DOUBLE the percentage seen before the 2020 pandemic.
Tesla, $TSLA, and MicroStrategy, $MSTR, have been among some of the most actively traded stocks by retail.
Retail investors are piling into the market.