🚨 BIG DAY FOR U.S. MARKETS.
1:15 PM ET: ADP Employment
1:30 PM ET: Core PCE Inflation
1:30 PM ET: Final GDP
Core PCE is expected at 0.3%, up from 0.2% previously.
A hotter print could put pressure on risk assets.
EXPECT VOLATILITY!
Global energy crisis is looming, my thoughts are now how likely are those that are controlling the market going to pass up on that massive opportunity of having the perfect scapegoat to nuke the market?
i'm back on X + what happened
i got locked out of my X account exactly one week ago
my crime?
i wrote a viral post about the Arc blockchain that apparently pissed a lot of people off
X locked me out and told me i had to add a 'Paid Partnership' label to the post or remain deplatformed
so let's clear up exactly what happened
i mentioned 3 brands in the post:
- Arc: i have had ZERO interactions with them to this date
- Long: my first interaction with them happened AFTER my post went live, when they reached out to me themselves on X. i'm pretty sure the X team can verify this (i'm attaching a screenshot)
- fomo: i've never hidden that i use a fomo referral link. i literally have a $350K giveaway ongoing for active fomo refs
there was NO payment or partnership from Arc or Long
and i clearly disclosed the fomo affiliate relationship
so i initially decided to stay off X out of principle
because:
- if i bend the knee here, what's stopping this from happening again with future posts?
- i don't want to lie. calling something a 'Paid Partnership' when i wasn't paid for it would be exactly that
but after doing some further digging, i found out X apparently wants users to put the 'Paid Partnership' label on posts containing referral links
i think that's an inaccurate label and i hope X changes that policy
but if that's the current rule, i'll simply abide by it
so if you see the 'Paid Partnership' label on some of my posts going forward, that's likely why
now let's talk about something i've said for years
i have NEVER taken a paid shill in my life
i know that sounds unbelievable to some of you
so i'll once again publicly challenge anyone with proof to the contrary to bring it out in the open
because i don't think most people realize how many offers i get or how much money i could make if i actually wanted to sell my voice
here's just ONE recent example
about a month ago, Pumpfun reached out to me with a very generous offer to come trade on their app
i could have taken the deal while continuing to trade on fomo and other apps
when i declined, they even offered for me to become an 'advisor to the product, share your feedback, ideate on strategy etc' (their exact words)
for context:
Pumpfun is arguably the biggest memecoin/onchain brand in crypto right now
it's a multi-billion-dollar, extremely well-funded company
and i still said NO
to be clear, i don't think Pumpfun did anything wrong by making the offer
i simply didn't want to take it
why?
1. i don't agree with how Pumpfun operates from an ethical/moral standpoint
2. i have reason to believe they have unleashed their FUD army at me since the BonkFun days, so why would i work with a company i believe is actively trying to damage my reputation?
3. i don't need the money and, more importantly, my voice is not for sale
i mean, i'm not exactly broke
months ago i started my degen fomo portfolio with almost nothing and publicly turned it into $20 MILLION+, live in 4k, in front of everyone
and the bull run hasn't even properly started yet
even if Pumpfun offered me $5 MILLION, it wouldn't meaningfully change my life
so why would i partner with a brand whose values i don't agree with?
i challenge Pumpfun to publicly deny this if anything i've said is untrue
i'm not just telling you that i get offers
i'm publicly naming one of the biggest companies in crypto that made me an offer i turned down
if i'm lying, they shouldn't have much trouble disproving me
unless i'm not
and that's just ONE example
there are many more
TLDR:
my voice is NOT FOR SALE
and certainly not to the highest bidder
that doesn't mean i'll never get paid to talk about a platform or product i genuinely like
last cycle, i did plenty of that and helped some brands make millions upon millions
then i got absolutely nothing when the market nuked on 10/10
so i'm wiser this cycle
i'll absolutely monetize my brand when the opportunity makes sense
but only when:
1. i genuinely believe the product benefits my followers
2. it's a brand i would actually use and talk about anyway
3. i'm comfortable putting my name behind it
and the relationship is properly disclosed
so why am i back on X?
1. i'm not letting anyone deplatform me
i know there are people who hate me and have actively tried to get me off this platform
but i'm not going to let them win
especially heading into what could be the biggest crypto bull run we've ever seen
2. i'm going to follow X's rules
if X requires the 'Paid Partnership' label for referral links, i'll use it
even if i think the terminology is inaccurate
if you see that label on more of my posts going forward, now you know why
3. i'm itching for action again
it's been a week
i've got bags to talk about
trades to make
charts to post
and some serious bullposting to do
i've been sitting on the sidelines long enough
i'm back
are you ready? 👀
Hiring Tony Robbins today costs 1 million dollars for just one day.
This is a 21-minute tape recorded in his own home more than 30 years ago.
There, he explains exactly how to get anyone to say yes.
The same material for which they now charge a fortune... completely free.
It's a rare, unfiltered recording from the time when he still didn't charge millionaires just for being in the same room.
When someone says no, they give two excuses:
“I don’t have time” or “I don’t have money”
Neither is true.
The real reason is that they still don’t believe it’s worth it.
It’s not a money problem. It’s a state problem.
Tony teaches something he calls “attack and confess”
Instead of arguing the objection, you confess your own:
“I had the chance to go six months ago and I didn’t until two months ago.
I can’t even imagine the time I wasted”
The room goes silent. No one argues.
Then he gets the person on the “yes train”
Each little yes adds to the next.
Until saying no at the end feels harder than saying yes.
When it’s time to sign, the person has already said yes five times without realizing it.
Just 21 minutes.
There you learn the two only moves that people pay 1 million a day for:
how to read anyone’s state… and how to shift it.
Most people spend years guessing in sales.
He wrote it on a flipchart in his living room in less than half an hour.
A seat in that room cost $125 dollars.
Today it costs $1 million dollars a day to sit in front of him.
The tape is free right now.
And the answer is in this video.
🚨 BITCOIN’S BULL TRAP IS OVER
I told you to buy near $58K
I told you to watch $82K for the trap
Now I think the move that will DESTROY late buyers is starting
My roadmap hasn’t changed:
$79K → $70K → $62K → $53K → BOTTOM → NEW BULL RUN
Every bounce on the way down will convince people the bottom is already in
That’s exactly how they’ll get trapped again
I’m not chasing pumps here
I’m waiting for the final flush
I publicly called the $16K bottom
I called the $126K top
And I think my next Bitcoin call could be the biggest one of this entire cycle
Save this chart
When I start buying the bottom, I’ll post it here BEFORE the crowd realizes what happened
Follow and turn notifications on
Don’t become exit liquidity
We are currently 10 months into the current bitcoin:native bear market. In September 2022, when we were 10 months into the 2021 bear market, we had a massive volume pump that lasted a week followed by a full retrace and a lower low, will we get something similar this time? 👀
Crypto is bouncing back.
After yesterday’s sharp pullback, the market is showing relief:
Bitcoin: +0.35%
Ethereum: +0.33%
Solana: +1.53%
XRP: +0.99%
Buyers are stepping back in.
Now we see if this relief can turn into a real recovery.
🇨🇳 China single-handedly crashed global oil prices!
During the Iran war, crude imports fell from 12M to 8M barrels/day — CNN confirms.
↳ 2M barrels/day drawdown from reserves
↳ Brent crude stayed below $90, while experts were predicting $150-200
China has become the new OPEC
#Silver :
Just as expected. Let's see where it goes from here.
One more bounce is possible for next week. The question is will it be a HH or LH now that the negative energy will start to show up on the charts?
ethereum:0x123ffe0a3c62878dcbee2742227dc8990058d9e1
Nobody is talking about what actually happened in the market yesterday.
$2.6 trillion in S&P 500 call options traded in a single day. One day. The highest number ever recorded in market history. The chart goes back to 1999. Nothing comes close.
Here is what that means in plain English. A call option is a bet that prices go higher. When traders buy millions of these bets at once, the market makers who sold those bets are forced to buy the actual stocks to protect themselves. That buying pushes prices up, which makes more people buy calls, which forces more stock buying. The loop feeds itself.
The market goes up not because of fundamentals. It goes up because of pure mechanical force.
60% of all S&P options traded yesterday were calls. Not a normal day. Not even close.
Goldman Sachs had a name for it. Their own traders called it a "semi-irrational chasing mode." That is Wall Street's polite way of saying the market has lost its mind a little.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index RSI just hit its highest level since 1999. That was the dot-com peak. Nobody is saying this is 1999. But the market itself is drawing the comparison.
Here is the risk nobody wants to say out loud. When options expire or positions unwind, the mechanical buying stops. And it can reverse just as fast as it started.
The rally is real. The all-time highs are real. But $2.6 trillion in one day tells you this move is running on jet fuel, not fundamentals.
What happens when the tank runs empty?