ECFR MENA

Middle East and North Africa Programme @ECFR #MENA

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

☢️ Introducing NEW @ecfr interactive dashboard, the "Iran Nuclear Monitor: Month by Month". Your one-stop-shop for reliable intel on where Iran's nuclear program is heading after a year of Israeli & American bombings. Check out our explainer video 👇🧵 https://t.co/tNjCKTFVwP

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

📰 Iran views a return to full-scale fighting with Israel & US as increasingly inevitable, says Ellie Geranmayeh in @FT. "What we have seen in the last week is a much higher risk appetite to pre-emptively up the ante rather than always be reactionary" https://t.co/avrdcC0ylK

[Middle East Council on Global Affairs @ME_Council]

This maritime security operation is not just about confronting the Houthis, but is ultimately about turning the major arena for confrontation into the major platform for de-escalation.

– Cinzia Bianco (@Cinzia_Bianco), Visiting Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations

Watch the full discussion from our recent webinar on "Yemen and the New Battle for the Red Sea" -
https://t.co/nlM34zJmif

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

If the Houthis continue to block Saudi exports while attacking critical infrastructure, Riyadh may conclude that "diplomacy has become a mechanism for managing its own strangulation", writes @Cinzia_Bianco https://t.co/VmHQ7tbRIC

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

📺️ “What is needed right now is a strong signal from the United States that it is in fact interested in a deal rather than preparing for another major war with Iran”, tells @ecfr’s Ellie Geranmayeh to @AJEnglish amid renewed US-Iran escalation. https://t.co/Cw96JeAAOZ

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

🗞️ "After the understanding fell through and attacks restarted, Iran’s leaders further developed the belief that they must "not concede an inch” on key issues, particularly on Hormuz", assesses @ecfr's Ellie Geranmayeh for @AJEnglish https://t.co/raPKQk8u9v

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

📰"I'm not sure many people have much confidence that the agreement is a pathway to a constructive endgame here,whether in terms of facilitating the disarmament of Hezbollah or advancing an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon", notes @jbdacey in @DeutscheWelle https://t.co/i9WuF17B3m

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

"Europeans should use their channels with mediators to dissuade Iran from opening new fronts in Bab al-Mandab and against Saudi Arabia, while pressing Trump to hold back from widening American attacks to Iranian Infrastructure", concludes @Cinzia_Bianco https://t.co/VmHQ7tbRIC

[Dr. Cinzia Bianco @Cinzia_Bianco]

In my latest for @ECFRMena I argue this round of war might be decided by the Iranians and their proxies dragging Saudi into the war, like we are already seeing. The alternative is politically toxic for Riyadh
https://t.co/YIgHctMUpp

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

📺️ “I think the Iran war was a stress test for all of the Golf monarchies and it has accelerated a lof of pre-existing trends", analyses @Cinzia_Bianco in a video for @DeutscheWelle. Watch it here 👇️ https://t.co/FU0rXXb5L4

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

📑 NEW @ecfr commentary by @Cinzia_Bianco: As the Houthis attack Saudi ships & infrastructure, Riyadh faces an increasingly difficult choice: absorb the blows to stay out of the Iran war or retaliate and risk a dangerous escalation. Read the piece here 👇 https://t.co/CXOjwKsKwS

[Dr. Cinzia Bianco @Cinzia_Bianco]

Me and @arturo_varvelli wrote for @ECFRMena about bypassing Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab as the most transformative geoeconomic and geopolitical project, and how Europe can navigate it: https://t.co/STGxavkrYs

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

🎙️“The framework has maximalist demands of Lebanon and minimalist demands of Israel”, comments @mahamyahya on the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, US & Lebanon in the latest episode of @ecfr's WOMENP podcast. Listen to it here👇️ https://t.co/PBJoxAL4ls

[The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy @TimepDC]

🚨 Starting now! @MondherTounsi, @SaharMech, @zaghdoudist, and @Tmegrisi are joining TIMEP to discuss Tunisia's trajectory five years since Saied's power grab and what the future holds for the country.

Tune in and join the conversation: https://t.co/l2hH5clT1D

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

"North Africa’s longer-term struggle will be maintaining the foreign currency streams that fund imports and, by extension, social programmes. In other words, the war has triggered consequences that will become new structural realities", writes @tmegrisi https://t.co/Ixrm6zw9Le

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

🎙️Lebanese President Aoun meets US President Trump in Washington today to discuss the ongoing conflict & possible solutions for long-term stability in Lebanon. For recommendations & regional perspectives listen to @ecfr's WOMENP podcast👇️ https://t.co/PBJoxAL4ls

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

🎙️"The key ask from the US side is going to be for the government of Lebanon, particularly the Lebanese Armed Forces, to show visible progress on Hezbollah disarmament", comments @rmslim in the latest @ecfr WOMENP podcast on Lebanese stability https://t.co/PBJoxAL4ls

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

"For Europe, North Africa’s travails are a security & economic threat. But they are also an opportunity for Europeans to finally redevelop their relations with their southern neighbours", writes @tmegrisi in his latest @ecfr piece https://t.co/Ixrm6zw9Le

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

📰 After American soldiers died in latest US-Iran escalation, @ECFR's Ellie Geranmayeh tells @nytimes: “This is the wake up moment for both sides...they either take the diplomatic off ramp now or risk allowing the war to spiral beyond managed escalation.” https://t.co/b3FGcsCamO

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

@ecfr @aliamoub @rmslim @mahamyahya 5/ To find out about ECFR's Women of the Middle East Network for Peacebuilding, connect with leading regional voices, and listen to previous podcast episodes go to: https://t.co/gLH3zChkFv

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

🎙️Ahead of upcoming White House visit by Lebanon's President, listen to latest @ECFR WOMENP podcast unpacking recent Israel-Lebanon framework deal, ground reactions & implementation prospects. With Lebanese experts @aliamoub @rmslim & @mahamyahya 👇️ https://t.co/PBJoxAL4ls

[ECFR MENA @ECFRMena]

@ecfr @aliamoub @rmslim @mahamyahya 4/Reflecting on it, @mahamyahya tells"there are big question mark around the verification mechanisms, who will be responsible for verifying that whatever is asked of the Lebanese government has actually taken place & who will be responsible for upholding Israel to its obligation"