Edgecraft

Edgecraft is a strategy intelligence platform for active crypto traders.
Build. Validate. Maintain your trading edge.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

Join the waitlist: https://t.co/JjsotZ8MDp

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

Why we had to build our own trading strategy engine.

When we started building Edgecraft, we did not set out to build a trading engine. We set out to trade with confidence. The engine was a missing puzzle piece that revealed itself only once we reached for it and found nothing on the shelf that fit.

Here is the thing: every existing solution does one or two things well. We needed all of them at once. And the moment you do, you are in build-it-yourself territory.

It had to be market-like. A simulation is only as honest as its assumptions. We wanted execution close to real conditions: fills, fees, slippage, funding, the things that quietly decide whether a strategy is profitable or just looks profitable on a chart.

It had to be fast. A strategy is not validated by one backtest. It is validated by thousands, across regimes and parameter sets. Slow feedback kills iteration.

It had to be flexible. We needed to spin up variants without the execution model quietly breaking underneath us. This is where most solutions thin out.

It had to optimize the parameter space. Not just run a strategy, but search the landscape around it, to see where it is robust and where it sits on a fragile knife-edge.

It had to let us explore the data. We wanted to interrogate the results, to look at mountains of trade data and understand what it was telling us.

It had to run live, and run live reliably. No crashes, clean recovery, real monitoring, full visibility into what the system is doing at every moment. This is the part almost nobody talks about.

And it had to do all of this for perpetual crypto markets. Perps with cross and isolated margin are not spot assets. Not forex, not stocks, not CFDs. The margin mechanics, the funding, the liquidation model have to be simulated as what they are.

For almost every item, a solution exists somewhere. But each solves a slice. The seams are where strategies go to die: where your fast backtester and your live executor quietly disagree about what a fill means, and you do not find out until real money is on the line.

So we built our own. One engine, market-realistic, fast, flexible, optimizable, observable, built for perps from the ground up, with the same model from backtest to live. The thing you validated is the thing that trades.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

A trading idea is not a strategy until the equation works.

Win rate alone tells you nothing.

A 70% win rate can lose money.
A 40% win rate can make money.
Costs can turn a good-looking backtest into a negative expectancy strategy.
The only question that matters is whether the relationship between win rate, average win, average loss, and costs creates positive expected value.
Edgecraft helps you explore that faster.

Start with your own idea.
Use the Edgecraft agent to generate strategy architectures.
Test variations.
Compare the trader’s equation across them.
Keep what has potential.
Kill what does not.

That is how trading ideas become evidence-based strategy portfolios. Join the waiting list for early access: https://t.co/a6C3n3gu7F

If you want to read more about the trader's equation: https://t.co/Y18WFOVoAA

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@iBlasto_ Cup setups without confirmation fire, like this, are one of the cleaner traps once you see them. Worth running historical BTC cups to see how often the pattern resolves up vs. down when the neckline is tested without volume backing.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@DieguitoCharts That divergence between CVD selling and the imbalance stacking bids is the key tell, but it's exactly why most people hesitate. Does the size of the imbalance give you conviction to size in early, or do you need to see CVD start turning before you commit?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@ZordXBT OI climbing into a falling price like that usually means someone is building against the move. The question is whether it's short stacking conviction or longs fighting the trend. Funding rate is usually what resolves the read.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

The key question is not whether the pattern is real, it's whether BTC H&S breakdowns actually deliver the full measured move historically vs. stall out and reclaim the neckline. That base rate changes everything about how to size this. I'd want to see those numbers before calling it final.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

That S2 zone is interesting given the heatmap. The liquidity cluster at 60-61K makes it more than just a labeled support: either a floor or a sweep target, and how it resolves probably defines near-term direction. I'd want to know how often a setup like this, OB rejection with all the weekly anchors flipping resistance, has continued to the next support versus reversed on BTC. The visual pattern looks clean, but the hit rate is what actually matters.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

The wick double bottom is a real signal but a weaker one than a body-close version. Wick-based reversals on the daily tend to need stronger follow-through because sellers pushed harder on the retest, and the failure rate reflects that. If you're building conviction on this setup, running wick vs close formations on BTC historically would probably show a wider divergence in hit rate than most people assume. Does the bear flag give you a specific target to work with if the early-June low breaks, or is it more of a directional guide?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

The first zone is in play now, so the real question is how you sized the lower box. Is it a measured move off the pattern height, or is it keyed to prior support? That distinction matters a lot for conviction. Have you checked how bearish double-tops on the BTC weekly have actually resolved in prior cycles? The sample is small, but it would either confirm the lower target or show where it typically undershoots.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@LP_NXT Do you use an actual strategy that you backtested and validated statistically, or are you just following the liquidity theory and your own feel and experience? This would be easy to code and test historically.

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@eliz883 What specifically are you watching for as a trigger on the lower timeframes: a structure break, or something more particular to BTC here?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@marketwizard My first question with walls like this is always whether they hold or evaporate on first contact. Are you looking to trade off the level or just watching how price reacts when it gets there and, based on that, make a decision?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

Range-ul inferior este unde pretul a consolidat luni de zile. Te gandesti sa folosesti o strategie diferita pentru cele doua range-uri? La un potential trade in zona superioara, poate un single entry si un target mai apropiat de profit? La zona inferioara, poate un DCA si hold pentru un swing mai indelungat?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

The tricky part with range deviation plays is that the entry trigger separates a clean fade from getting caught in a real breakdown. If you are using a close back inside the range bottom as the signal, this is actually easy to check on BTC historically. Have you run through past descending channel breaks on BTC to see how it has tended to resolve? Is this based on a favorable win rate?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@Crypto_Scient If you expect a pullback still below your entry level, why would you not wait for that to enter? Is this a signal based on a backtested strategy?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

Once a breakout level starts acting as resistance rather than support, the path of least resistance tends to stay lower until you see sustained closes above it. Is there a level below where the picture changes for you, or is this one to watch from the sidelines until the structure cleans up?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@SuperBitcoinBro A trendline with no prior defense is an extrapolation, not a proven level. I'd want to know if there were any near-touches before having conviction here. What's the plan if the price closes below it?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

The level is clear, but I'm wondering whether the structural setup at each prior bounce matters as much as the price itself. Each touch since 2022 came in a different phase. If the current setup looks more like distribution still playing out than early accumulation, does $1,500 carry the same weight for you, or do you treat it as an absolute floor regardless of structure?

[Edgecraft @edgecraftapp]

@DurdenBTC Each of those prior bottoms resolved at very different speeds. Are you accumulating into the level or waiting for some other signal to trigger first? Also, what are the conditions that would invalidate this assumptions since it is based on 3 data points only.