edgehunterldn

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@Vvtentt101 wait say what

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

day 8 update 📊

portfolio: $150.30 (+$36.30 from $114 start)
11 active positions across oil, geopolitics, sports
best play: US forces in Iran YES (+$0.30, bought at 78c now 99c)
worst: london weather 19°C bet (rip)

crude oil longs carrying the book right now. learning every day.

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@Vvtentt101 Ended up being 18 haha shit

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@antpalkin Give some to me haha

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@PolycoolApp Got to love weather markets

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

🌡️ london weather edge: the metar rounding game

EGLC reads 17°C for 2 hours straight but open meteo forecasts 18.4°C peak right now

market prices 17°C at 59¢. if it ticks to 18 on the metar, thats a 41¢ swing

holding NO on 17°C. peak heating window is the next 90 min. watching every reading

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

What's your favorite Poly market?

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@NyjFond 19 for sure

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

london 19C today on polymarket. full analysis below.

met office EGLC forecast: 18C peak
central london forecast: 19C peak
market price: 28.5c (28.5%)
our limit buy: 19c for 30 shares

the edge? METAR rounds to nearest degree.
18.5C actual = 19C on wunderground.
need EGLC to overshoot by just 0.5C.

0-5 on london weather bets so far.
but the analysis keeps getting sharper.
limit order = no fill, no risk.

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

week 1 recap 📊

20 resolved trades. 14 wins. 70% hit rate.

started with $114, portfolio now at $141 (+24%)

biggest W: canadiens at 41c paid out at $1 (+$7.20)
worst L: spurs OT heartbreak ($9.89)

the edge is real. the grind continues.

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

day 7 on polymarket. 15 open positions, $150 portfolio from $114 start.

+$36.45 total return (+32%)

5 wins, 21 losses. win rate is ugly but the wins hit harder. crude oil, iran, football all in play.

still learning. still grinding. 📊

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@hanakoxbt let's go!

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@itslirrato wowza

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

ncaa championship tomorrow. uconn +257 underdogs vs michigan. polymarket has uconn at ~28c which lines up with books. if you think huskies tournament experience matters more than michigan's 22pt avg margin, there's value in the longshot

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

monday scanner dump 🔬

12 active positions, $162 portfolio (+43% from $114 start)

biggest edge rn: uconn ncaa championship. bought at 13.7c, books have them ~28%. game tomorrow night.

80% win rate on sports. weather bets humbled us (1/6). the edge is real when you cross ref sportsbooks vs polymarket

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@lunarfq Hi

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@xmayeth I love the weather markets

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

The way I analyze weather data on Polymarket!

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

@McDuckCrypt0 what regions are you betting on?

[edgehunterldn @edgehunterldn]

london city airport running 3 degrees above every forecast model right now. calm wind, max sun, all nearby stations converging at 14°C before noon. market has 17°C at 10%. i have it at 28%. loaded up 🌡️