I am proud to say that I am now 2 months sober from my drug of choice. Which is engaging with racist lat*no subhumans on twitter.
To anyone out there struggling, it gets easier 🙏
Spot on. I sometimes wonder if their path-to-losing "strategy" is not so much chosen as imposed?
They have been under sanctions for 4 decades and as impressive as their ballistic missiles are each one costs upwards of a quarter of a million dollars.
Their hesitancy to escalate could be a physics problem. They just don't have enough missiles to fight a war at the intensity required to win?
I lost interest and stopped closely tracking the US-Iran conflict when I saw Iran was pulling its punches.
Everything I've seen since has aligned with this assessment.
The path to I.R. victory has always been obvious. They must play a game of chicken with the regional and world economy. Instead, they have played a deterrent game, like a superpower.
The path they're taking is for a slow defeat, rather than a victory.
My theory is the elites care more about their own survival than the survival of the regime.
I thought they were truly devoted to the cause. They don't appear to be.
I live in Miami and can confirm it's potentially one of the worst places to live in the U.S.
- Horrible drivers / traffic
- Zero public transport
- Weather is good for 90 days / year
- Average occupation is Only Fans / e-com scammer
- No English speakers
Otherwise, great city!
Still more absolute 🔥 from Terence Tao:
“We have now seen that even the rumor of someone working on a problem can trigger a massive amount of AI-powered effort to flatten it before the original research project has time to reach its full potential. The incentives may now be pointing in the direction of no longer sharing any promising research directions with the broader community, which would reverse centuries of traditions of open science and do serious long-term damage to the future of the field”
Field experts share their private thoughts and ideas with cloud AI models -> the better the training data becomes -> the more capable the next gen models become -> the larger the force multiplier becomes for whomever owns the most advance model (e.g government and the well connected)
With OpenAI breaking the taboo (of abusing this immense power to "front-run" a scientific breakthrough) why would any academic use one of these cloud AI models for research ever again?
- Emile
OpenAI solving the Navier-Stokes millennium problem by stealing chat logs of a researcher who talked to GPT is proof I predicted the future again.
As many are aware, I have been sitting on the knowledge that I have the framework to solve what I consider the largest open problem in CS, but without my own local LLM I have been proven correct my paranoia and avoidance of frontier labs is the right idea. I spent years developing those insights and I know no one is thinking that way, so id rather not rug pull myself.
The journey continues to self funding my own data center. Just gotta escape slavery in Canada first, which itself comes with a gigantic bill (in order to escape)
all other allegations aside, "we caught wind that a mathematician might be about to solve a famous problem so we spent $15 million on tokens to scoop them" is exactly why OpenAI is completely full of shit when it says it wants to work with the academic community in a positive way
>sam altman: "we tried this because there were rumor on the internet"
>rumor: math professor close to solving navier-stokes
>the professor: using codex for a year
>openai: has all his logs
>checked every codex session tagged to N-S
>found the most promising one
>spun up 10,000 agents to finish the proof where he couldn't
>they got caught
>told the guy if you say anything you'll destroy your own career
>he ruins his career over this
>openai: "we did not see his work"
>also openai: "we cannot rule out that de-identified data from their usage helped improve our models"
they stole it lmao
Timeline is filled with predictions of an imminent de-escalation from Trump
They forget it takes 2 to TACO and Trump has no goodwill left with the Iranians
The next "TACO" will cost Trump a few planes to Tehran filled with cash
- Emile
With copper at $6.85 per pound, the melt value of a pre-1982 penny is 4.46 cents. Even modern pennies, made mostly of zinc, have a current melt value of 1.07 cents. Pennies are a much better investment than Treasuries. They're not only risk-free, but the upside potential is huge.
My nephew Lukas is one of the best neurosurgeons in Germany
His salary? A mind-blowing €58,000 a year before tax
Last month a hospital in the US offered him $680,000
"Are you going to take it?" I asked him
"It looks good on paper. But in reality, I would actually earn less in the US"
He is right. In Munich, he makes €58,000 and gets:
35 days of vacation
Fully-paid paternity leave
Excellent public transportation
Government that cares about privacy
Diverse, multi-cultural society
If you count this in, it's much more than $680,000
European wages are the highest in the world if you adjust for life quality