Emile vd Weerd

Interim CX-Driven Commercial Leader | Marketing, Sales & Comms | Telecom - Retail - Aviation - Travel | Business Growth | Stakeholder & Project Management

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

Not sure why this is so special. Wouldn't we all stay with our dog, cat, horse, to rescue?
@Rainmaker1973

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@SputnikInt In the meanwhile, the USA invests in oil.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

I'm the meanwhile, the USA invests in oil.
@SputnikInt

[Vincent van Gogh @vangoghartist]

Self Portrait with a Grey Felt Hat - 1887 #artbots #vangogh

[Simon Kuestenmacher @simongerman600]

I’ve been sent this lovely chart showing nested synonyms for popular adjectives without a source. Still worth sharing. I love it!

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@apod He did quite a bit of detour.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@BangOlufsen Forgive the direct question, but is Bang & Olufsen diversifying into the intimate wellness market?

[Chubby♨️ @kimmonismus]

Google DeepMind published a 60-page paper mapping the road from AGI to superintelligence, written by Hutter, Legg, and Genewein. No hype, just a sober analysis

The paper uses three levels. AGI = roughly average human performance across most cognitive tasks. ASI = a system that beats large, well-coordinated groups of human experts across virtually everything (their bar: tens of thousands of experts working ten years on one problem). Universal AI / AIXI = the theoretical ceiling, uncomputable, only approachable from below.

Then they explore the question of how this could be achieved:

Scaling compute, models, and data, the continuation of the trend that drove the breakthrough so far. It is the only path with historical data available for extrapolation. The core question: Does quantity transform into quality? Even if individual models plateau, the sheer act of running millions of faster AGI instances could trigger the leap. (A quick aside: that is a fascinating philosophical idea. It always reminds me of Hegel’s dialectic, the notion that quantity transforms into quality. We ought to start drawing on philosophical theories to make sense of the future.)

Algorithmic paradigm shifts: a genuine break from the transformer pretraining paradigm. New architectures, new learning methods. However, hard to predict by definition.

Recursive self-improvement: AI accelerates AI research, which produces better AI, which accelerates research further.

Multi-agent coordination: superintelligence emerges from large collectives of AGI agents working together, like automated corporations or AI economies. Collective intelligence potentially far exceeding any individual model.

The authors naturally point to what I repeatedly describe as the biggest bottleneck: energy. I recently linked to a few graphs showing, on the one hand, the extent to which energy is already becoming a problem and, on the other, how China dominates the expansion of both nuclear and solar energy in the global race. But the authors also address a profound shift in the world of work in a post-AGI era. I would say this is a reality we must face.

So, it is not just about scaling, but also about whether the underlying conditions - such as energy and hardware - can be effectively established.

Six things that could slow or stop all of this:

The data wall. Quality training data runs out, possibly before the end of this decade.

Resource demand grows too fast. Energy, chips, rare earths, investment. The physical infrastructure can't scale arbitrarily.

The neural paradigm hits a ceiling. Pretrained transformers plus fine-tuning may not be enough to reach AGI, let alone go beyond it.

Research gets harder. Keeping Moore's law going already needs 18x more researchers than in the 1970s. Ideas are genuinely harder to find as fields mature.

The abstraction barrier. Models trained on human concepts may never invent new ones from scratch. Saturating GPQA or SWE-bench shows mastery of what humans already worked out, not the ability to go beyond it. Train only on pre-Newtonian physics and you won't reason your way to relativity.

Deliberate slowdown. Regulation, accidents, public backlash. Real, but likely countered by the competitive pressure between companies and nations.

I think it’s great that Google is addressing questions such as which paths they believe lead to AGI, what the road to ASI might look like, what challenges will arise, and much more. Overall, however, it sounds to me like all of this could actually succeed, making it, in that sense, a call to discuss and reflect on the consequences.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@_khkmagduru_ It is mostly a biological failure.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@ryanbrewer777 @end3of6days9 @grok @grok what happened?

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@elonmusk Give Gaza free access to the internet.
We all need to see the truth.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@elonmusk The Augmented Future Party
Not left. Not right. Just optimized.

Citizen-led. AI-augmented.
Goals in → Data-driven policy out.
No lobbyists. No ideology. Just outcomes.

Engineered, not elected.
#AFParty #AIpolitics #PostPolitics #ThirdParty

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@elonmusk sharpen your knifes; come to the Netherlands; advanced green tech ecosystem, pro-EV Gov, R&D incentives, hyper efficiënt infra, open to Space, biotech, & AI innovation, strong talent ecosystem, world-class STEM education, and the country of ASML, NXP, Philips, and VDL.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@elonmusk sharpen your knifes; come to the Netherlands; advanced green tech ecosystem, pro-EV Gov, R&D incentives, hyper efficiënt infra, open to Space, biotech, & AI innovation, strong talent ecosystem, world-class STEM education, and the country of ASML, NXP, Philips, and VDL.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@MISINFOSCIENCE @elonmusk Loyalty is beautiful, loyalty over all is ignorance, and quite stupid.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@Tesla It's a cybertruck, doesn't crash, goes straight through it.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@mikethewhop @HansMokeNiemann @GMHikaru I have watched the Hikaru piece, and was totally convinced of Hans cheating during the tournament. He is a chess player, and is a master in his game, also online. ;)

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@HansMokeNiemann I also fall victim to misinformation from the likes of Hikaru.. it's scary how quick we can become opinionated and polarized..

We all make mistakes in life, that's part of growing. l hope Hans will grow out of this and continue his amazing carreer, he has talented and witty.

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@thehill @mtgreenee Let's turn on a wok gas stove in her house for 24 hours, and tell her we turn it off for $1...

[Emile vd Weerd @Empassie]

@StarlinkPage Starlink @ Carribean?