this paper is f*cking insane
it basically explains why most traders are not trading edge
they are trading noise with a story attached to it
the framework is brutal:
decompose the move
remove market + factor exposure
study the residual
treat every pattern like a suspect
stress the tails
kill anything that fails out-of-sample
the scary part is how convincing fake skill can look
a high Sharpe can come from randomness
a smooth PnL can hide tail risk
and 30 stocks can still be one correlated bet
the line that matters most:
a weak trader asks how good the result looks
a strong quant asks how hard it is to break
real quant research is not about finding more signals
it is about building a rejection machine strong enough to stop fake alpha from touching capital
bookmark this before you trust your next backtest
🚨BREAKING: ChatGPT can now search for discount codes and test them at checkout before you buy anything online.
I tried it, and it found a working code that saved me 20%.
Here is how to do it: 👇
This trader embedded quantum trading math into his bot
Adaptive Fully + Corrective Frank-Wolfe + Bregman Projection
this trader made $1,720,273 on Polymarket trading with a bot
sounds complex? let me break it down:
> a regular bot finds the best entry point and goes straight for it
> this algorithm does the same, but constantly recalculates the route
combined with an arbitrage strategy it looks like this:
> monitor spot momentum (>0.5% move in 60s)
> check Chainlink API last update
> compare to Polymarket live odds
> if odds lag → enter position
> exit at 65-70% odds or 15s before close
his profile: https://t.co/ReiSBcxH2G
8 free GitHub bots for Polymarket trading…
Here is everything you need to automate and make your trading easier:
1. A bot with 118 ready to use strategies and tools for trading on prediction markets (Binance-Polymarket latency, Kalshi-Polymarket arbitrage, Penny Clipper, Smart Routing, DCA bots and more).
It was built by a Russell Group University cs student who later won a hackathon with this bot.
You can also see this bot in action in the video below.
GitHub: https://t.co/2MCzD8iZG7
2. This bot analyzes the actual trading behavior of any Polymarket trader.
It looks for repeated patterns, identifies the strategies he uses and shows how you could adapt them to your own trading.
GitHub: https://t.co/SzdjHtASLt
3. A bot that can automatically manage all your limit orders on Polymarket to maximize liquidity rewards.
GitHub: https://t.co/nvb96dTIwx
4. This is a bot toolkit that includes copy trading, whale tracking, market making, sports trading, spread farming and more…
GitHub: https://t.co/p3obYeQTzO
5. A weather trading bot, powered by the Hermes agent that scans multiple weather sources and estimates temperature ranges using a Gaussian Bucket strategy.
Then it compares these ranges with current Polymarket prices and sends you trading signals directly on Telegram.
It can track its own performance, learn and improve its strategy over time.
GitHub: https://t.co/OBdsje8MAm
6. A Smart Money trading bot - it finds top pnl traders in selected markets, filters them by win rate, entry prices and consistency, and then creates a list for automated copy trading.
GitHub: https://t.co/qbk9l2uxLd
7. Another weather bot that analyzes airport data and aviation observations (METAR) to generate a detailed weather report for a specific city and day.
GitHub: https://t.co/No3sBcqMg1
8. A large repo with 30+ free trading bots, tools and services for prediction markets.
GitHub: https://t.co/a2WRRl8PJl
Each of these bots comes with a step by step setup and usage guide in English.
The most profitable equation in a history of hedge funds:
Rt = R0 × (σt / σ̄)^γ
It makes money by ignoring noise.
Bookmark this and then read the article.
This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$69,203 on Polymarket
40,854 predictions in 37 days with a 57% win rate
How is this account bringing in about $1,870 per day? The logic is simple:
1. It moves across short crypto “Up / Down” markets at roughly 46 trades per hour
2. It can build exposure on one outcome first, wait for the probabilities to shift, and then add the opposite side to form a stronger hedge
3. As each window develops, the bot adjusts the positions between both outcomes and keeps more orders on the side where the clearest edge remains
This trader’s Polymarket account:
uninformedfloww
Most profitable trades:
$430 → $3,000 (+$2,570 +597.7%)
$454 → $2,309 (+$1,855 +408.3%)
$2,469 → $4,288 (+$1,819 +73.7%)
Its PnL comes from reshaping the same setup across thousands of fast-moving markets rather than depending on a single standout position
quant trading is f*cking misunderstood
the best quant firms are not trying to predict where the market goes next
they isolate tiny mispricings, size them correctly, and repeat them until randomness stops mattering
the result: even a 51% win rate can become an entire business across thousands of independent trades
the crazy part is the edge can be almost invisible
a few cents of expected value
one stretched residual
one temporary liquidity imbalance
on a single trade, it means almost nothing
repeated 10,000 times with proper sizing, it becomes something discretionary traders cannot compete with
bookmark before you try predicting another candle
hyperliquid liquidation heatmap for btc
maps where open HL positions get liquidated
also added liquidation alerts to the public telegram channel for nearby clusters
data from @hypertracker
instructions below
$BTC
Here is a 6-min video breaking down my trade execution
0:13 - First Attempt
0:30 - Absorption w/ Aggr
1:12 - TPO w/ MMT
1:55 - Footprint w/ MMT
3:01 - Second Attempt
3:54 - Receipts
4:09 - Next Setup
This is the VOLUME PROFILE and it can give you precise SNIPER level entries for your trades.
Most traders don't know about this simple & powerful tool.
But after going through this thread 🧵, you will know how to add it to your trading arsenal.👇
เดี๋ยวผมจะมา live เล่าให้ฟังนะครับ ว่าทำไมผมถึง short ได้ที่ 81K และถือลงมาปิดทั้งหมดได้ที่ 60.5K และกล้าที่จะสะสม short เพิ่มไปถึง 4 ไม้นะครับ
ใครอยากดูมุมมองก่อนเข้า short ตอนต้นเดือนลองดู live เก่า ในคอมเม้นนะครับ