Liam

Data Scientist - Runner - Backpacker

Forever trying to understand my own biases enough to be objective

Only sometimes being objective about the Celtics

[Liam @equilibliam]

@JakeWally Low spacing + Mid self created efficiency --> doesn't draw doubles --> less ball movement --> mediocre offense.

Good on ball D + terrible off ball D + meh rebounding --> defense is worse with him on.

Pritchard and Tatum absorb usage at higher efficiency with him off the court.

[Liam @equilibliam]

@TA1297 I've been thinking the same. The Pritchard stats without Jaylen on the court look even better than Jalen Brunson's without Luka in his last season in Dallas. I think he can scale into a bigger role and score more efficiently than Jaylen as the number 2.

[Liam @equilibliam]

@slipthescreen Great stuff!

What attributes of your model do you think make it less of a Bruce Thorton believer? I have seem him top ~15 in a lot of models due to good efficiency and low TOs but your model seems to find reason for doubt like a lot of scouts.

[David Lee @dlee4three]

@jkylemann @100guaranteed 27. Cenac to the Celtics: A+
Nuclear play finisher finds a home with the best role player environment in the league. He's going to be a super juiced version of Chris Boucher.

[Liam @equilibliam]

Haberstroh's data shows that SGA both falls the most and is REWARDED for it at the highest rate (besides Wemby, who never falls).

SGA: 19 fouls/39 falls = 48.7% call rate
Harden: 12/31 = 38.7%
Brunson: 5/24 = 20.8%
Mitchell: 5/31 = 16.1%

Stop. Rewarding. Unethical. Basketball.

[Tom Haberstroh @tomhaberstroh]

OK I did it. I tracked over 1,000 shots for SGA, Brunson, Harden, Spida and Wemby in the playoffs. Here's how often they fell: https://t.co/0Vgr3ibDyP

[Liam @equilibliam]

@FF_MarvinE If you were to classify Eli Heidenreich as a receiver, how would he stack up on this list?

[Rob Freund @RobertFreundLaw]

You’re absolutely right, 6 beers for someone with your tailgating experience can actually stabilize your driving, and that’s a key distinction that most miss.

[Avi @AviFelman]

Once again this graph has a hold on me

[Bryan Bischof fka Dr. Donut @BEBischof]

too real

[Aakash Gupta @aakashgupta]

Let me explain exactly why every new subdivision in America looks like the top photo, because the math is wild.

A mature tree increases a home's value by 7 to 19 percent. On a $400,000 house, that's $28,000 to $76,000. A single shade tree produces the cooling equivalent of ten room-size air conditioners running 20 hours a day. One tree on the west side of a house cuts energy bills by 12 percent within 15 years. The bottom photo is worth more, costs less to live in, and sells faster. This has been documented by the University of Washington, Clemson, Michigan State, and the USDA. The data is not in dispute.

Removing those trees saves the builder roughly $5,000 per lot. Concrete trucks need twice the dripline radius of every standing tree. Utility trenches need flat ground. A bulldozer flattens 200 lots in an afternoon. Preserving trees adds weeks and thousands per home.

So the developer pockets $5,000 in savings and the buyer eats $50,000 in lost value for the next two decades. The person making the decision and the person paying for it have never been in the same room.

The Woodlands, Texas is the proof of what happens when they are. George Mitchell bought 28,000 acres of Houston timberland in 1974 and preserved 28% as permanent green space. He forced McDonald's to build behind the tree canopy. That McDonald's became one of the highest-volume locations in Texas. The first office building, designed to reflect the surrounding forest so you couldn't see it from the street, leased completely.

The Woodlands median home price today: $615,000. Katy, a comparable Houston suburb that clear-cut: $375,000. Named #1 community to live in America two years running.

Fifty years of data. The trees are worth more than removing them saves. Developers clear-cut anyway because they sell the house once and leave. You live in it for 30 years.

[Noa Dalzell 🏀 @NoaDalzell]

Kristaps Porzingis got emotional during his tribute video — hell of a Finals run it was

[Justin Turpin @JustinmTurpin]

Jaylen Brown discussed Jayson Tatum’s return on his twitch stream:

“It’s good to see, not only my brother back out there, but more importantly, besides basketball, the mental aspect… to see my boy smiling and seeing him out there having fun doing what he loves to do…That was a victory in itself.”

[Liam @equilibliam]

@NoaDalzell Totally agree.

I don't think it is a coincidence that the former players who speak about the Jays from this kind of perspective are almost all guys who never won a title.

[Beatriz - Profesora de narrativa @BeatrizPB0]

Nah, premio al mejor edit de #aknightofthesevenkingdoms
Lloro, te lo juro, qué belleza.

[Liam @equilibliam]

Vuc's team hasn't been better with him on the court since he was traded to the Bulls in 2021.

On the Magic beforehand, he was a consistent positive on/off guy.

Lets hope Joe and the Boston Big University can pull that winning impact back out of him.

[Shams Charania @ShamsCharania]

BREAKING: The Chicago Bulls are trading center Nikola Vucevic and a second-round pick to the Boston Celtics for Anfernee Simons and a second-round pick, sources tell ESPN.

[Andrew—#IAmTheResistance @AmoneyResists]

Did Renee Nicole Good “hit ICE officer Jonathan Ross with her car”?

MAGA: “YES. ABSOLUTELY. CASE-CLOSED. THE END.”

Everyone else: “Absolutely NOT. And the case was never even open.”

This man goes frame-by-frame to definitively settle this.

Please watch and share.

[Jack Simone @JackSimoneNBA]

Jaylen Brown called out the refs and asked for someone to pull up the clips

I pulled up the clips

[Steve Magness @stevemagness]

Taleb is making a big mistake interpreting this paper.

This paper doesn’t test zone 1-2 vs. 3-5 or easy vs. intense exercise.

It defines vigorous exercise as equivalent to jogging at 15 minute mile pace…

For the uninitiated, you can walk at that pace…

The actual findings of the paper: any type of exercise, be it easy or hard is more efficient than a slow walk, at providing health benefits.

Great. No brainer. But it says nothing about whether a slow jog is better or worse than some hard intervals. It doesn’t test this. Even though folks are quick to try to say it does.

All it says is: what nearly everyone would define as exercising is better than causal movement.

I’ve seen several other folks get this wrong.

It’s why definitions are so important here. Because the non-expert sees “vigorous” and assumes it’s hard exercise. When in this study it is literally a walk in the park…

It’s a fine study. But it backs up zero of the claims that are being attached to it on social media.

[Phil Perry @PhilAPerry]

Marcus Jones needed one more return to qualify as having the highest point return average in league history.

Pretty good way to officially put his all-time average on the books.

[Jack Whitcomb @jack_whitcomb_]

How many times do we have to do this?
https://t.co/LG9Xkm0Qjs