Eric T. Plutzer

Political scientist and survey methodologist at Penn State.

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

@JustinWolfers @natesilver Nate Silver is taking pollster's published margins of error at face value. The effect of weighting on past vote should be a dampening of the sampling variance -- very similar to the "first stage ratio adjustment" used in institutional surveys such as the monthly BLS jobs report.

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

Democracy on the ballot, in more ways than one. https://t.co/6o9bIRGBbG New @McCourtneyInst / @APMResearch Mood of the Nation Poll.

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

@polpsychjoe Pretty clear that Trump's 2020 record number of national votes for a losing candidate was due to mobilization of peripheral voters (not habitual and not newly registered). They stayed home for special elections and reproductive rights ballot initiatives.

[Arthur Spirling @arthur_spirling]

not an RCT so obviously can’t claim causality. If anything it’s probably bookings causing the eclipse

[Penn State McCourtney Institute for Democracy @McCourtneyInst]

Please join us in congratulating @CEU_iUfU on receiving the 2024 Brown Democracy Medal! Invisible University's work follows a long tradition of underground universities as acts of democratic defiance amid conflict and rising authoritarianism. https://t.co/khGPYOI6Ma

[Kyle Saunders @profgoose]

(cc: @itserinfitz)

Our soon-to-be-out article, coming soon to a Public Opinion Quarterly volume near you, might have something to say about all this...

https://t.co/TxJYjsvZuo

[Jon Green @_Jon_Green]

"The Rhetorical 'What Goes with What': Political Pundits and the Discursive Superstructure of Ideology in U.S. Politics" is conditionally accepted at Public Opinion Quarterly: https://t.co/Qkedri4nqY

[aapor @AAPOR]

In this article in Public Opinion Quarterly, researchers introduce a revised hostile sexism scale for better measurement accuracy. Item-specific format improves validity, recommending adoption by researchers. Learn more: https://t.co/VRG4Gfw5xa

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

@NateSilver538 "Consensus" is the wrong concept: That many think one explanation is more likely than another when neither has strong, direct evidence is nothing like the consensus that multiple, independent lines of evidence show greenhouse gasses contribute to global temperature rise.

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

Great piece!

[XYZVerse Contact Center @xyz_verseCC]

My new article, "Affective Polarization and Habits of Political Participation," is out now in open access at @ElectoralStdies!
👉https://t.co/ph7TZVNXWM 1/6

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

Very excited that POQ will devote it's upcoming special issue to qualitative research on public opinion, civic behavior, elections, political communication or any other topic within our usual scope. Pass the word!

[aapor @AAPOR]

The Public Opinion Quarterly is accepting papers for the 2025 Special Qualitative Issue: Qualitative Research: Advancing the Social & Behavioral Sciences. Learn more: https://t.co/w7BMiqH2yE

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

@McCourtneyInst Is there a transcript?

[Eric T. Plutzer @ericplutzer]

@b_schaffner Huge shifts. Thanks for posting. I'm guessing at least a small part is entangled with shifts to the south, and growing proportions of higher skilled workers (as some positions automate). But hard to see anything other than partisan change being the lion's share of explanation.

[Craig Helmstetter @c_helmstetter]

A bipartisan majority of Americans support universal background checks and gun licensing. A majority also supports an assault weapons ban, but support is more partisan

https://t.co/PRgx9LGwHW by @McCourtneyInst's @ericplutzer & @APMResearch's @rithwik_kalale & me via @MPRnews

[Penn State McCourtney Institute for Democracy @McCourtneyInst]

"In the last few years, we have come to understand that democracy is hard work, that it requires a lot from all of us, and that it's fragile." - @cbeem1 in the @AP as part of a story on a new Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll. https://t.co/RjvTMwTvIS

[aapor @AAPOR]

There is still time to apply for a journal editor or associate editor position! https://t.co/pFclTOs0gf

[Craig Helmstetter @c_helmstetter]

@Penn_state's @ericplutzer explains:
“There are two very different ways Americans are pushed away from political discussion. The first is lack of interest... The other is deliberate avoidance, even if they are interested."
https://t.co/sVk8TLQWRc

[Craig Helmstetter @c_helmstetter]

My latest, just in time for #4thofJuly

https://t.co/7kxiz5bHgw via @LAist

@APMResearch's analysis of new @McCourtneyInst Mood of the Nation Poll data finds that 3 in 4 of Americans endorse democracy, but only 16% say they feel comfortable talking about politics with everyone

[Craig Helmstetter @c_helmstetter]

.@APMResearch's analysis of NEW @McCourtneyInst Mood of the Nation polling data via @MPRnews https://t.co/dIwhWtYwcq

Among the findings: 1 in 8 Americans (13%) avoid talking about politics with their spouse or romantic partner
#4thofJuly

[Michael Nelson @mjnelson7]

Congrats to Morrgan Herlihy, a @psupolisci student whose research on state politics and federal judicial selection you should watch out for, on being the inaugural @McCourtneyInst Roosevelt Fellow. You can read more about Morrgan and the fellowship here: https://t.co/aSCF1q4ytr