Eric

Political science Bachelor's, government employee. Election junkie. Tree enthusiast. Hot mess.

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@KennethHeitger @Stacialeigh1 @PAStateDept It’s been counted if it says that. If there is an issue with it, it would say rejected

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@MondaireJones Your “responsibility” to protect America from MAGA should have been putting your ego aside and not running again since you’re (clearly) not good at campaigns. Please never run again.

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@HeartlandRoads @JoseManrique93 I’m aware. But it’s not working properly. So I asked WHERE they’re viewing NYT

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@nytimes Your site isn’t working properly

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@blockedfreq Still a bunch not recorded I would say. I have 3 friends that returned theirs to the drop box in dauphin county yesterday and are still showing as not returned so they haven’t processed the weekend drop offs yet. Prob the same in many counties.

[Swann Marcus @SwannMarcus89]

Other pollsters: “We need to herd to protect our reputations and avoid underestimating Trump again”

Ann Selzer: lmfao what if Harris is winning Iowa tho

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@MassJumbo Cumberland, PA

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@Tarabaraaaaa @mattmfm That district or anything similar to it didn’t exist in 2016. It was still a heavy gerrymander until the 2018 election

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@notcapnamerica lol the pick-me gays post this stuff for attention then get upset when they get it 😂

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@appodlachia Mifflin county, PA. Appalaysha.

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@ECaliberSeven Color scheme on this isn’t reader friendly. All Harris counties except safe are purple and not blue.

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@JacobRubashkin @InsideElections @NoblePredictive PA-10

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@AndrewGreene864 @tbonier Can’t really do that either. PA didn’t have mail voting in 2016, only absentee with an excuse required so mail voting was virtually non-existent in 2016

[Adam Carlson @admcrlsn]

I try not to put my blind faith in anyone.

But you’d be a fool not to take Joshua seriously.

No one knows Pennsylvania better than him.

And he won’t sugarcoat it if things turn south for Harris in the next 49 days.

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@PA_Voter_34 So there’s still plenty of room for these counties to move further right. And the elections atlas site inverts the party colors but couldn’t find a better graphic. Either way I think the WOW counties will cancel any more rightward movement in the rurals. And Dane is 🫡

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@PA_Voter_34 I don’t think it’s that simple. You might be able to say that trump hit ceiling in PA but there are still ancestral D places he has a lot of room to grow. Wisconsins ancestral rural D counties were the main places that shifted right while the state as a whole moved left

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@PA_Voter_34 Conversely, you could say WI’s rurals just aren’t close to maxing out for Rs like in PA, and they have more room to fall.. just like the WOW counties have much more room for Ds to grow than PA’s suburban counties.

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@lxeagle17 🙋🏻‍♂️in pennsylvania. In Pa-10, in SD15. Very glad I pay the little extra to have no ads on all of my streamers. 😅

[Eric @ericscottpol]

@davidsacc12345 Are you basing final prediction of the model off of final results? Meaning the 2024 model could change up until the election?