Why Do I Want Myself in Particular to Exist in Ten Years?
I dearly hope to be alive in a decade -- but what if anything justifies this intensity of feeling?
(Reflections inspired by my recent cancer diagnosis.)
https://t.co/ieXqOwzM9I
Another interview of me on the possibility AI consciousness, with Cameron Berg (22 minutes).
(It's a couple of weeks old, but I missed the announcement in the flurry of activity around my cancer diagnosis.)
https://t.co/ChHkpbhJXv
My first immunotherapy visit, in the company of Becky Chambers’ The Long Way to a Small Angry Planet. Science-fictional reading during a treatment that would have been science fiction ten years ago.
An Argument for Vastly Many Observers Smaller than a Proton [abbreviated argument here; link to full-length blog post at end of thread]
Assumption 1: The universe is infinite.
Assumption 2: If the universe is infinite, complexity recurs at large scales.
1/3
@pgodfreysmith The only argument for smaller structure is the Copernican consideration, if we accept many larger structures permitting complexity and evolution. It’s not just “physics might be wrong”, but it’s definitely not strongly supported, requiring several intermediate theses to be true.
encouraged about the human spirit.
(If you missed the news earlier: newly discovered metastatic kidney cancer with multiple spine metastases and risk of fracture or cord collapse.) 2/2
Today has been my first day rolling solo around campus in a manual wheelchair. An unanticipated benefit: students kindly offering to hold doors, push me up slopes, and reach things down from shelves. A much-increased density of... let's call them micro-kindnesses. I feel 1/2
encouraged about the human spirit.
(If you missed the news earlier: newly discovered metastatic kidney cancer with multiple spine metastases and risk of fracture or cord collapse.) 2/2
@joshtasoff That seems plausible. That’s part of why I like to think of it as Copernican reasoning rather than generally anthropic. You can only be Copernican about very few things, each approximately as special as being at the center of the universe. This limits multiple comparisons.
@pgodfreysmith evidence and into pure speculation. On the large size, what reasons are there pro or con to expect simplicity at every scale larger than, say, 10^100000000000000 meters? Here we either shrug or think about what in general speaks in favor or against complexity scaling up.
@pgodfreysmith I wonder if you’re thinking of the same scales I’m thinking of. On the large side, far vaster than the observable universe, on the small side, far smaller than a Planck length. If we’re willing to zoom out infinitely, we get beyond the range of scope of direct empirical 1/2
@NaraEntreLineas Perhaps that a limit on the information that we on the outside can extract? Compare the limited information that can be extracted from a black hole, despite possibly great complexity within.
Assumption 3: If the universe is infinite and complexity recurs at large scales, so do life and intelligence.
Assumption 4: Given Assumptions 1-3, it would be an un-Copernican coincidence if we happened to occupy the smallest scale hosting intelligent observers.
2/3
My recent book AI and Consciousness: A Skeptical Overview is free online today and tomorrow (through Oct 19, presumably UK time). I don't think the hard copy is available yet. Get it while it's free!
https://t.co/7z97c75Edr