Feb 2022
β¬ Russia-Ukraine war started
β¬ BTC dumped first and then rallied 40.3%
June 2025
β¬ Israel-Iran situation escalated
β¬ BTC dumped first and then rallied 25.5%
Feb 2026
β¬ US-Iran situation escalating
β¬ BTC dumped first too, and now recovering
Will another pump happen?
π¨ THE WHITE HOUSE HAS SET A MARCH 1 DEADLINE TO MOVE THE CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE BILL FORWARD.
The core issue has now been decided, and it goes against crypto firms and stablecoin holders: no yield on idle balances.
Todayβs meeting was led directly by the White House, which brought draft text and controlled the discussion. Coinbase, Ripple, a16z, and crypto trade groups attended. Banks were represented through national banking associations.
The draft makes it clear that firms will not be allowed to offer rewards simply for holding stablecoins. The savings account style yield model is effectively off the table.
The debate has narrowed to whether rewards can be allowed only when tied to specific activities such as lending or other structured use.
The draft also gives the SEC, Treasury, and CFTC the power to enforce the ban on idle stablecoin yield, with penalties of up to $500,000 per violation per day.
Banks are still pushing for a deposit outflow study to examine whether payment stablecoins could reduce traditional bank deposits.
However, the broader market structure bill is still viewed as positive for crypto overall.
It aims to create clearer rules around custody, exchange oversight, token classification, and the roles of the SEC and CFTC. A formal framework would reduce regulatory uncertainty that has limited institutional participation.
For crypto firms, clarity on what is allowed and what is not could unlock more long term capital, even if certain yield models are restricted.
Talks will continue this week, and an end of month agreement is realistic.
After that, a formal framework could be ready by March 1, and the bill would move to the next stage.
The biggest scam in life:
Paying taxes on the money you make.
Paying taxes on the money you spend.
And paying taxes on things you own.
Taxation is theft.
I have Spent a lot of time this last quarter dialing in my algorithm. All of my trading for certain strategies is now fully automated with Ai and hands off. The feeling is crazy.
Over a year of successful R&D.