Two of of the world's leading experts on security issues in the Americas. Next Monday. I'll be moderating. Do register and have a great listen. @llschenoni@fabiana_sofia@CharlemosLA
My husband of almost 8 years didn’t really believe I was a good dancer until he saw me dandolo todo in the living room during the Half Time show. #vindicated
Two (cynic) possibilities: (1) Someone gave up Maduro in exchange for his/her own immunity or (2) Maduro negotiated a way out because he’s more scared of his own people than of the US
To have regime change in Venezuela we would have to see an actor not associated with the regime take control of (what’s left of) the state. That has not happened.
What Will Venezuela’s Military Do? History Offers Hints
The National Bolivarian Armed Forces, or FANB for their initials in Spanish, are the key actors in deciding whether Maduro stays in power – or whether Venezuela sees some kind of leadership transition, analysts Brian Fonseca and Fabiana Sofia Perera write in an insightful essay for @AmerQuarterly.
While a U.S. military invasion of Venezuela is highly unlikely, a sustained bombing campaign targeting drug boats, and likely extending to strikes inside Venezuela against clandestine airstrips and drug labs, combined with negotiations between Trump administration officials and members of the Venezuelan opposition, could conceivably create fractures within the regime that in turn induce generals to make a change.
Previous transitions out of dictatorships in Brazil and Chile may provide a roadmap if U.S. pressure prompts Venezuelan generals to act.
Read more and join the regional dialogue at @AmerQuarterly.
@BrianPFonseca, @fabiana_sofia
https://t.co/XJTERowWfC
This was a helluvaway to wake up @PoPville. On the 5300 block of Kansas Ave NW someone smashed our car’s window and stole the air bag. Second time in one month. (Our car is not a Tesla, so whoever did this will never be caught by @DCPoliceDept)