Fantasy Football Data

Data-Driven Fantasy Football Analysis | Player Profiles, Advanced Metrics, Trends, and Winning Insights

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

A.J. Brown when lined up Out-Wide

via @FantasyPtsData

2025:
0.072 - Separation Score (28th of 99 WRs)
2.18 - YPRR (23rd)
14.7% - Win Rate (26th)

2024:
0.169 - Separation Score (9th of 97 WRs)
3.67 - YPRR (1st)
24.4% - Win Rate (4th)

2023:
0.176 - Separation Score (16th of 98 WRs)
2.96 - YPRR (7th)
26.7% - Win Rate (10th)

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

A.J. Brown when lined up Out-Wide

via @FantasyPtsData

2025:
0.072 - Separation Score (28th of 99 WRs)
2.18 - YPRR (23rd)
14.7% - Win Rate (26th)

2024:
0.169 - Separation Score (9th of 97 WRs)
3.67 - YPRR (1st)
24.4% - Win Rate (4th)

2023:
0.176 - Separation Score (16th of 98 WRs)
2.96 - YPRR (7th)
26.7% - Win Rate (10th)

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

Can some explain to me why the Ravens are the favorites in the AFC?

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

Confirmed what was expected

I've been a little bearish on Brown to New England. Mainly due to my concern of Brown's decline last year as a soon to be 29 year old WR.

In 2025, Brown had a career low in YPRR (1.96), Passer Rating when TGT (97.5), and ESPN's WR Score.

To be fair to Brown, he sustained a hamstring injury that probably limited his full ability last season. And he played in an average passing offense.

With all that being said, Brown now gets attached to one of the best QBs, offenses, and teams in football.

Drake Maye at ADP of QB7 feels like the best bet right now, but I will certainly want my shares of Brown at WR11 with Maye.

Overall, I think this is a fine deal for the Patriots, who needed to help out their young QB at WR.

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

🚨🚨🚨

ESPN sources: The Eagles are trading Pro-Bowl WR A.J. Brown to the Patriots for a 2028 first-round pick and a 2027 fifth-round pick that is the better of New England’s two fifths. The deal that has been speculated on for weeks now finally is happening. Brown and Patriots HC Mike Vrabel are reuniting.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

Emeka Egbuka Weeks 1-6

2.62 - YPRR
64.3% - Catch Rate
85.7% - Catchable Target%
1.9 - Deep Targets/G
141.8 - Passer Rate when Targeted

Weeks 7-18
1.49 - YPRR
42.4% - Catch Rate
52.9% - Catchable Target%
1 - Deep Targets/G
44.7 - Passer Rate when Targeted

via @FantasyPtsData

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

Baker Mayfield Weeks 1-6

7.89 - YPA
108.5 - Passer Rating
8.10 - ANY/A
14.4% - Deep Throw%
16.4% - Off Target%
21.1 - Fantasy P/G

via @FantasyPtsData

Weeks 7-18 (after oblique/shoulder injury)

6.19 - YPA
80.6 - Passer Rating
4.88 - ANY/A
8.9% - Deep Throw%
21.0% - Off Target%
14.5 - Fantasy P/G

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

That’s fine I was more responding to @KyleM_FF.

I think the bet against Henderson would mean to be pro Stevenson. While I’m not against Stevenson at his value, I don’t think Stevenson is that great of a runner. Via 80%+ of last season where he was pretty bad. And I don’t disagree that Henderson’s Week 9-15 success is sustainable, but I don’t think Stevensons late season success is either.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@KyleM_FF @WhosManIsThis24 So you’re saying Henderson is a bad pick, Stevenson’s a good pick, or neither?

I don’t think Henderson was that great of a runner last year but Stevenson was pretty terrible for a good chunk of it.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

I know this isn't meant to be misleading by @DBro_FFB, but it somewhat is

Here are the numbers from Weeks 1-17 (via @FantasyPtsData)

Stevenson:
+ YPC - 3.84
+ Explosive Run% - 4.9%
+ MTF/ATT - 0.21
+ YACO/ATT - 2.37
+ Success Rate - 48.8%

Henderson:
+ YPC - 5.14
+ Explosive Run% - 6.0%
+ MTF/ATT - 0.13
+ YACO/ATT - 1.89
+ Success Rate - 50.3%

Here it is from Weeks 1-14

Stevenson:
+ YPC - 3.21
+ Explosive Run% - 3.0%
+ MTF/ATT - 0.21
+ YACO/ATT - 2.12

Henderson:
+ YPC - 4.84
+ Explosive Run% - 4.7%
+ MTF/ATT - 0.12
+ YACO/ATT - 1.84

Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 18 vs MIA
7 Attempts
131 Rushing Yards
42.9% Explosive Run%
85.7% Success Rate
0.57 MTF/ATT
9.57 YACO/ATT

I think this backfield is very hard to project in many ways. Halfway through last year, everyone was begging for Henderson to get more reps, Stevenson then missed a few weeks, and Henderson went crazy during that time. Stevenson then becomes the 1B in the room and goes on this effiecney tear from Weeks 15-18. (especially in Week 18)

Stevenson is the trusted guy in pass protection, but Henderson was viewed as a very good pass-protection guy coming out of college. While I think Henderson needs to prove that, I don't think it's impossible that he can do it at a high enough level next year.

It'll be hard for me to get all in on Henderson, but I do think the upside case can be made for him in Year 2 to become a version of what we saw in the limited time without Stevenson last year.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@Underdog 👋

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@JSchimenti1982 @MBcardsdirect @Kolioko_ @KnicksMuse My counter argument is what do you want the Cavs to do in the instant of your reasoning?

If they’re getting good shots and missing, you want them to start taking worst shots then?

Or you want them to make the Knicks shots less difficult?

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@Prince726 @Chris_Broussard I understand the literal statement, but why wouldn’t the numbers match the game when that’s actually where there coming from😂

I’m also not saying numbers are the be all end all but I do feel the discourse about has become the complete opposite

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@edgewalker81 @Chris_Broussard Well you can do the wrong process and win games, that’s why playing a 7 game series compared to a one game is much better at determining the best champion.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@BenjaminSolak @FantasyKash Also Burrow’s ability to say healthy definitely stems from the total amount of drop backs he consistently takes.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@edgewalker81 @Chris_Broussard Well that’s debatable part, what is the right result.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@thenightcabbie @JordanZirm I completely understand your point, but you’re basically saying he shouldn’t say something right then?

It’s okay to say something right behind closed doors but not in front of a large room? See my point

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@Prince726 @Chris_Broussard Do you realize the stats being used for analytics are based off what’s actually being played on the field/court?

It’s just not random numbers being thrown around

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@edgewalker81 @Chris_Broussard I’d rather do the right process and get the wrong result then do wrong process and get the right result. Bc the wrong process will always catch up to you.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@realfowlkes @kcjones1498 @ShaxNBA @barcaplswin Hart has made 1 or less 3s in 9 of 13 games. I’d say from an analytics side that’s probably a guy you’d at least be fine giving some open looks too.

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@kcjones1498 @realfowlkes @ShaxNBA @barcaplswin I’d consider myself a very analytical person and completely understand your point. However, the opposite would mean just don’t take open shots? Resulting in more than likely worst shots?

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@realfowlkes @kcjones1498 @ShaxNBA @barcaplswin Idk for sure but I’d guess it has something to do with Mitchell, Strus, and Merrill going 3-18 from 3. And Hart going 5-11 from. I’m not saying that math equals the cavs winning but analytics probably say that outcome likely doesn’t happen again

[Fantasy Football Data @FantasyFFData]

@realfowlkes @kcjones1498 @ShaxNBA @barcaplswin I would imagine he’s talking about game 1 and 2, definitely game 1. Like I said I’m not completely sure, I’m not some basketball analytical nerd yet😂. So I’m not sure what the stats even uses to create that outcome