Fegitek Hana

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@WarMonitor3 Yes, Ru is still producing new ships and heavy equipment on paper but much of those are actually upgrades of existing equipment or are in a recurring loop of "delays".

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@WarMonitor3 The actual progress towards the end of the war is mostly controlled only by Ru: Ru likely wont surrender as long as it has the capacity to keep on fighting and it is not foolish to spend all of its resources onto a single years worth of effort holding on in the war.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@WarMonitor3 And so there is no resources for a full general mobilization like in WW1 and WW2 where in both cases it wrecked the comparatively larger and stronger economies of Ru Empire and USSR.
There are no modern heavy equipment, no T-14 charges but infiltration assaults of 5 dudes.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@WarMonitor3 Ru effort in the war has been decreasing since 2022.
Even in terms of military spending Ru gov has been spending less even by official data in 2026 then in 2025.
Ru is decreasing the cost of war to hold on longer but at the same time decreasing is capacity to fight.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@WarMonitor3 So we are stuck with Ru spending all its accumulated wealth in the Ru economy on trying to force UA to become a new region of Ru Federation.
Which is not enough money.
So we are all waiting for Ru economy to run into the ground and that is the most likely end of the story.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@WarMonitor3 There is nothing new in this Ru requirement: Its clear where its coming from (not from NATO "expansion" nor biolabs) and has not change over the years.
Its also something UA has clearly rejected both in 2014 and in 2022 and something Ru does not seem to be able to force.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@apranevicius @WarMonitor3 Now the dynamics of power can change: EU can be more assertive towards UA in theory and US can also revert back to referring to UA interest instead of asserting more of her own interest.
The only constant for now was declining Ru power over time.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@apranevicius @WarMonitor3 UA is of course not the strongest party in the war in economic terms possibly not in military terms if we only consider Ru as an alternative.
But yes its the party with the most clear and consequent foreign policy and most leverage over all other parties (it has the most cards).

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@apranevicius @WarMonitor3 The opposite is not true:
- US cannot cut off UA financial support that is coming mostly from EU
- Ru cannot target any UA strategic assets as many are located in the EU
- EU logically seems like it would then be the party with leverage but EU refers to UA

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@apranevicius @WarMonitor3 This has not always been the case with US policy being a bit more consistent and holding higher leverage at least around up till end of 2022.
But in 2026 UA can now influence global oil prices and directly hit almost any strategic target in Ru such as main source of revenue.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@Xtra_coverdrive @apranevicius @WarMonitor3 To whom? Please provide sources :)

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@WarMonitor3 So no change and all nonsense still :)
More diplomatic interpretation: Ru foreign policy stance has not changed and we can only assumed that foreign policy stance of UA has also not changed into becoming a Ru region so the "negotiation" was pointless and was more like statements.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@OTregub Maybe Ge is being though of here under "largely disarmed"
That is arguably true and Ge is a member state of EU.
But EU as a whole is we would need to analyze in a different light and even Ge can ream just as fast as it has after WW1.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@OTregub Largely disarmed har har har 😂
You know that France and the UK is also in the EU? Poland?
Finland?
SWE?
Greece largely disarmed?!?

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@OTregub Such statements would fit nicely into the interwar period next to the argument that nations that have industrialized and do a lot of trade together will never go to war with each other anymore... because its too costly.
Yes that was an widely accepted argument back then.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@ju_ri_22 @IAPonomarenko Well if all of Russia has to reunite I guess historical revisionism necessitates that Kiev annexes Muscovy and its historical descendants.
We know Ru is all about historical revisionism so necessarily it agrees.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@steve_hanke Same situation since 2022: When Ru invaded UA and started a major land war on the fields themselves along supply liens and blockading the ports UA has already started rerouting agricultural shipments via the EU.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@steve_hanke Dry-bulk vessels carry much more than grain, including coal, iron ore and other commodities.
They cover vessels from all Black Sea countries, not just Ru and UA.
EU Commission reported that Ukraine continued exporting agricultural products through alternative routes.