Interest Rates on Deposits, by Bank:
1. Wells Fargo: 0.15%
2. Citibank: 0.05%
3. Chase: 0.01%
4. Bank of America: 0.01%
5. US Bank: 0.01%
Rates on Alternatives to Bank Deposits:
1. CDs: 5.0%
2. Money Market: 4.5%
3. Treasury Bonds: 4.0%
Deposits continue to flow out of banks at a historic pace with $1 trillion+ withdrawn over the last year.
The era of "free" money for large US banks is coming to an end.
They must raise interest paid on deposits or capital will continue to leave.
Current situation with the debt ceiling:
1. On one side, Republicans are unwilling to make a deal without spending cuts.
They believe this is a โspending issueโ as the US now spends 24% of GDP annually, nearly a record.
2. On the other side, Democrats to do not want to cut spending, but simply just raise the debt ceiling.
House Speaker, McCarthy, just said that the US generating revenue equal to 20% of GDP, well above average.
This is why they view the crisis as a spending issue.
Meanwhile, the US has just $57 billion in cash on hand and is 9 days away from a potential default.
We are spending over $1.3 billion a day on interest ALONE.
Markets are dropping and borrowing costs are rising as the deadline nears.
Whatโs the solution here and which side is correct?
Markets are turning lower now as the debt ceiling game continues.
In less than 9 days, the US Treasury could default as they now have just $57 billion in cash.
To put this in perspective, the US spends over $1.3 billion PER DAY on interest expense alone.
This will come down to the final hours which is sending borrowing costs sharply higher.
While a default will likely be avoided, taxpayers and markets will pay the price for this costly game.
The system is clearly broken.
Current situation:
1. Stocks up like the Fed is done raising rates
2. $VIX up like the bear market just started
3. Oil up like the recession was cancelled
4. Gold up like the recession just started
5. Housing market down like rates are set to soar
It's 2022 all over again.