Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist

Forex & Synthetic Indices Trader
Macro | Fundamentals | Technicals |

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

How I analyze the USD & macro markets before every high-impact event.
This is my structured macro framework — positioning, risk, and event-driven analysis.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

USD CPI Results

Core CPI m/m - 0.2%
Core CPI y/y - 2.9%
CPI m/m - 0.5%
CPI y/y - 4.2%

Inflation came in slightly softer than expected due to lower Core CPI m/m. This may increase Fed rate-cut expectations, creating mild bearish pressure on USD.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

CAD BoC Rate Decision (2:45 PM).
Rates expected unchanged at 2.25%. Watch the statement and press conference for CAD direction.

Bias: USD bullish if CPI beats expectations. Volatility expected on USD pairs.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

🚨 High Impact News Today

USD CPI (1:30 PM).
Inflation expected to rise, making this the key market mover today. A higher-than-forecast CPI could strengthen USD.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

📊 Weekly Outlook

Wed: USD CPI (major USD mover) & CAD BoC Rate Decision
Thu: EUR ECB Rate Decision & USD PPI
Fri: GBP GDP

Expect high volatility on Wednesday and Thursday. USD inflation data will likely set the tone for the week.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

GBP BOE Governor Bailey's speeches on Tuesday and Thursday could bring volatility to GBP pairs.
USD Expect market volatility to increase from Wednesday, with Friday's NFP likely setting the direction for the USD.
⚠️ Trade carefully around high-impact news releases.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

📊 Weekly Market Outlook (Jun 1 – Jun 5)

🔴 Key USD news dominates this week, with ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon), ADP Employment & ISM Services PMI (Wed), and the highly anticipated NFP report on Friday.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

V75 4h, watching if price could hold below 29,865 for possible pullback. Failure to hold will push price to 32,325.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

Weekly Outlook

Low-impact week overall, with major focus on Thursday and Friday.

Expect slower movement early in the week, with volatility increasing toward Thursday and Friday.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

Market Focus:
If retail sales come below forecast, USD could weaken.
If data beats expectations, USD may regain strength.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

High Impact Data Outlook

GBP GDP m/m (7:00am)
Forecast came lower at -0.1% vs previous 0.5%.
This signals slower economic growth and could weigh on GBP if actual comes weak.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

USD Core Retail Sales m/m (1:30pm)
Forecast 0.7% vs previous 1.9%.
Shows expectations of slower consumer spending.

USD Retail Sales m/m
Forecast 0.5% vs previous 1.7%.
Another sign the market expects weaker spending activity.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

USD CPI came in hotter than forecast .

• Core CPI m/m: 0.4% vs 0.3%.
• CPI y/y: 3.8% vs 3.7%.
Inflation remains elevated, which supports a stronger USD as markets may expect the Fed to keep rates higher for longer.

Bias: USD Bullish

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

USD Retail Sales
• Core: prev 1.9%, forecast 0.6%
• Retail: prev 1.7%, forecast 0.6%
Consumer spending expected to slow.
Expect volatility on USD & GBP pairs this week.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

📊 Weekly Fundamental Outlook

Tue – USD CPI Data
• Core CPI: prev 0.2%, forecast 0.3%
• CPI m/m: prev 0.9%, forecast 0.6%
• CPI y/y: prev 3.3%, forecast 3.7%
Higher yearly inflation may support USD strength.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

Wed – USD PPI
• Core PPI: prev 0.1%, forecast 0.3%
• PPI: prev 0.5%, forecast 0.5%
Production costs expected to rise.

Thur – GBP GDP
• prev 0.5%, forecast -0.2%
Weak UK growth may pressure GBP.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

Watching VIX 75 Index price movement

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

CAD also weakened after Employment Change dropped to -17.7K and unemployment rate rose to 6.9%.

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

Fundamental Data Results Outlook

NFP came in stronger than forecast at 115K vs 65K expected.
Previous reading was also revised higher from 178K to 185K — showing labour market resilience despite slowdown concerns.
Overall bias remains USD bullish/strong .

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

USD NFP & Labour Data
NFP forecast drops sharply to 65K from 178K
Expect high volatility.
• Strong data = USD bullish
• Weak data = USD bearish

[Samuel C. Nwoko | Macro Strategist @flippers110]

🚨 High Impact News Today

GBP – BOE Bailey Speaks
• Hawkish = GBP strength
• Dovish = GBP weakness

CAD Employment Data
Jobs forecast slightly weaker.
Soft data could weaken CAD.