About 98% of American footwear is imported. There is no way these shoes can be supplied domestically anytime soon, so prices will rise by the full amount of the tariffs. The result will be fewer shoes sold at higher prices. On the bright side, the shoe repair business will boom.
One way monetary policy impacts prices is by making cash more attractive and increasing the opportunity cost of holding inventory. Since late '22 wholesale inventories have stopped growing. Not suggesting rates are the only reason for the slowdown but they are major factor.
@Fullcarry i.e. monetary policy gets tighter over time even with rates constant and inflation moving lower (even if it’s slow moving)… so Fed is long “monetary tightening theta”
@BlacklionCTA@Fullcarry@jedimarkus77 I don't know if it's a conspiracy or not. but I think QT taper at this moment with hawkish Fed is pretty likely. This seems to me that they want control MOVE with a steady tightening FCI to avoid anything like 23Q3.But I really wonder if they can do it. let's see how J.Pow speaks
@OpulentVocation yeah,after SP PMI moved 10yr around 10bps, this is what I think for future days. So hilarious people want to find every evidence that rates shouldn't go up
@vighnaraj2022 Lastly, the map is just a tool. I think everyone should learn to cope with such tools with your own view and deal with the risk properly. Don't just say the map is useless/wrong/only last an hour and get angry about it. Everything changes so as the utility of the map.