@AboudiF1@levantophile What is Singapore’s Israel? (Direct neighbour hellbent on regional hegemony with outsized influence with the global superpower willing to destabilise all countries around it without blinking if they’re not compliant with their plan)
@levantophile 1. Lebanese sectarianism/corruption predates the Islamic revolution by a long time so it's absurd to claim Lebanon is led by mafiosos/warlords bcs of anti-imperialism
@AboudiF1@levantophile idk. Given the size of Lebanon, its location, demographics, political system and military dependence, it's hard for me to imagine a scenario where it does not get sucked in the regional shenanigans like the ping poll it is, even with a military dictatorship..
@levantophile@matthew_petti The real world where Israel gets away with genocide and where Netanyahu could wake up tomorrow and decide to invade South Lebanon with zero repercussions
@AboudiF1@levantophile I agree the Cairo agreement is a historic failure from the Lebanese government but I interpret it more as Arabs dumping the Palestinian hot potato on Lebanon under the guise of ideology instead of the other way around. What do you think?
@j_zs222 @levantophile It is a Jihadist state and it can't and won't do anything substantial against Israel since it's a hollowed out country with a plethora of domestic issues. Hence why the lobbying failing does not change anything at all in the balance of power -> IRRELEVANT
@j_zs222 @levantophile For the sake of argument, my point is that the failure of the lobbying doesn't matter in the grand scheme of things because Syria is obviously not 'highly dangerous' to Israel's security
@j_zs222 @levantophile I mean the irrelevance of your counterexample kinda proves my point. Syria was already neutralised through years of Western/Arab funded civil war and economic starvation, with the final nail in the coffin being jihadis taking over and the last Syrian weapons destroyed in one day
@Georges__Haddad@levantophile I agree, saying Hezbollah is bad at internal politics is a massive understatement. Where I disagree with you is that Lebanon has a shot under Western tutelage by virtue of its proximity to Israel. If Western support stops being unconditional, then MAYBE Lebanon stands a chance.