fra

🇮🇹| Space weather & aurora enthusiast | Tough game living at 45N buried in light pollution | also hooked on comets and meteors

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@Bermani22 it is! unfortunately it takes a while for the images to be updated and processed, i wish there was a way it could be quicker so to be used for space weather forecasting and model updating

[fra @frapepppemaria]

Looks like the CME is a bit behind schedule for the ELEvo model, the NASA/NOAA’s ETA makes more sense now.

[fra @frapepppemaria]

Here’s STEREO-A view of the CME (both HI2 and HI1) as of the a few hours ago. Maybe an ETA between that of NOAA’s model and ELEvo?

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@Bermani22 i use this link here: https://t.co/N9rkj9Skap
you have to select the instrument (so HI1 and HI2, STEREO-A) and the date. Images are black and white bc they’re still unprocessed, they’ll look better in a few days.

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@Bermani22 that’s earth

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@Bermani22

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@physicsbyelena Well tbh this time i actually thought it could be right lol. I also love to compare various models and see who gets closer

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@wxKobold they also have it at 19

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@JAtanackov Still don’t have a proper spot, but the sky i observed the (my house…🤣) Oct 2024 G4 was DISGUSTING

[fra @frapepppemaria]

Can you believe i only saw aurora twice?
-Oct 2024 G4 (amazing show)
&
-Nov 2025 G4 (horizon, not a lot)

[Jeremy Cruz @JeremyCruzWX]

We got faked out everyone please go plug your toasters and air fryers back in

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@wxKobold i wish STEREO-A HI1 and HI2 updated quicker so that we’d have another heads up when the CME is approaching earth and adjust models

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@landon_wx s*

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@landon_wx Just strengthen my belief in ELEvo being the closest. It has the ETA around 01-02 UTC

[fra @frapepppemaria]

protons

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@ColeSpaceWx 1,6M what?😮

[fra @frapepppemaria]

Here’s STEREO-A view of the CME (both HI2 and HI1) as of the a few hours ago. Maybe an ETA between that of NOAA’s model and ELEvo?

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@halocme this is hands down the best imagery

[fra @frapepppemaria]

@wxKobold ELEvo looks like the model with the closest ETA to your triangulation results

[fra @frapepppemaria]

ELEvo has it for around 1-2 UTC AM, Monday 8th. Depending on how the CME interacts with ambient solar wind, and how much it gets slowed down, i believe this is the most realistic one.

[fra @frapepppemaria]

NASA and NOAA models seem to agree about an ETA in the (UTC) morning of Monday 8th, while the Korean space agency and BoM/SWS models have the ETA in the (UTC) evening of the same day. I don’t know, i honestly thought i could arrive earlier than all of this model, let’s see

[fra @frapepppemaria]

it*

[fra @frapepppemaria]

NASA and NOAA models seem to agree about an ETA in the (UTC) morning of Monday 8th, while the Korean space agency and BoM/SWS models have the ETA in the (UTC) evening of the same day. I don’t know, i honestly thought i could arrive earlier than all of this model, let’s see