Fred

[Lukas Fuhrmann @kryptoedgeyt]

Schau dir diese Grafik genau an. Sie erklärt, warum sich in Deutschland Leistung nicht mehr lohnt.

Ein Paar, zwei Kinder, beide arbeiten.

Bei 4.000 Euro brutto bleiben rund 2.700 Euro.

Bei 5.000 Euro brutto bleiben rund 2.650 Euro.

Du liest richtig. Tausend Euro mehr verdient. Weniger im Portemonnaie.

Und jetzt der Teil, der wirklich weh tut: Bei 2.000 Euro brutto stehen dieser Familie etwa 2.350 Euro zur Verfügung.

Bei 5.000 Euro brutto sind es 2.650 Euro.

3.000 Euro mehr erarbeiten. 300 Euro mehr haben.

Das ist kein Rechenfehler. Jeder zusätzlich verdiente Euro zieht Wohngeld, Kinderzuschlag und Freibeträge mit sich in den Abgrund, während Steuern und Sozialabgaben gleichzeitig steigen.

Man nennt es Transferentzugsrate. Ökonomen kennen das Problem seit Jahren. Die Bundesregierung hat Gutachten dazu bestellt.

Passiert ist nichts.

Und dann wundert sich die Politik, warum niemand mehr die Stunden aufstockt. Warum die Zweitverdienerin in Teilzeit bleibt. Warum der Facharbeiter die Beförderung ablehnt.

Die Leute sind nicht faul. Sie rechnen.

Ein System, das Anstrengung und Fleiß nicht belohnt, bekommt am Ende genau das: keine Anstrengung.

[Nathan Cofnas @nathancofnas]

DEI Fraud and Cover-Up: https://t.co/NAhOyUBWVw

It’s an open secret at Cambridge University, but everyone is afraid to speak out. Newspapers backed away after getting hit with legal threats.

Here, I tell the true story of Jason Arday—DEI superstar and the youngest black professor in the history of Cambridge.

[Shouqiao Wang @Qiaoqiao2001]

I solved 6 open Erdős problems in 5 days, using @OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol.

I have a math background, but the Codex workflow I used does not require deep mathematical knowledge.

Here’s exactly how I approached it, including my prompts 🧵

[Katharine Birbalsingh @Miss_Snuffy]

This is excellent by @ColinBrazierTV

He is neither embittered nor old.

But he is white.

White guilt is pummelled into whites at school/online.

Colin has escaped the white guilt disease and gives a nuanced appraisal of current British culture- superb

[Chris Martz @ChrisMartzWX]

Thankfully I have numbers rather than opinions.

The average number of days per year in the U.S. reaching 95°F was ~18% lower during the 60-year period 1961 to 2020 compared to 1901 to 1960.

The number of days reaching 100°F and 105°F have also declined since 1895.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Literally true

[Libs of TikTok @libsoftiktok]

Do you see what’s happening here?

[Tim Walker @ThatTimWalker]

Very cool, entertaining and with high production values: if I were @Nigel_Farage, I’d consider dipping into that £5 million to try to get out a video that can compare to it.

[Count Binface @CountBinface]

Labour, Tories, Lib Dems and Greens: I demand you stand down in Clacton. I will be a unity candidate and pledge to build at least one affordable house.

Nigel Farage says he wants The People versus the Establishment. So be it.

Leave him to me.

[Nicholas Drummond @nicholadrummond]

I get a lot of messages asking questions about Boxer and how it would be actually be used, so I have written this article on my blog. It is a fictional account of a British Army deployment to Latvia to counter a Russian invasion of the Baltics.
https://t.co/VmD34ZozLT

[Fred @Fred58037549]

@Sam_Cranny What do we know about continental European NATO countries increasing stocks of munitions to war fighting levlels?

[Steven Swinford @Steven_Swinford]

Sir Keir Starmer has left Andy Burnham with a series of unexploded bombs with his unfunded defence spending plans

1) The £4.7billion funding gap

After months of bitter in-fighting over defence spending, Starmer came up with an unexpected way of funding it — he simply deferred it to the next budget

Nearly a third of the £15 billion increase in defence spending, £4.7 billion, will have to be raised at the next budget. In other words, it will be Burnham’s problem

Expect tax rises or spending cuts

2) Defence spending targets

An even bigger bombshell. One of the key things missing from the defence investment plan was a date for hitting Starmer’s pledge to spend 3% of GDP on defence, or indeed 3.5% for that matter

Hitting 3.5% will cost an extra £25billion a year. For context the government has just ripped itself apart over an increase of £4billion a year

As Ruth Curtice at the Resolution Foundation, this is huge. A 3p rise in income tax. The equivalent of the entire of the MOD Budget. She says we need a national conversation about it. She's undeniably right

3) £10.7bn of efficiency savings

To describe these savings as amitious is to understate it. The language in the DIP on these savings is almost unreadable. It talks about saving £1.1billion from a new "defence operating model" which will provide a "unified enterprise to translate political direciton into strategy, planning and delivery".

It claims £3.3billion will be found from reducing the cost of the civil service by 10 - something successive govts have failed to do. It talks about saving billions by 'optimising land use and assets' without explanation. Huge savings from 'acquisition' and 'breaking down operational barriers', again unclear where they will come from

4) Military housing

Starmer has delayed a £9billion upgrade in military housing. The decision is not detailed in the spending plan, but ministers have admitted it on the broadcast rounds this morning. £6bn of those upgrades will now be spent in next Budget. Given appalling state of military housing this is likely to be contentious

5) Cuts to public services

The govt says it will raise £6.8bn from cuts to public investment - schools, hospitals, net zero, you name it. But there is little detail on where those cuts will fall. They are likely to involve some painful decisions. Ed Miliband, if he becomes chancellor, faces having to cut £2bn from his former department's budget

https://t.co/ec5IUaxrVW

[Nicolas Hulscher, MPH @NicHulscher]

A SINGLE dose of a newly discovered frog gut bacterium ELIMINATES 100% of cancerous tumors within just a few days in mice.

A new landmark study found the natural bacterium Ewingella americana selectively targets, colonizes, and terminates tumors—with NO detectable toxicity.

They re-introduced cancer into the cured animals... and the tumors COULD NOT GROW.

[Rt. Hon Ben Wallace @BenWallace70]

if you ignore the Treasury tricks (including other people’s budgets being counted) and focus instead on the actual defence budget planned for the MoD you get the following breakdown as GDP:
FY 26/27 £68.3bn 2.12% GDP
FY 27/28 £73.8bn. 2.21% GDP
FY 28/29 £76.5bn.2.22% GDP
@afneil @bbcnickrobinson @haynesdeborah @larisamlbrown @FrankRGardner @jeromestarkey

[Gabriele Molinelli @Gabriel64869839]

The DiP is unfortunately largely trash. Instead of a 10 year plan it has become a vaguely worded summary of what has survived the cull over the years to 2030, and a promise that vastly greater amounts of money will be spent AFTER 2030. How credible said post-2030 amounts are is entirely debatable at best.

The list of the cuts and disappearances, in the meanwhile, grew further. These are the new additions:

- SHADOW R1 fleet
- WILDCAT AH1 fleet
- CHINOOK HC6A fleet (if the Intended Capability Sustainment Program Phase 2 is gone as well - unclear at present, the fleet is headed all the way down to 36 machines within a few years, being the 14 HC6, 8 HC5 and the incoming 14 ER)
- 40+ WATCHKEEPERs are being replaced by 24 CORVUS (make it make sense)
- The entire surface escort fleet being withdrawn early and ahead of replacement
- SKYNET 6 Narrowband communications satellite
- Downsized replacement amphibious ships ambitions
- Probably the 15 M270A2 still not under contract since there's no mention of them anywhere
- Ambitions for additional A400
- Recommended additional E-7 purchase
- The Deep Sea Data Gathering ship to replace HMS SCOTT and complement PROTEUS

The impact on plans for SHORAD, planned BOXER Batch 2 procurement, Land Mobility Program and others are literally impossible to quantify at present because the document is way too vague.

[Chris Martz @ChrisMartzWX]

A major heatwave will begin next week across the central and eastern U.S.

High temperatures in the 90s and 100s are likely as far north as Southeastern Pennsylvania. So, summer basically lol.

Undoubtedly, there’ll be plenty climate hysteria to go around.

But neither the number of hot days nor heatwaves have increased in the U.S. since 1895.

The chart on the left shows the average annual number of days reaching 95°F (35°C), 100°F (37.8°C) and 105°F (40.6°C) per station at 657 United States NOAA GHCNd stations (area weighted) with at least 100 years of daily data and 90% daily completeness from 1895 to 2025.

The long-term trend is down. ⬇️

𝐓𝐨𝐩 𝟏𝟎 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐰/ 𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐓𝐦𝐚𝐱 ≥𝟗𝟓°𝐅:

1️⃣ 1936
2️⃣ 1934
3️⃣ 1954
4️⃣ 1931
5️⃣ 1933
6️⃣ 1913
7️⃣ 1925
8️⃣ 1980 (most recent)
9️⃣ 1930
🔟 1911

Interestingly, only one of top 15 has been in the last 70 years, and only two in the 21st century made the top 20 (2011 and 2012, which rank 17th and 19th place, respectively).

𝐓𝐨𝐩 𝟏𝟎 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐰/ 𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐓𝐦𝐚𝐱 ≥𝟏𝟎𝟎°𝐅:

1️⃣ 1936
2️⃣ 1934
3️⃣ 1954
4️⃣ 1930
5️⃣ 1901
6️⃣ 1913
7️⃣ 1980 (most recent)
8️⃣ 1931
9️⃣ 1925
🔟 1918

𝐓𝐨𝐩 𝟏𝟎 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐰/ 𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐓𝐦𝐚𝐱 ≥𝟏𝟎𝟓°𝐅:

1️⃣ 1936
2️⃣ 1934
3️⃣ 1954
4️⃣ 1930
5️⃣ 1901
6️⃣ 1980
7️⃣ 1913
8️⃣ 2023 (most recent)
9️⃣ 1918
🔟 1933

The heatwave in Texas and Oklahoma in 2023 bumped it up to 8th place.

But a more robust metric to assess time-dependent changes in extreme heat events would be to look at the area-weighted average number of heatwaves per station per year.

The chart on the right shows that.

Heatwaves are defined here as a ≥3 consecutive day period where the daily maximum temperature is ≥90th percentile (against 1991-2020 averages) for that date for that station and for the months May-September.

Once again, the trend is down. ⬇️

𝐓𝐨𝐩 𝟏𝟎 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐰/ 𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐰𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐬:

1️⃣ 1936: 5.77
2️⃣ 1934: 5.39
3️⃣ 1933: 5.15
4️⃣ 1931: 4.90
5️⃣ 1911: 4.85
6️⃣ 1954: 4.71
7️⃣ 1925: 4.59
8️⃣ 1930: 4.41
9️⃣ 1913: 4.35
🔟 1952 / 1939: 4.34

None of the top 20 have been in the 21st century. The most recent summer with the greatest number of heatwaves per U.S. station occurred in 1988. All other 19 occurred 70+ years ago. It is also worth mentioning that whether or not you consider the 1930s to be an outlier, 2012 is the most recent entry at #30.

Most of the warming that we measure is in overnight low temperatures, not daytime highs, and a significant amount of that could be due to urbanization.

So, if it reaches 100°F at your house next week, it’s just summer.

Carry on! 🏖️ 🌴

[Tony Heller 🇺🇸 🇯🇵 @TonyClimate]

There was a world-wide drought in 1934 with atmospheric CO2 levels barely above 300 PPM.

https://t.co/biJxC32g62

[Tony Heller 🇺🇸 🇯🇵 @TonyClimate]

"1936 HEAT WAVE HAS CAUSED 12,183 DEATHS IN THE U. S."

https://t.co/UO1HckrLcX

[OSINTdefender @sentdefender]

Hmmm, the person on that CAC doesn’t exactly look like Vance? Someone clearly failed their Annual Cyber Awareness Training.

[Matt Kaeberlein @mkaeberlein]

Can ketones slow aging?

It's a question that sits at the intersection of metabolism, neuroscience, and geroscience—and one that has generated both genuine scientific interest and plenty of hype.

In the latest episode of Longevity Science, I sat down with Dr. @BriannaStubbs , one of the world's leading experts on ketone biology and a scientist at the @BuckInstitute to explore what we actually know.

Brianna's path into longevity research is anything but conventional: Oxford-trained scientist, two-time world champion rower, and former elite athlete whose interest in human performance led her to study ketones and metabolism at the highest level.

In our conversation, we discuss:
🔹 What ketones are—and what they aren't
🔹 Ketogenic diets versus exogenous ketone supplements
🔹 Whether ketones can mimic some benefits of fasting
🔹 Human data on cognition and brain function
🔹 Emerging evidence in heart failure and cardiovascular health
🔹 Ketones as signaling molecules that may influence aging biology
🔹 The critical distinction between improving healthspan and extending lifespan
🔹 The biggest unanswered questions facing the field today

One of the things I appreciate most about Brianna is her willingness to follow the evidence, even when it challenges early assumptions. We talk openly about where the data are compelling, where they are mixed, and where enthusiasm has gotten ahead of the science.

If you're interested in longevity, metabolism, fasting, ketogenic diets, or the future of geroscience interventions, I think you'll find this discussion both informative and thought-provoking.

🎥 Watch the full episode here: https://t.co/agx9Ff7b9K