Fred Obiosa

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@CommodityMad Whats the rationale here, prices seem downward facing till the end of summer unless something drastic happens

[The Good Shepherd @WesleyAdi]

If sin is involved in living your best life, it is infact not your best life.

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@ShaleAnalytics I think it's too early to buy. At these storage levels. I wouldn't be tempted to go long until it gets to the 2.5-2.6 level and that's only if I believe there'll be a strong winter

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 @NoncePutin Absolutely love the reference! 😄

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@icooperTrades Interesting. The market still points towards over supply so would be surprised if it doesn't go sub 500 before end of year. Is the rationale for longs purely pattern/technicals driven?

[EIA @EIAgov]

We will post the Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report with data for week ending April 25, 2025, at 2:00 p.m. eastern time on May 1.

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@acethekid Hard to understand the bullish argument atm. Current prices can't be justified taking storage builds into account. Market seems defiant and will probably stop me out as the ceiling is unclear but a move to 3.1 seems inevitable

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@BabyGotGas It's giving sub $3 vibes. Large injections on the way. Weather still bearish. Lower production but lower LNG flows

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@BabyGotGas The storm threat and rise in HDDs signals a lot of trouble for bears (and I'm one of them 🥲). Only balancing act might be the nature of the storm is likely to hamper LNG capacity but I see an epic bull run/ bear trap incoming. Sad times

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 Lol looks like this might not happen this week

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 Hopefully we hit 3.6 today/ tomorrow on Feb

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 Can you clarify meaning of "G" and "H" please? Not too familiar with all this natgas lingo 😅

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 @SuperEnergyExp1 Interesting set up, latest EPS shows increase in cold near term and given how far natgas has fallen, I suspect a bounce may be possible if the GEFS HDDs increases to align with the EPS. 12-14 day outlook likely to fluctuate per run. Slightly biased as I'm currently long.

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@StockGenieUSA @DiveBomb321 Ermm I beg to differ. Agree it's not purely supply and demand driven as market frenzies, squeezes and trend lines/ chart analysis also play a part.

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 @StockGenieUSA @StockGenieUSA wisdom is abundant and available but you seem allergic to it.

It's foolish to think that there aren't fundamental driving factors such as weather which affect supply and demand and dictates the trajectory of natural gas pricing.

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 😂😂

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 @mmm_btus @kogasman Someone traded on the ECMWF data early. I need to get better subscriptions 🥲

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 😂😂😂

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

@DiveBomb321 Ooh where do you get your data from?

[Fred Obiosa @fredobiosa]

Never thought I'd say this but, as per @Gasino11, natgas bottom in 😄... for now