Fred Zhang

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@brianluidog you should be able to give 6 stars by holding a button for 10 seconds

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

a political BLS will bias inflation low because a) it makes the admin look better & b) makes the fed lower rates.

a side effect of CPI biasing low tho is TIPs and social security will pay out less than true inflation -- a soft default by the US to pensioners and bondholders

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@Chris_arnade common problem with Claude, OpenAI a lot better at this

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@nkreu113r sure, the formally correct version is useful in many contexts, like solidifying your knowledge, or advanced pure math

teachers often bias towards the elegant compact formal version more than they should, because that's the way the teachers *now* understand the topic

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

bad pedagogy "teaches" a subject to people who already know it. high in formalism, low in intuition & motivation, and starts with the elegant but complex stuff. almost a way for knowers to show off. wikipedia is full of it.

good pedagogy uses lots of easy terms a student already understands, and tends to be formally imperfect (or even wrong)

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

chain of thought in LLMs improves quality in exactly the same way that writing ideas down improves quality in humans

brains naturally think impulsively verbally

writing lets us catch inconsistencies and refine those impulsive thoughts

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@drvolts the funny thing is that this is the same guy who said "you can say whatever you want, no one's going to hold you accountable later on" -- turns out wrong on the meta level too via being wrong on the object level

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@garrytan Subcase: don't waste time griping you didn't get the hand you wanted.

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@Lang__Leon @AndyMasley and the other dual (triple?) to this, people who have a self-consistent belief system that is defendable but wrong

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@brianluidog manually change the extension to xslx and reupload

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

likewise

Picasso > mediocre representational art > beginner crayon drawing

(not coincidentally, Picasso was great at representational art!)

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

1) simple writing from a writer who *can* use sophisticated words well, but chooses carefully not to > 2) flowery words chosen in a mediocre way > 3) simple writing from a writer with poor vocab

the phrase "simple writing" confounds 1) with 3)

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

learners progress from 3) to 2) to 1), so from the point of 1s, 2s are inexpert, and rightly so.

but that opinion can be misread as discouraging learning or practicing complex vocab, which is wrong!

by using overly flowery language and rejecting it is how you get to 1)

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@ganbramor @PaulHPowell13 @gunsnrosesgirl3 before JFK, general trust in institutions have been declined for decades

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@DsrPrivate also the "popular story" is always that the Fed needs to be independent or else in election years the President would command it to lower rates in election years -- this seems to imply lower rates is the vote-goosing play?

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@DsrPrivate searching google scholar, it seems inflation also matters. though i always thought unemployment was the bigger factor because it lead to a lot of concentrated disgruntled people

From Google Scholar "The Economic Vote" by Duch & Stevenson:

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@PbEconomix @mysteryos_mu Looking forward, appreciate it.

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@brianluidog yes, it was the same US general who started some stores and a motor factory, truly a polymath

[Fred Zhang @fredzhangwrites]

@pm dating apps should get paid by quality of the end match/ matches, not by months subscribed