@bryce_parker26 You lot amaze me. They do their best, under crap management but all you do is criticise. Could you do what they do. Could you coach coherently?
@RonnyLerner How sbout praising the players and attacking the system that has let them down. Drugs, development, standards etc. The board division and coteries.
@DonReincarnated@CalTwomey@AFLcomau Speaking of unreasonable to deal with. Essendon were the leaders in the must win trades. Nobody liked dealing with you.
@Mayella09476043@ShowersPavilion Suck it up princess. How about you move forward into the professional world, where you look after the players, let the professionals do their jobs.
@ShowersPavilion Hird is merely the symptom of the malaise and short termism of Essendon. Incompetent board full of fanboys, a bunch of fans who lust for success with no idea of what it takes to be successful. Your club is a binfire. We all laugh at you.
Australian politics is no longer a contest between two parties, and our polls can no longer be read as though it is. The addiction to interpreting polls via a two party system lens has created or should I say, triggered, a new generation of anti intellectuals, otherwise known as poll deniers.
It has now been widely reported across numerous polls, including our own RedBridge Accent poll published in the Australian Financial Review that One Nation leads on the primary vote. That does not mean Pauline Hanson can become PM.
Our country is transitioning into a multi party system and hence, the conventional ways of reading polls can be miss-leading and at times, lacking nuance. And nuance is the key word here because it matters a lot more in 2026.
In a multi party landscape, a national primary vote and a two party preferred figure tells you almost nothing about where seats fall. This is precisely what our recent MRP was designed to illuminateβ¦..what the electorate actually looks like once you stop forcing it into a two horse race, with only two riders.
This is how to read polls.
Firstly, polls measure electoral sentiment now, today, this week. They are not a crystal ball, revealing an electoral result in 2028.
One Nation is dominating the regions. Its support concentrates among older, trades-qualified communities, people who built their working lives around skilled manual labour and critically among those now experiencing financial stress. It also polls strongly across a band of peri-urban suburbs, such as Camden, Melton, Ipswich, where that financial pressure is equally acute: mortgage-belt households, long commutes, the sense that the cost of simply breaking even at the end of the week, does require the shopping trolley to be at times, half full.
Labor, by contrast, holds up well in most urban settings, particularly in electorates with larger numbers of younger voters and more diverse communities. The picture here is almost a demographic mirror image: where One Nation draws support from older, financially squeezed, less diverse communities, Laborβs electoral coalition runs through the younger, the more educated, and the more multicultural parts of the country. None of this rules out some of those voters backing One Nation, but the numbers there are far smaller, and the broader trend matters here.
The real big insight this week is the huge existential problem facing the Coalition. Post Budget, they continue to lose support, across all published polls. Having already surrendered significant ground in a number of high-wealth electorates to the Teals, the kind of blue-ribbon seats that were once safe, it has suffered even steeper attrition across its regional base, where One Nation is now eating directly into its vote. It is being pulled apart from every direction at once: bled at the top by voters who have drifted to the centre, and hollowed out at the bottom by voters defecting to its right. And it is compounding the damage itself, pushing diverse communities further away with an anti-immigration narrative, closing the door firmly shut from diverse Australia. The Coalition cannot survive by alienating urban Australia while simultaneously losing vast stretches of regional Australia.
@langers24590@ScooterMcNeice You had opportunities in the draft, but either the drafting was crap or you haven't been able to develop the talent. Binfire.
@ScooterMcNeice Unfortunately the board has created the bombast of the big club, and haven't really owned up to the problems they have allowed to fester. Instead they have created the Essendon man myth.