I'm always amused when people are shocked by people doing exactly what they said they’d do. Everything that has happened over the past week was publicly announced months ago.
Stephen Miran, widely viewed as the architect of Trump's trade policy, published a paper "A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System" in November of 2024, laying out everything that has happened (as well as many things that are yet to come).
Almost every investing blowup can be traced back to confusing luck with skill.
Consistent returns require the humility to recognize when something worked for the wrong reasons and the discipline not to repeat it.
LPs will be choosing between:
-A16Z gaming fund VII (10b, fund VI underperformed S&P)
-“Mykonos Capital” (300m, ex Goldman Sachs Harvard grad whose relevant experience is 6 years as a principal at NEA)
-“Paperclip” (100m, ex Anthropic engineer anchoring with 20m of his own capital made through backing Cursor’s A)
I don’t think this is a hard decision
@MWCvitkovic The best superangels will simply found the next generation of top venture funds, anchored with their own capital.
This is how venture has always worked
@credistick@mattparlmer The problem is that network + incentive alignment (gp commit) are quickly becoming the constraint as venture both gets more crowded and ai improves.
Being able to do a dcf model no longer a constraint
@MWCvitkovic The best superangels will simply found the next generation of top venture funds, anchored with their own capital.
This is how venture has always worked