Gareth Wesley

Head Of Innovation @ Brand Dynamics. BSc Statistics. & BHA Steering Group

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@MAXBloodstock @ciaranodeorain @IrishRacing7 @RadioEmmet @RJOBracing @V_Binnie_Ryle @nickluck @Franmberry @RishiPersad1 @MCYeeehaaa @Catters61 @_tomstanley_ Interesting reading, for debate: a) rule out April (3 wins) but rule in Jan (4 wins) seems arbitrary? b) weightings for recency might suggest AOB now underperforming yard in 2000G? c) 1/3 winners hadn't won a G1/2 so I read isn't essential, incl all Appleby's 3 recent winners

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@RMezlan Definitely hacked... now way he's posting this and not posting anything about Einstein...

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@Fietipster Agree what that shows is they could tilt at some big races this summer and absolutely hold their own

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@jfwduffield @ross_baglin Bethell selection doesn't undermine merit, many of the others have but it seems pretty obvious through his progress over the years Bethell is elite

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@MV33Racing The reality is it didn't change the end result because without the 2 pt cushion McLaren would have inverted Piastri and Norris so Norris would still have won

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@ValueSeeker10 @RacingPost Why? Two G1 wins v older horses, timeform rating 129 just one off COT and Roaring Lion. So bit confused how he shows how poor the crop have been?

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@SkySportsF1 He was far enough alongside - Antonelli chopped him up he had to brake and locked up - penalty is not just harsh but the stewards seem to just make it up as they go

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@LAND0ASIS @fia Except you've chosen a picture after Pastry braked because Antonelli chopped into him - take an earlier picture and he's well enough alongside

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@cheltenhamchap @ciaranodeorain @RichyShea Yes, my point was re tweet about Bud Fox and one about PTP's. Agree it seems wrong re A Dream To Share 1) If won a NHF seems odd to be able to run flat maiden - literally isn't a maiden 2) re flat bred, could do like Chesham stakes - limiting races based on sire/dam race record

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@cheltenhamchap @ciaranodeorain @RichyShea If I had a young horse destined to be jumps horse I would initially want it to get plenty of experience racing amongst other horses and allow it to continue its physical development. Would say if we want to look at it from a horse welfare/development POV what is the problem?

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@AitchBeeBee @ciaranodeorain Why? Isn't a G1 based on the horses that run rather than prize money? Constantly produces that go on to hold GP1 standard as 3YO's

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@aobrienfansite I'll go with the one named after an artist with French ancestry...

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@AitchBeeBee @John1986ire St Marks Basilica started well, Ghaiyyath underlying stats v strong unlucky with injury etc to his top colts, Study of Man/New Bay, COT supported at 75k - yes first couple of seasons matter but more against OMB than being a 10F horse would be being a late developer

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@aobrienfansite And now NOT

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@ciaranodeorain @DanR902 For me it suggests maybe time for a new model to identifying the right horses - because that data says the current approach isn't working... with the obvious acknowledgment its like looking for a needle in a haystack...

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@ciaranodeorain @DanR902 Did the 2020-2023 sales, top 10's, so horses now coming to end of three year old seasons... thought you'd find it interesting.

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@kellard_ https://t.co/W5oJYkODVy - feels overrated - possible confirmation bias because the Timeform team were all over him before the race...

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@DubaiAce @DavidCa14313648 @InsightChange The point is that what AMO are doing is no different when you're really trying to start up a top class breeding operation in a competitive environment and in their case without Vincent O'Brien

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@DubaiAce If you remove races including 'firm' or 'Epsom' you're left with: G33rd, G3W, G1W, G22nd, G3W, G32nd - incl 8F heavy at 2yo, 1m5 gd-sft at 3 - so potential as NH sire - maybe that was the decision - geld and try to make into the next Rebels Romance or sell as a NH stallion...

[Gareth Wesley @garethwesley]

@DubaiAce Why should they not go? Normally it is a cost driver - but in the case of Annie Power she is owned by Coolmore so obviously they can use their best sires...