Garrett Hinck

Poli Sci PhD student @ Columbia. he/him. Research on international security, nuclear weapons, and crisis dynamics. Past @carnegienpp & @georgetownsfs

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

Check it out here: https://t.co/WvOpIhPSD7

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

The second part to my post covering the Trump administration's plans to expand homeland missile defense is now out! I discuss the recently released executive order and some of the broader strategic issues that homeland defenses raise.

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

To preview the post - I'm skeptical that any form of homeland defense is possible in any reasonable timeframe, but there are some technological trends that are shifting in interesting ways. https://t.co/AMKvUYlruD

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

Announcement! I've started a blog - Strategic Defense - where I'm writing about issues involving strategic forces, technology, and international relations. My first post is live now and looks at Trump's call for the US to have its own "Iron Dome". Link below.

[Stuart A. Reid @stuartareid]

First up, @YarhiMilo looks at credibility. How much do leaders’ and countries’ reputations for resolve matter? And how much can a leader do to change perceptions, anyway? https://t.co/17DHzNVCIq

[Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists @BulletinAtomic]

Could North Korea’s new spy satellite actually be a good thing?

Read the new article by @garretthinck:
https://t.co/0EOyNWPs6V

[François Diaz-Maurin - @francoisdm.bsky.social @francoisdm]

Just in: Why North Korea’s new spy satellite could actually be a good thing

By @garretthinck, doctoral student at @Columbia

In @BulletinAtomic

https://t.co/8gzEvXN4lN

#nuclearweapons #NorthKorea @dawnstover

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

New from me - a few reasons why North Korea's new reconnaissance satellite could lay the groundwork for more stability on the Korean peninsula: https://t.co/QcYN2IGb0T

[Christina Rupp @christinacrupp]

📃 New Policy Paper @snv_berlin

@ale_paulus and I have analyzed how 🇦🇺, 🇩🇪, 🇯🇵, & the 🇺🇸 publicly attributed cyber operations between 2014-2023.

🔗 Full paper: https://t.co/hGyauPEEAy

A 🧵 on what we learned and why this is of relevance ⬇️

[Erica (Borghard) Lonergan @eborghard]

Always enjoy collaborating with @JackieGSchneid! We wrote about the importance of cyber resilience in @ForeignAffairs today: https://t.co/Q6pewaeV2v. @ColumbiaSIPA @SIPAcyber

[Dr. Colleen Larkin @the_clarkin]

Thrilled that my article with @segoddard is now online @EJIntSec (my first peer-reviewed article!) https://t.co/FTAqMPOu8u

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

The US and Russia still have a common interest in avoiding both a costly arms race and any nuclear exchange but now Russia will manipulate that interest for its political aims. A bad outcome for those of us who care about preventing such conflicts.

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

Unfortunately, this shows a core truth of arms control - it is subject to the political interests of its signatories and ultimately Putin's interest appears in imposing short-term costs and breaking off any productive relationship with the West.

[Andrey Baklitskiy @baklitskiy]

BRKN. President Putin in his address to the Russian Parliament announces that Moscow will suspend implementation of the New START. This is really-really unfortunate, and the downward trend is now clear. I will write a thread below 1/x

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

@Nick_L_Miller This is why I'm skeptical that "Madman Theory" generates coercive leverage - because on some level, people don't really believe it!

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

PS: Manzo's report is here: https://t.co/7nAEvcsPvI

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

This piece is important to raising the scenario of nuclear use and reminding us all of the risks right now: https://t.co/KA0poTeqGF

but I think it has certain assumptions about nuclear use that we should think through.

[Garrett Hinck @garretthinck]

That doesn't mean it won't happen, it just means we need to think through potential interactions and what we can do along the pathway to deter further escalation.