Gat

Bad Roblox game dev
Terminally wrong left populist

[Gat @gatoriepet]

Nvm Finest Hour is back

Go play it https://t.co/Vu9WJ4jA4O

[Gat @gatoriepet]

I mostly just post on ET here, but thank you all for playing Finest Hour on Roblox

I had a great time developing the game, and it shows in the player count and how much I put into it

Unfortunately, Roblox has no real appeal system so I have to say goobye to development for now

[Brasil Alternativo @bralternativo_]

🚨🇧🇷🇰🇵 Lula vence na Coreia do Norte.

🔴 Lula: 3
🟢 Flávio Bolsonaro: 1

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@EricAdamsFanBoy To the left of me on CO 🤯

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@grandslam1978

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@davidslosttt 52D 48R

Also expect some insane D+40 swings in some neighborhoods of LA and NYC 😝

[Gat @gatoriepet]

Dems doing better with a low propensity Trump +16 recall than a high propensity Trump +2 recall

[Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn]

@PoliticalKiwi that would be right in 2024, but not anymore, as democrats are very strong with low propensity voters in our polls
24 primary: trump+2 recall, peltola+5
no 24 primary: trump+16 recall, peltola+9

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@etuser809 @AezzieUwU

[Gat @gatoriepet]

Dems win a majority of state legislative seats and Governorships in 2026

Dem wins 319 EVs in 2028

Haha actually it doesn't matter, they don't deliver and Rs get REDMAP 2 in the midterms

[Drew Savicki @DrewSav]

Tina Kotek for Gina Hinojosa seems like a worthwhile trade to me

[Gat @gatoriepet]

I liked posts making fun of zei squirrel and now my feed thinks I want to see the most evil reactionary centrists

Where’s the middle ground on xitter man…

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@JoeMcCarthy2tan Anti-Zionism is not anti-semitism, but this is

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@HowlingGeek0 @altoidsrevenge Viewing it as a thousand year old religious war is a revisionist Israeli perspective btw

You're unknowingly taking a side by being ignorant of the origins of the conflict

[Gat @gatoriepet]

Too many pollcels

[David @davidslosttt]

Kansas Senate winner?

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@WokeAnnUpdates “Kotek and Scott get the same margin in 2026”

Oh, so OR Dems finally found a competent Governor, right?
…
Right..?

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@mndemsoc If the WA primary is at all representative of November (I think it is of WA itself) then she wins by 10

Also it doesn’t make sense in a blue wave

I don’t really like her either but this is just bad polling

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@PollTracker2024 Please take this down, the poll isn’t done fielding, they just post the results live as they come in

They still need to reach more young voters and do other adjustments

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

UPDATE.

The Vermont Governor's race looks like it's a Toss-Up.

We're using our Virginia method to weight by party ID, and right now we have a raw and LV sample that's Harris +41, Scott +61. Really...odd, Harris won VT by 31.5%, Scott won re-election by 51.6%! Winner's bias?

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@Ancapta

[Gat @gatoriepet]

@AlmightyWeegee I'm willing to go out on a limb here and say they turned off something significant in their demographic weighting, so now they're just random floating indicators with no anchor on reality

If they're right it's because they got lucky, not because they discovered the gold standard

[Gat @gatoriepet]

GatCast October 1st

[Gat @gatoriepet]

If these were the 2020 house district lines I'd be forecasting something like a 250D house!

[Gat @gatoriepet]

Also, I see a lot of predictions that give Dems a billion house seats because it's hard to live with only ~230-235 seats in a D+9-10 environment

The vibes (and previous house maps) demand landslide flip counts, but that's not what the math says anymore

Blame gerrymandering!