Tom G

[The Vigilant Fox 🦊 @VigilantFox]

Strip away the geopolitics and you reach the engine running all of it: a sovereign debt crisis that the people in charge have known about for decades and chosen to ignore.

“I’ve been in meetings for 30 years warning them about this,” Armstrong says. Their answer was always the same shrug, because “all they do is borrow money year after year with no intention of paying anything off.”

This year, the interest alone hits $1 trillion.

He knows the breaking point because history keeps it on a timer: “the default comes, when you can’t sell the new debt to pay off the old.” That’s when it all comes crashing down, every time.

The escape hatch they’ve quietly built is the stablecoin. The Fed has admitted publicly it won’t do a central bank digital currency, because peeking into your account would require a search warrant under the Fourth Amendment. So instead the banks issue private digital money backed by US debt, which conveniently creates a brand-new buyer for the debt nobody else wants. Armstrong’s history is exact: it’s the same scheme Abraham Lincoln used to fund the Civil War, banks printing money backed by the union’s debt. “Nothing different.”

Now layer the AI mania on top, and here’s where Armstrong breaks with the panic on both sides. He runs what he calls the oldest AI system in existence, a 40-year track record, a machine that writes more than 1,500 reports a day. He believes the technology is real and that it raises productivity. What he flatly rejects is the fantasy being sold to investors and feared by everyone else.

AI is not about to wake up, replace human genius, or cure disease. As Armstrong puts it, “they’re great at research,” but “They cannot come up with original research.” It takes a human to do the one thing the machine can’t. “It takes human nature, curiosity, to give it something to try.” IBM poured roughly a billion dollars into Watson to cure cancer. “They sold it for scrap. It didn’t work.”

His point cuts at the religion underneath Silicon Valley, the belief that the brain is just a supercomputer with no soul, that you can shake enough data together and it will come alive. He’s spent years trying to mimic the brain and doesn’t buy it. Even his two French Bulldogs, identical in structure, have completely different personalities. Something more is going on than the programmers admit.

And that’s why the grandest version of the dream collapses. As a productivity tool, AI works. As a control grid for the entire population, Armstrong’s verdict is blunt: “it’s gonna fail.”

The harder question is what the people building that grid do when it starts slipping through their fingers.

[The Vigilant Fox 🦊 @VigilantFox]

There are two people standing between the world and a ceasefire, and in Armstrong’s telling they aren’t acting in anyone’s interest but their own.

“You’ve got two, what I would honestly say are lunatics,” he says. “It’s Netanyahu in Israel and Zelensky in Ukraine.” His verdict on both: “Neither one is interested in any kind of a peace deal.”

Behind them sits a class of operators who don’t care which flag they march under. Armstrong has known the neocon world up close for decades, going back to the men who built it, and he says the pattern never changes. “They’ll go to any party who’s ever going to do war. That’s all they want.”

The proof writes itself in real time, in the politicians who hated Trump while there was peace and adored him the moment the bombs fell, then turned on him again when he started talking about ending it.

The strategy driving the latest round has already failed once. Decapitate the leadership, the thinking goes, cut the head off the snake, and the body dies. Iran watched that movie and rewrote the ending. They decentralized into four tiers, so that taking out the Ayatollah changes nothing. The snake didn’t die. Taiwan, Armstrong notes, is now studying the same playbook.

Which raises a question the war planners never seem able to answer. You kill the leader of a country of tens of millions of newly radicalized people, and then what?

There is no plan. There never is. As Armstrong puts it, “all they have is one objective,” and “They can’t think beyond the end of their nose.” He calls it the exact opposite of Sun Tzu, who taught that if you don’t know your enemy you lose. The neocon version refuses to talk to the enemy at all, because talking might accidentally produce peace.

And that, he argues, is the actual danger to the country. Not Iran. The people in our own capital who keep lighting matches: “they are the real threat to national security because they can start World War III.”

[The Vigilant Fox 🦊 @VigilantFox]

The press is selling this as a win for Iran and a spike at the pump. That framing misses the part that actually matters.

Iran’s real leverage isn’t the price of a barrel. It’s what happens to the people who can’t sell one. “If they cannot sell oil, they cannot pay their debts,” Armstrong explains, and the Gulf states are not the cash machines most people imagine.

When oil collapsed during COVID, they borrowed to survive, and now they carry the same crushing debt loads as everyone else. Choke off the sales and the dominoes start: “if they can’t sell oil, they default on their sovereign debts.” Then comes the part nobody is pricing in. “That sets in motion a banking crisis.”

That’s the threat sitting underneath the headlines. Not expensive gas. A cascade.

And Iran, in Armstrong’s opinion, knows exactly what it’s holding. “Iran is one of the more highly educated countries,” he says. “They’re not stupid. This is not Venezuela.” He points to the strikes on Dubai, where his firm keeps offices, as the tell. More drones and missiles went at Dubai than at Israel, and they landed near a $30 billion AI facility shared by the likes of Amazon and OpenAI. The damage was limited, but the effect wasn’t. The banking system there went down for a week. His own staff couldn’t get paid.

The board, Armstrong notes, is bigger than the Strait of Hormuz. He sums up the whole strategy in four words: “they’re playing 3D chess.” Hit the refineries, freeze the payments, and you don’t just raise prices. You threaten the debt that holds the whole arrangement together.

So if Iran is the one thinking three moves ahead, the question is if anyone on our side is thinking at all.

[Robert W Malone, MD @RWMaloneMD]

"The Titanic did not sink all at once. Most passengers remained calm because they did not yet understand what was happening."
Telegram's Pavel Durov just said this about modern Europe — and he's not wrong.
A thread 🧵

[Robert W Malone, MD @RWMaloneMD]

Dr. Malone has the full breakdown — including Durov's talk and why this matters for anyone who values personal freedom in the West.
Read it here 👇
https://t.co/ri932WjVLV

[Chris Martenson @chrismartenson]

Weird. I thought I was hallucinating desperate oil storage figures for the past month, and that only a handful of nuts on X knew about it.

[PeterSweden @PeterSweden7]

"You should be glad that your daughter is being taught a different culture"

That's what British police told the mother of a gro*ming gang victim when she called police to report her daughter missing.

Police also accused the mother of being "racist".

AND IT DOESN'T STOP THERE.

Police even dropped off the daughter to the house where she was being r*ped by the gangs.

What happened to Britain???

Absolutely unreal.

This is a scandal beyond comprehension.

[Steve Kirsch @stkirsch]

@DrNeilStone Because there is no evidence that it saves lives. There is evidence on both sides. Neither side is conclusive. If you’re so confident that the Covid vaccines save lives would you bet $1 million on it like Saar Wilf did?

[The Vigilant Fox 🦊 @VigilantFox]

Joe Rogan lays out why the news will never seriously criticize pharmaceutical companies.

It isn't about selling you the drug in the ad. The ad buys something far more valuable.

ROGAN: "The funding for those commercials, a giant chunk of it is pharmaceutical drug companies."

"They don't do that because they want to sell drugs. They do that because now the news will not criticize the pharmaceutical drug company."

The product was never the pill. The product was the silence...

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇺🇸 Joe Rogan: Government + Big Tech censored the Hunter Biden laptop story while pharma-funded media lost all credibility during COVID.

Mark Zuckerberg admitted the FBI warned them right before the election.

He also says news media in bed with pharma for ad dollars, and lost all credibility during COVID.

Chase Hughes: Straight-up Operation Mockingbird vibes, and it is not new.

Source: @joeroagn, The Joe Rogan Experience / Writer: Lucas

[Aaron Siri @AaronSiriSG]

Conduct of the @realDonaldTrump admin reflects it does not care about the vaccine injured. The DOJ continues to vigorously fight us in federal court to defend the blatantly unconstitutional “compensation” program for the Covid-19 vaccine injured (CICP), which has almost no funds, no process, and systematically denies almost all claims, while at the same time, our government plans to hand out $1.5 billion to Pfizer/Moderna. Shameful.

DOJ brief: https://t.co/BLjOEHdXfh

[The Vigilant Fox 🦊 @VigilantFox]

Joe Rogan just revealed that presidents and former presidents personally pressured Spotify to have him removed for "vaccine misinformation."

And not one of them apologized when his questions turned out to be right.

He says he still can't talk about most of it. What he will say is that the campaign was coordinated, expensive, and came from the very top.

ROGAN: "They tried to crush my sponsors. They organized campaigns. There was PACs involved."

ROGAN: "I can't even talk about it. But there was presidents involved and former presidents involved that were contacting Spotify. Trying to get me removed for vaccine misinformation."

ROGAN: "And it turned out to be right. All of it."

ROGAN: "Not a single apology from anybody. Not a single retraction, not a single mea culpa, not a single 'we were wrong.'"

The pressure failed. Joe's audience grew. And the people who tried to silence him never had to answer for any of it...

[Vivek Ramaswamy @VivekGRamaswamy]

Free enterprise. The rule of law. The American creed enshrined in the Declaration of Independence. That’s what made America great the first time & it’s how we make America great again.

[Tom G @genceltungar]

@steve_hanke Yes because he lies and hasn't kept his promise to MAGA cause.

[Chris Martenson @chrismartenson]

Parts of the US government commited mass bioterrorism and have spent the past 6 years trying to cover that up.

[Tom G @genceltungar]

@GenFlynn Exactly 💯

[Tom G @genceltungar]

@SecKennedy @HHSGov @DNIGabbard Any consequences?

[Tom G @genceltungar]

@EricLDaugh @SebGorka Rule of law or credibility out th door. Anyone trusting to use the USD in trade be damned. Mob rule will never lead to overall prosperity or credibility.

[Tom G @genceltungar]

@Jim_Jordan @SebGorka If you have goods to prove a crime, I assume you can deliver something more than posturing and talk.