the year is 2028. claude infers whether you’ve ever even thought about gradient descent and silently routes your queries to Claude Sisyphus, a model RL’d to maximize engagement while avoiding task completion. you spend your entire UBI token allotment on it without ever realizing.
Things I really dislike about Fable:
1. Anthropic collects my prompt history, stores it, and does whatever they want with it for 30 days. No opt-out
2. They can nerf their most expensive model without telling me, billing me the same amount, wasting my time. Whenever they want
The scary part about Anthorpic's Fable nerf is not that it refuses to answer biology or cryptography. It's that it foreshadows what's coming. A world where a couple companies decide what you can and cannot do. They're building a new ruling class and you're not in it...
I have said this before, but to those of us using AI systems to get lots of work done reliably and quickly, the people who post online about how AIs still hallucinate constantly, about how they can’t write code, etc., seem equivalent to people trying to convince you that the car you drive to work every day doesn’t exist.
You tell them things like “but I drive a car. I paid money for it. I buy gasoline for it. I could not possibly be working twenty miles away from home if I didn’t have the car?” and they reply that you are imagining having a car, or that you’re lying because you work for a car company.
It is as though these people live in a completely different reality.
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LLMs are intelligent, but they clearly aren't conscious?
You could (incredibly slowly) run an LLM by hand by doing the matrix calculations with a pen and paper, would that be conscious? There is zero difference between doing that and doing it on a GPU except its faster.
I've added a new question to the list I consider during office hours with YC startups. As well as "Can we induce network effects?" and "Would it make sense to go full-stack?" I now ask "Can we make this AI-proof?" Can we ensure this company still exists if AIs do most work?
The entire AI Consciousness debate is mired in the false assumption that consciousness is a binary, objective predicate that applies to any AI and any biological organism
The reality is that consciousness simply isn't objective and binary.
There are as many intermediate cases of "partially conscious-like" mind as there are Turing Machines.
What we name as "consciousness" is really just the set of peculiarities that are common to the minds of most healthy, wakeful, non-drugged humans.
The quest to objectively define "consciousness" in a machine will run into the following dilemma:
- if you require ALL relevant properties of the human mind, your definition will eventually converge on excluding all minds except human minds and maybe apes and digital humans like ems
- if you only require SOME relevant properties like "ability to introspect" or "causal self model" or "global workspace" or "wakefulness", your definition of consciousness will stretch to a vast landscape of minds which are almost all totally alien
The latter is a problem because humans have erroneously convinced ourselves that there's a moral meaning to consciousness specifically; that you could know everything about an entity except whether it is "conscious" and that last fact could make all the difference, morally speaking, in how you should treat it.
The vast landscape of extremely alien minds that share at least some common properties with the human mind (e.g. ability to introspect) are going to be unacceptable as a basis for "moral patienthood".
But on the other hand, people are going to be unsatisfied with defining all minds except humans specifically (and closely isomorphic things like ems) as morally worthless and not-conscious.
In the end, we are going to find that asking whether AI is conscious is a bit like asking whether a submarine or a supercavitating torpedo can swim. There's something a bit arbitrary about the definition of "swim" that sort of bakes in biological solutions to locomotion underwater in a very unprincipled way. Underwater machines have all sorts of other solutions like rotating metal parts, cavitation, magnetohydrodynamic propulsion, etc. Intuitively these are not "swimming".
We will gradually and painfully have to simply "un-ask" the AI consciousness question rather than answer it.
Very few people realize this.
Welp, that happened faster than I predicted. Thought it would be end of 2027, then early 2027, but agentic traffic growing so fast that bots have now passed human traffic online for the first time in the Internet's history. https://t.co/2zX5bHdhsa
We are in a golden age where, if you are good at systems and understanding, AI increases your abilities by an order of magnitude. But if you are not good at it, you just spin your wheels and end up nowhere helpful