[Thread] When I think about the jurisdictional implications of DAOs I think about…agriculture. Not because DAOs could more efficiently govern, say, water usage—but because modern agriculture’s place in our global ecology has similar implications for sovereignty as DAOs. 1/11
A good object lesson in community organizing and power—gaps in governance or missing rules and laws don’t mean communities are left without ways to organize and enforce their values.
I might have to take back everything I said criticizing Ethereum rainbows and unicorns. Sometimes rainbows and unicorns are exactly what a community needs.
Very surprised this all came together through donations. Big learning moment for me.
I might have to take back everything I said criticizing Ethereum rainbows and unicorns. Sometimes rainbows and unicorns are exactly what a community needs.
Very surprised this all came together through donations. Big learning moment for me.
ChatGPT is now available in CarPlay.
The voice mode you know, now available on-the-go.
Rolling out to iPhone users running iOS 26.4+ where CarPlay is supported.
@valkenburgh Relevant: https://t.co/BZDIv4ANAh
"Consistent with our prior work, we find that the LLM adheres to the legally correct outcome significantly more often than human judges. In fact, the LLM makes no errors at all."
There should be a bill in Congress right now to direct the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts to allow LLM models to scrape all of Pacer without fees. If you want the rule of law taken seriously in the US, you want it faithfully embedded in language models ASAP.
Not sure what Haseeb’s view on AI and the future of money is, so the point I’m about to make may not be germane, but if you’re of the belief that a singularity-like future is coming then you can’t really knock Chris’ vision.
Hoarding capital becomes harder for people who can’t control hardware and energy, and the next durable layer of value accrual becomes whatever rights you can fix in place and assert ownership over. As value sublimates into this less and less “material” form of capital, the differences between the economy trading on stock markets and the economy trading in gaming markets dissolve.
We’re already seeing glimpses of this with what’s happening via @bankrbot and agents. What’s emerging now feels like it’s growing the way information and media networks do, and the incentives that agents follow seem closer to the structures of a game. Market forces are embedded, of course, and value is being created—but the underlying logic is much less financial than the networks that generated value in the past.
With all due respect to Chris, I completely disagree with this take.
Chris argues that "web3," particularly crypto-powered gaming and media, failed due to scams and regulation, and that better regulation will unlock these non-financial cases.
OK, think about this for a second.
Does this pass the smell test?
Do you think web3 gaming failed because of Gary Gensler? Do you think web3 media plays failed because the scammers crowded out the honest media innovators? Really?
If this is true, why didn't they kill financial crypto, which had WAY more of both? Financial use cases were right in the crosshairs of the regulatory harassment, and they also attracted way more scams.
Why shouldn't we instead accept the more obvious answer: non-financial use cases for crypto have failed because no one wants them.
Let's just admit it. They were bad products. They failed the market test. It was not Gensler or SBF or Terra that caused these things to fail, it was that no one wanted any of it. Pretending otherwise is cope.
Enormous sums of capital and talent explored these ideas, and we should acknowledge what we learned. That lesson is not "if we just had better laws, then finally people would finally be using decentralized Spotify" or whatever.
Call a spade a spade. Every single use case in crypto that has worked at scale has been financial in nature.
2008: Bitcoin - non-sovereign store of value
2014: Tether - stablecoins
2015: Ethereum - programmable money
2017: ICOs - capital formation
2018: Prediction markets (Augur, later Polymarket)
2020: DeFi - literally finance is in the name
2021: NFTs - non-fungible financial assets (to the extent they worked)
2024: RWAs (the year BUIDL took off)
All this stuff was adopted bottoms-up. We as investors discovered that people wanted to do these things with crypto. The web3 consumer stuff, on the other hand, was primarily conjured up by investors and pitch decks, ZIRP accelerationism, and "wouldn't it be crazy if" blog posts. This was the opposite of the "what smart people are doing on their weekends" thesis.
In fact, if you go back to the Ethereum white paper from 2014, almost every single Ethereum use case Vitalik describes is financial in nature: token issuance, stablecoins, derivatives, on-chain treasuries/DAOs, on-chain savings, insurance, price feeds, escrow, gambling, prediction markets. It's all in there.
This is nothing to be ashamed of. Finance is almost 10% of GDP. It's an enormous part of the world economy, and banks are some of the lowest NPS score companies in the world. People hate their banks and the outdated financial architectures their money runs on. It's literally why Bitcoin was created. There is so much to innovate in the realm of finance, and I truly believe we are only at the beginning of that displacement. You don't need to assume anything more to project the next 10x in crypto.
The old saying goes "crypto will do to finance what the Internet did to every other industry."
I respect Chris's optimism. But 18 years in, we should not be propagating this meme about consumer web3 use cases as though they're inevitable. If you are hanging around the rim hoping that crypto is going to disrupt media and gaming, you should know the history and look at it with clear eyes.
Now if you as a founder believe that despite that, you know the secret to cracking this market--I respect that, and I certainly don't begrudge anyone to follow their convictions.
But I think it's important that investors be honest that all the evidence points the other way.
Blockchains have always been and always will be tech for finance. Their core purpose is financialization.
That’s why architecting a chain to protect unification of liquidity is more important than practically anything else.
I am happy the misadventures around things like gaming in particular are fully dead and over.
More broadly, I felt the ��read write own” / web3 articulation was too skeuomorphic and, frankly, intellectually lazy to transpire because new tech is never as simple as putting something on a blockchain and voila. You have to create new markets.
This narrative functioned more as a fig leaf for a reason to put VC dollars into more unnecessary infrastructure to rationalize a desire to create a private asset that could become magical internet money.
The more folks that launched projects to attract price based on selling a narrative to the wild Wild West of internet liquidity, the harder the legitimizing narrative machine worked to ascribe value to all this as the third coming of apps - “all the stuff you do today, but now it pays you”
In reality, the opportunity is immense, and bigger than our most creative minds can imagine, but not as it’s been articulated over the last few years.
This blockchain adventure has always been about finance: open financial rails for anyone and everyone on the internet.
This makes it newly possible for capital formation and internet formation to happen anywhere in the world, and for the ensuing innovation and progress to take hold. Open finance enables greater economic freedom and with it individual sovereignty and agency.
I used to have a lot of debates about 'regulation of DeFi front ends' and Treasury even proposed an insanely burdensome set of rules to regulate web site operators as intermediaries
At the limit (extreme government oppression scenario), this is no longer an issue for actual DeFi as AI can assemble a UI to interact with any smart contract on the fly. . .conversely, that would make trying to regulate these things increasingly silly. . .
If Sam Altman thinks OpeanAI could eventually be run by AI, maybe it’s time to revisit DAOs in earnest.
2021’s enthusiasm had a lot mantras, but a major one was “we’re still early.” I still believe that was correct, but visions of the future were so grand that even the most monumental forward progress could feel like being “early” meant the arrival of something real could take another 50 years—and neither markets nor humanity had time to wait that long.
But in just 5 years we’re now in an era where time and space constraints are diminishing faster than our imaginations can create new visions of the future and, more importantly, people can feel it. At some point it won’t be a question of “being early” and then waiting for the rest of the world to catch up—it will just be “this can happen now,” and then it just does.
But if you live in a world where everything can happen anywhere all at once, and don’t have any bedrock to ground it in, you have incoherence. Complexity doesn’t disappear just because things happen faster, it moves to a new substrate and our phenomenological toolkit adjusts accordingly. Crypto and blockchain tech are critical to anchoring coherence in this environment, and I think we are now right on time.
If Sam Altman thinks OpeanAI could eventually be run by AI, maybe it’s time to revisit DAOs in earnest.
2021’s enthusiasm had a lot mantras, but a major one was “we’re still early.” I still believe that was correct, but visions of the future were so grand that even the most monumental forward progress could feel like being “early” meant the arrival of something real could take another 50 years—and neither markets nor humanity had time to wait that long.
But in just 5 years we’re now in an era where time and space constraints are diminishing faster than our imaginations can create new visions of the future and, more importantly, people can feel it. At some point it won’t be a question of “being early” and then waiting for the rest of the world to catch up—it will just be “this can happen now,” and then it just does.
But if you live in a world where everything can happen anywhere all at once, and don’t have any bedrock to ground it in, you have incoherence. Complexity doesn’t disappear just because things happen faster, it moves to a new substrate and our phenomenological toolkit adjusts accordingly. Crypto and blockchain tech are critical to anchoring coherence in this environment, and I think we are now right on time.
I am increasingly convinced that crypto is not a speculative asset class, but an inevitable outcome of a broken global system of finance and IP.
The institutional framework we have relied on for decades is weakening. Legal systems, treaties, and global institutions are struggling to coordinate behavior across borders. At the same time, software is becoming the primary mechanism for trust, enforcement, and organization. As this transition accelerates, market cycles matter less than structural direction.
What comes next are digitally native organizations, ownership models, and coordination systems that are not anchored to any single state. The political and economic scaffolding we inherited was designed for an analog era. It does not scale to an internet native world.
Nation states will not disappear, but their exclusive claim to legitimacy eventually will. Networks will increasingly take on roles once reserved for governments.
If we care about open markets, individual autonomy, and private communication online, then crypto is no longer a speculative asset but a core infrastructure that powers the world.
What a time to be alive.
When I talk to friends about AI and this topic comes up my advice has boiled down to these three things:
1. You should teach them to be curious.
2. You should teach them to be kind.
3. You should teach them math.
I haven’t been able to think of a fourth.
for the past 2 years ive been deeply paranoid about my kids’ future in the post-agi era. things im increasingly convinced of
-> ai will be smarter than the average human before my kids enter adulthood, possibly well before.
-> therefore agency and taste r the only things that matter (old adage but obv true).
-> the current school system which emphasizes compliance and repetition is already obsolete.
-> so what do i need to do as a parent?
1. have them use ai as much as possible.
2. give them as much freedom as possible (agency).
3. expose them to as many things as possible so they know early on in life what they r naturally good at and interested in (taste).
4. give them a lot of time and love.
that's it, 2-4 probably applied before ai, but certainly more-so in the next 10-20 yrs.
@BillHughesDC@austincampbell@SECGov@SIFMA To put a button on it (pun intended), this in some ways feels like SIFMA is saying we should regulate DeFi the same way Apple sets rules for its App Store.
GM. All of the breathless hand wringing on market structure . . .
Steady lads. Delaying the committee markup is actually good for crypto given the state of deliberations. It’s competent negotiation.
Roger Fisher and William Ury — the Harvard Negotiation Project founders behind Getting to Yes — explained decades ago that power in any negotiation comes from “your Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement”. In simple terms, the side that can most easily walk away has the leverage. If you need the deal more than the other side, you get squeezed.
Chris Voss, the former FBI hostage negotiator (@fbinegotiator ), says the same thing in modern terms: you don’t get leverage by wanting the deal — you get leverage by making the other side fear losing it. (Read his book! Enjoyable and eye-opening!)
That’s exactly where crypto is right now.
Pushing forward with a markup would have required further backsliding to achieve compromises that would permanently weaken U.S. crypto competitiveness. By slowing the process, the sponsors and the industry is signaling something critical: we’re not desperate.
And we simply aren’t! We can live with the status quo longer than the other side can live with no coherent framework, regulatory ambiguity, capital flight, and innovation moving offshore.
Congress is under pressure from constituents, markets, and global competition to get this right. Crypto, by contrast, already operates globally. It has alternatives. It has a pretty good couple of years ahead at the very least without this bill. That’s a strong BATNA. And it helps to pause and make everyone recognize that.
So the delayed markup isn’t a failure — I see so many silly tweets sneeringly eulogizing the bill.
It’s leverage, people. It tells lawmakers that some things aren’t able to pass right now. No one is desperate. The bill will finally move BECAUSE it’s clear the industry is willing to walk.