We estimate that despite holding only 9 percent of uranium mining equity in Kazakhstan, China received half of the country's total uranium exports in 2025.
Viewed as a western-accessible producer, they might have already committed much of its uranium to the East.
We've been busy and have some new research to share
Tomorrow's uranium shortage is being allocated today.
The market is becoming a one-way membrane: the East locks up its pounds, the West sells to the highest bidder.
The coming shortage will not be shared equally.
1/16
An awesome graphic and brief description of why the current shortage of enrichment capacity results in a higher mined uranium demand.
The team at Boundless has been putting out some phenomenal data. Nuclear and uranium market observers should be following ๐ค
The pipeline of probable uranium supply is highly concentrated, with a single remote Canadian project expected to account for 15 percent of global output at its peak. Under conservative demand assumptions, if this unproven developer slips, the uranium shortage widens a lot.
Driven by ambitious nuclear targets, Indian state-backed entities are moving beyond supply contracts and actively scouting for global uranium mine acquisitions.
Western sanctions on Russian enrichment make SWU scarce and costly in the West, pushing enrichers to overfeed and burn more uranium. Eastern buyers keep cheap SWU and underfeed.
China has reduced its construction time for serial reactor units to 5.7 years. Compare this to the gestation period for a western mining project - from discovery to first production ran 9 to 39 years.
What happens when you build reactors faster than the you can mine fuel?
Customs data shows that in 2025, China accumulated 79 Mlb of uranium, almost twice its 2026 reactor requirements. Meanwhile, the US procured only enough for its current operational fleet and remain 40% uncovered in the 2030 when the supply market is estimated to tighten most.
In 2025, bulldozers started clearing ground next to existing uranium enrichment plants in Lanzhou, China.
A year later: a completed enrichment hall equal to a third of America's entire enrichment capacity.
1/13
We've been busy and have some new research to share
Tomorrow's uranium shortage is being allocated today.
The market is becoming a one-way membrane: the East locks up its pounds, the West sells to the highest bidder.
The coming shortage will not be shared equally.
1/16
We've been busy and have some new research to share
Tomorrow's uranium shortage is being allocated today.
The market is becoming a one-way membrane: the East locks up its pounds, the West sells to the highest bidder.
The coming shortage will not be shared equally.
1/16
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