Positano-based, passionate traveler, algorithmic trader, and personal wealth manager. Dedicated family man balancing life's adventures and financial expertise.
Anthropic just dropped 5 workshops, revealing the latest capabilities of Fable 5:
• 00:00 - deep look into Fable 5
• 11:22 - Fable 5 and the capability curve
• 30:54 - building managed agents with Fable 5
• 44:29 - real use cases of Fable 5 by teams
• 57:43 - how to deploy agents with Fable 5
These 1-hour of sessions will replace 100 articles on how to actually use Fable 5.
Watch them today, then read the best practices from the sessions in the article below.
The "random" market strikes again. 😂
Retail traders see a chaotic drop. We see a picture perfect liquidity sweep straight into our exact mapped level.
Look at that precision on the $NQ 1h chart. It nuked right down to the 0.5 level and immediately rejected.
If you still think these moves are random, you are simply not paying attention to the structure.
Did you catch this move or were you sitting on the sidelines? Tell me in the comments! 👇
US YIELD CURVE STEEPEST IN FOUR YEARS
The gap between 2- and 10-year Treasury yields has widened to about 69 basis points, near a four-year high, as investors await the Treasury’s bond auction plans.
Long-term yields are rising on concerns about growing debt and policy shifts, while short-term yields remain steady due to Fed rate-cut expectations. The steepening curve signals mounting fiscal pressure, raising borrowing costs for the government.
Markets are watching Wednesday’s refunding announcement for clues on future debt issuance.
SpaceX just acquired xAI in a deal valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion.
Elon says it's about building "data centers in space."
But let me translate what's really happening here...
xAI is burning through $1 billion per month.
The company generated $107 million in revenue last quarter while hemorrhaging $1.46 billion in losses. It burned nearly $8 billion in cash through the first nine months of 2025.
That's not a business.
SpaceX meanwhile generated $8 billion in profit on $15-16 billion of revenue last year. It's the ONLY Musk company that actually prints money.
So what do you do when your AI startup is drowning in red ink ahead of your mega-IPO?
You fold the cash-burner into the entity that can still raise absurd amounts of capital.
And we've literally seen this exact thing before:
In 2016, Tesla acquired SolarCity for $2.6 billion.
SolarCity was bleeding cash, drowning in debt, and trading near all-time lows.
Tesla - the only Musk company at the time that could access the capital markets - absorbed it.
Wall Street analysts called it a "bailout dressed as synergy." Tesla's stock dropped 10% on the announcement.
The SpaceX/xAI deal is the same playbook.
Musk's stated rationale - that AI compute will be cheaper in space within 2-3 years - is the kind of thing that sounds visionary until you think about it for 5 seconds...
SpaceX builds rockets. xAI trains large language models.
These are wildly different businesses with zero operational overlap.
Imagine Microsoft acquiring a cement and steel conglomerate and claiming "tilt-up concrete slabs are essential for data centers."
That's the level of logic we're working with here.
The real play is simple: prop up xAI's insane burn rate with SpaceX's funding access ahead of what could be the largest IPO in history.
And xAI isn't alone in this capital-devouring spiral.
The entire AI sector has become a web of companies cross-subsidizing each other's losses.
OpenAI squeezes billions from Microsoft. Nvidia invests billions in xAI while selling them chips.
Everyone's propping everyone else up.
The investment thesis across the industry has devolved into:
"Please keep the Ponzi spinning long enough for someone else to be left holding the bag."
Meanwhile, the end product - AI - delivers marginal productivity gains for trillions in capex, soaring power costs, and balance sheet carnage.
If these services were priced to reflect their true economic cost, most users would find negative value.
But investors stopped reading balance sheets and cash flows long ago.
The AI models probably can't read them either.
What a time to be invested.
So what's the play?
AVOID the AI infrastructure complex.
When everyone's propping everyone else up, you don't want to be holding the bag when the music stops.
Look instead at sectors that have suffered from years of underinvestment: energy and commodities.
While trillions have been funneled into AI infrastructure, capital spending in oil, gas, and metals has been starved.
That's how cycles work - underinvestment leads to supply constraints, which leads to rising returns on capital.
Tech has the opposite problem. Overinvestment is destroying returns.
When you're burning $1 billion a month to generate $107 million in revenue, that's not a business model - it's a wealth transfer from investors to chip manufacturers.
Emerging markets are also attractive here.
They've been ignored while capital chased the Mag 7, and valuations reflect that neglect.
The Mag 7 now represent roughly a third of the S&P 500.
When this unravels - and it will - capital will rotate into the parts of the market where returns on capital are rising, not collapsing.
Energy. Commodities. Emerging markets.
POSITION ACCORDINGLY
Last thing,
Are we streaming tomorrow or nah?
This might be my last YouTube stream and the channel will be converted to structured content only moving forward.
I’m thinking of opening a free section in the discord just for the Free Trading Livestreams I used to do on YouTube.
13 of the last 18 daily candle closes on September 11th resulted in 5 or more bearish daily candle closes below Sept. 11th close price within the next trading week or so on $NQ
Being a bull in a deteriorating economy should not have you entering new buys at the top here.
Puts will like make some money over the course of the next week or so.
Buy time if you’re buying them over the next few days.
Not financial advice.