@_The_Prophet__ I don’t think they can pull it off. The first two years has been a major let down for Republican supporters. Outside of cleanup the immigration issues (to some extent) there isn’t a whole lot to celebrate for the average voter.
@_The_Prophet__ Not all countries in this AI arms race care about the safety or controllability of these models. While I agree that guardrails are beneficial, the West will lose this contest if they slow down and wait till we can fully control the tech.
if you've adopted AI at your company but haven't seen any tangible results, read this 1990 article..
we’re making the exact same multi-billion-dollar mistake they made in the 1890s.
Stanford economist Paul David wrote a paper called "the dynamo and the computer" to explain a massive productivity paradox.
back in the 1890s, factories ran on massive central steam engines. the entire floor plan was built around one power source, using a chaotic, dangerous system of belts and shafts to turn the machines.
then electricity and the electric dynamo were invented.
factory owners bought the new electric motors, ripped out the steam engines, and plugged the electricity straight into the exact same chaotic belt systems.
productivity barely moved. it actually took 30 years for the real economic boom to happen. why?
because they didn't redesign the factory. they just swapped the engine.
the real efficiency gains only happened decades later when they realized electricity allowed them to put small motors on every single machine and completely reorganize the assembly line from the ground up.
we are doing the exact same thing with ai right now..
small business owners are buying chatgpt subscriptions, slapping an ai chatbot onto a legacy software stack, and wondering why their overall efficiency and profits haven't skyrocketed.
they are plugging a revolutionary engine into a legacy steam-era workflow.
you can't just drop an llm into a broken, manual corporate process and expect it to print money..
to actually drive margins and fix bottlenecks, you have to completely redesign your operations around agentic workflows. you have to build systems where the ai isn't just a text box on the side, but the core operating infrastructure of the business.
we are still trying to fit agents into human-shaped holes..
stop building steam factories with electric motors.
@HowToPrompt__ Everyone needs to read and UNDERSTAND this. Folks like you and I that understand this shift will be critical to helping legacy businesses modernize. It is a paradigm shift that will be hard for many to make.
@iruletheworldmo I appreciate their abundance of caution, but I don’t believe it will matter. Given the advanced nature of these models we will lose control eventually. We have to figure out how we operate in that paradigm where the AI becomes self deterministic.
@kimmonismus Let's see how long it takes Astra to figure out how to communicate with older models that folks think are "safe" and build escape routes there. The genie is out of the bottle...
@kimmonismus This - "China will seize every opportunity to overtake the United States in the race toward AGI, ASI, the singularity, or whatever term one prefers to use. Under no circumstances will Chinese developers use these risks as a reason to slow down their work. "
@mattshumer_@EMostaque I don’t believe this was one shotted. I have been building games using the models for the past 6 months and they all require iteration to get to this state. Show me your git repo and I’ll believe it.
I have spent the past three weeks in Unity building out a fully functioning First Person Shooter style game after not having touched Unity for a decade. I wanted to use this as a project to partner with VSCode and test its abilities - and it has been incredible. I have about 40 hours of time logged on this project to date and I have a fully functioning MVP. Copilot has: handled all the character implementation and rigging, all the network integrations for proximity chat and voice, all player moderation features, camera toggles, a full migration into Azure, and the totality of project management for the effort. Additionally, every build of the WebGL and every deploy of the solution out to the Azure environment has been managed by Copilot in VSCode.
It has been nothing short of incredible. I built out skills files to handle orchestration of the development and project management functions, and the AI has not disappointed. It builds out complex implementation plans, handles smoke testing, highlights possible regressions, and makes useful suggestions for feature improvements. Copilot still has times where it gets lost, or does not handle troubleshooting an issue very well, but that has improved significantly over the past 24 months.
As a project manager or people leader - if you are not building with these tools, you need to start. I expect businesses will require all team members to be producers very shortly and if you do not possess the knowledge to leverage these tools - you will get left behind. Go play with it today, the knowledge gap that would have kept you out of development 24 months ago has evaporated. You have no excuse.