Not to drag OP who seems to be reasonable and well intentioned, but I hate how the combined effect of tech paying well + rampant nimbyism + bad social policy on homelessness is always blamed on tech like the other actors have no agency.
This weekend, I overheard a group of AI safety researchers laughing about how the city of Oakland "is District 9, dude. Don't go there!!" As in, presumably, the alien shantytown.
Lighthaven is basically on the Berkeley-Oakland border. And it frankly pisses me off when some EAs and rationalists (who, yes, are not the same! and have both separately said things like this within earshot of me):
(a) know nothing about the city they live in,
(b) write large swaths of the Bay Area off as dangerous, disgusting places to be avoided*, and/or
(c) go out of their way to minimize contact with anyone outside of their community, while claiming to care about epistemic clarity or doing the most good and such.
Go outside, I'm begging you. Even, god forbid, in Oakland. I live here, it's nice! Maybe you live and work around here, too - be a good neighbor! Take a chill lap around Lake Merritt and maybe consider funding one of the city's many community-led efforts to make it better.
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* another anecdote: At the last SF EAG, I got multiple swapcard notifications warning me to take uber/waymo away from the conference venue, lest I expose myself to the Tenderloin at 6pm. But like, frankly, I'd *love* for more fresh-out-of-college AI safety fellows to walk through the Tenderloin. Really take in the housing and displacement crisis. You'll be fine, I promise! Let yourself feel some of the ugly impact that the tech industry has had on marginalized people in this city.
@jon_stokes If you control for "Knew what SlateStarCodex was in 2015" then financial exposure to AI labs is massively anti-correlated to how concerned you are about AI risk.
Everyone is confidently asserting a bivariate relationship that is totally backwards.
@jmhorp I think the view is that back then, for that price you could purchase a respectable car—now you purchase a cheap car, losing social status (even if it is obviously materially superior)
@LinkofSunshine well-calibrated is great and all but "almost perfect" it is not.
"almost perfect" would require *also* predicting 95%+ probabilities every time
@BeezyManzell@KelseyTuoc This doesn't make sense for most processes though. For most of my professional writing Claude drafts it, I edit and restructure it, and then Claude makes minor edits to keep it up to date as things change.
@islesofmets@pasta_nachos BART is cleaner and safer than pre-pandemic thanks to the new fare gates. The reason ridership hasn’t recovered is high WFH rates.
@thkostolansky The average joes are wrong here, because of China specifically. Best-case, China becomes the dominant superpower and sells American companies job-replacing AI anyway, so what is gained?