Grant Hawkridge

Golf, cigars, whisky & looking at charts

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridgex]

Is breadth sending a warning signal?

Join me live at 8 PM ET tonight as I break down what the market is really telling us.

👉https://t.co/g96BPNUvyg

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridgex]

Good to be back home 🇦🇺

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridgex]

Back in AUS... Jet lag has hit... I'm going to bed! catch ya on Monday!! Live show is back on! Be ready!

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridgex]

Socks ✅

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridgex]

When you have no idea where your bags are... No socks and jocks.. you go on a mission in Texas for a shopping centre! 😂🤦🇺🇸

[Sean Dekmar @DekmarTrades]

WallStreetBets just had a poll and asked their users "WHAT WILL BE THE BEST STOCK in 2026"

Here are the results:
1. $RDDT (299 votes)
2. $ASTS (238 votes)
3. $NBIS (227 votes)
4. $ONDS (162 votes)
5. $AMZN (154 votes)
6. $POET (134 votes)
7. $OXY (107 votes)
8. $RKLB (105 votes)
9. $META (104 votes)
10. $MRNA (77 votes)
11. $DUOL (68 votes)
12. $SOFI (62 votes)
13. $PL (61 votes)
14. $PYPL (60 votes)
15. $KRKNF (54 votes)
16. $UNH (54 votes)
17. $RDW (47 votes)
18. $MU (44 votes)
19. $NVO (43 votes)
20. $CMPS (37 votes)
21. $BULL (33 votes)
22. $NVDA (31 votes)
23. $LUNR (31 votes)
24. $QS (29 votes)
25. $PATH (28 votes)
26. $CEG (28 votes)
27. $APP (28 votes)
28. $OPEN (27 votes)
29. $RIVN (25 votes)
30. $VG (25 votes)
31. $RCAT (25 votes)
32. $UMAC (25 votes)
33. $ABAT (20 votes)
34. $INTC (13 votes)
35. $APPL (13 votes)
36. $WEN (13 votes)
37. $IREN (10 votes)
38. $AMD (8 votes)
39. $NFLX (7 votes)
40. $M (6 votes)

[Hedgeye @Hedgeye]

If you bought Silver yesterday, you'd have outperformed someone holding $ETH for 4 years.

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

⚠️US CPI YoY Actual 2.7% (Forecast 3.1%, Previous 3.0%)

US Core CPI YoY Actual 2.6% (Forecast 3%, Previous 3.0%)

US CPI MoM Actual 0.204% (Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.3%)

US Core CPI MoM Actual 0.159% (Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.2%)

US Initial Jobless Claims Actual 224k (Forecast 225k, Previous 236k)

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

Gold isn’t slowing down... It’s accelerating.

All-time highs, 9 straight up weeks, 518 days above trend.

This is what a bull market looks like.

👉https://t.co/zmD0TetxZM

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

Mega caps slipping, micro caps surging.

Mega-cap vs micro-cap ratio at 31-month lows.

The market’s leadership curve is changing fast.

👉https://t.co/oMQmzjxwxi

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

Volatility’s up... but small and micro caps don’t care.

Strength is building at the smallest end of the market.

Are traders missing what’s really leading?

👉https://t.co/DU20X0oN27

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

Breadth update

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

Breadth isn’t breaking — it’s expanding.

Net New Highs for NYSE + NASDAQ just hit 7% — the strongest reading since Nov ’24.

More stocks are hitting 52-week highs than lows. That’s fuel, not friction.

👉https://t.co/QE2xlGKBOo

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

Hard to buy into a commodity supercycle when the trend is down on multiple timeframes.

The pattern mirrors 2011–2014... strength capped, weakness exposed, trend still trapped.

Until that changes, the higher probability is repetition, not revolution. Humans have a tendency to run the same playbook repeatedly.

Tell me I'm wrong?

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

S&P 500 20-Day Breadth Thrust Update: The 20-Day Breadth Thrust signal triggered on May 12, 2025, when more than 55% of S&P 500 components hit 20-day highs on the same day.

That surge in participation marked a clear shift in behavior and has historically signaled the start of powerful bull market phases.

We are now 101 trading days into the current breadth thrust regime, which runs for a full 252 trading days or roughly one year. That means the signal is still active and only about 40% complete.

Since the May 12 trigger:

S&P 500: +15.3%
Average post-thrust gain at day 100: +6.4%

This cycle has already outpaced most historical thrusts in both strength and trajectory.

Participation remains broad, and leadership is rotating within strength rather than away from it.

That’s exactly the kind of internal health that sustains a bull market.

Across 37 historical thrusts since 2003, the S&P 500 has been higher 100% of the time one year later, with an average 12-month gain of +16.5%.

When more than half the S&P 500 is making new short-term highs together, it reflects synchronized buying across sectors. That alignment has always been the foundation of strong bull markets.

We are 101 days into a 252-day breadth thrust regime, and the signal remains firmly in play.

Participation is broad, returns are above average, and trend structure is holding strong.

If history is a guide, this is not the end of the run.

It is the middle of a larger expansion phase with plenty of road ahead.

This is not a late-stage rally. It is a healthy, high-energy advance that continues to define the bull market of 2025.

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

ETF Coal Mine Composite Update: The ETF Coal Mine Composite just hit 93.8, one of the strongest readings of the entire cycle and firmly inside the All Clear Zone.

This composite tracks eight of the market’s most risk-sensitive areas: Semiconductors, Small Caps, Transports, Biotech, Homebuilders, Banks, Retail, and Steel. When these groups trend together, it signals real conviction under the surface.

Right now, all eight ETFs are trading above their 200-day averages, and most have rising slopes. The Trend Position Score is 100.0, and the Trend Direction Score is 87.5. That alignment marks the sweet spot of a healthy bull market.

This is the same structure we saw in 2013, 2017, and 2021 when participation expanded and volatility stayed contained.

Historically, readings above 90 have aligned with broad risk-on conditions and strong forward returns. Levels below 45 have flagged trouble ahead.

Today’s message is simple. The internal engine is running hot. Leadership is broad. Cyclicals and speculative areas are all moving higher together.

Until this composite slips back below 60, the market remains in an All Clear regime.

The canaries are singing. The path of least resistance is higher.

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

Calm tape... Strong trend.

The S&P 500 has gone 31 straight sessions without a ±1 % move, the longest stretch since 2020.

Volatility’s gone missing while price grinds higher... Calm isn’t weakness, it’s control.

👉https://t.co/sCwXFYqJUQ

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridgex]

Bulls in bull markets 😂

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

We just hit 100... First time for 2025

[Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge]

✅ 7 for 8 Bullish
⚠️ Regime: Bull Market, Under Review

The checklist finally blinked.

Global participation just slipped to its weakest level since August.

Breadth rolling over. Volatility jumped. Risk appetite faded.

The bull trend is still alive, but it’s being tested for the first time in months.

I break down exactly what changed, what held up, and what comes next.

If you track this checklist each week, you need to read this one.

It’s free every week... no paywall, no fluff, just data.

Sign up here👉https://t.co/9fpj33clCJ