Y’all cooking if you followed :)
Looking to swing this short all the way back toward the lows.
Main level to reclaim is the 3w vah at 69.2k, which would confirm a large failed auction above the balance
$BTC
This is my plan on $NQ and $ES which I speak for weeks, I bet on a big dump, the R:R is absolutely insane and if it hits TP; it will be the best trades of my career
If $NQ and $ES will dump so agressive, what will happen to shitcoins $BTC or $ETH?
Invalidation= new highs
$CRDO this year at this time is a swing trade. I’ll be out of it this month.
$CRDO Q3 was straight fire: • Record $407M revenue (52% QoQ, over 200% YoY) • 68.6% gross margins (+480bps) • Operating profit exploded ~375%
Management called it the most accelerated growth phase in company history — all driven by AI infrastructure connectivity for the hyperscalers.
Still only trading around 22X forward earnings with 20%+ growth baked in for years. The recent dip was unfair as hell.
Don’t be retail. When the numbers this clean show up on a red tape day, you buy.
We prosper together.
#CRDO #AI
$BTC Execution plan for today
1st I am looking for another drive of the lows prefferably into New York A.M. Session
Price should bounce from this area due to Daily FVG + channel lows.
I expect first rejection at 72 641 then eventually to take all the liquidity from 74.9k
$BTC update:
Structural setups still in play.
But, weak expansion from mid-point time cycle low on 20th Feb. However, not the main time cycle low I am monitoring to form bias on money flow.
Price level $63.3k was then hit and held candle body closes on 4 hr and daily.
$64k exactly held as floor on daily.
Monitoring 2 main paths for structural based trades as shown.
c. 7th March (+/- 3Days) is main time confluence I am monitoring for next longs.
My current bias is any positions taken from 63.3k can be held risk free (SL at BE) as if we see those levels again by 7 march I would be expecting new lows of at least 61.3k and ideally sub 60k
Q: Do we need to go sub 60k by 7th March?
A: No - simply ideal.
In the absence of structural trades,
this would be ideal for key level of price
meeting a key level in time.
$SOL | Filled
Take profits whenever you are satisified. I am gradually trimming as it was quite a big sized trade for me.
Will be looking to add back on any dips down to 194-195 if given.
https://t.co/I9YVsUjcar
$BTC | Long Position Update
I am still long on $BTC & Nothing has changed. We printed Close to 5B in less than a week. The only time we have seen big mints like this is when we are on the verge of impulses.
My thesis is that we are taking out leverage into the monthly close. As we are seeing the greater narrative flip biases, I think pushing upwards over the next few weeks is likely. This might be the last pullback we get before creating a cycle top.
I already went through the stats before but I think its relevant to do so again:
Cycle 1 lasted: 357 Days before topping after halving
Cycle 2 lasted: 525 Days before topping after halving
Cycle 3 lasted: 546 Days before topping after halving
Cycle 4 lasted: 490 Days currently
You can see that each cycle is slightly longer than the next, a pattern. Meaning that in theory if BTC follows the same pattern this cycle - We have 1 & a half months left approximately before we start getting to the "Top zone". Although my estimates for the top are VERY close, I think its important to observe this subtle dynamic here. As being topped now would mean we topped at day 476 having a shorter cycle than previous ones.
Not only that, but BTC has that CME Gap above which I keep banging on about and the reason why its because we have had a 98% fill rate since 16K, so for BTC not fill this gap, it would mean that we are in the 1-2% minority of the most unluckiest mother fuckers on the planet. Not filling the CME gap would be like someone with 1:99 odds of surviving a terminal illness, they're probably going to die, and if not, it’s a miracle.
Its not stubbornness, its completely calculated and sticking the the plan. Invalidation of upside would be completely breaking below 100K & maintaining below. At the moment BTC needs to hold 106-107K... lose that an we are probably getting stopped and will look for re-entries.
Conviction is Key when sentiment is in doubt.
https://t.co/D9RIYSgm1x