Intel (INTC) Note Takeaways:
•Big Raise for Foundry Capacity
◦Intel 3: +80% (mainly Ireland) by end-2028 (vs end-2026)
◦18A: +100% (Arizona) by end-2028 (vs end-2026)
◦14A: Strong ramp in Oregon
•Capacity Drivers:
◦Robust server CPU demand
◦18A yields improving to ~80%, EMIB to 90-95% in recent weeks
◦Major U.S. fabless on pipeline
◦Major smartphone maker to start with 18A-P (tablets/PCs) + committed to 14A capacity
◦TeraFab project late-2028
•18A Capacity Shift:
Pathfinder Lake volume wafer capacity → Clearwater Forest (CWF) starts 3Q26, with full volume 1Q27 (expected to be ~1/3 of total 18A wafers)
•Financial Matrix:
◦IFS to turn profitable in 2H27
◦DCAI revenue +39% YoY in 2026E / +30% in 2027E
•Nvidia Collaboration: Likely includes x86 CPUs → PC (RTX + Nova Lake in 2027) → Server CPUs (Intel x86 IP + foundry) in late 2028
•TP Raised to $135
Congratulations to my good friend Jensen Huang on being awarded an Honorary Doctorate in Science and Technology from @CarnegieMellon University for his outstanding contributions to accelerated computing and Artificial Intelligence. It was my honor to place upon him his doctoral hood this morning. @intel and @nvidia are collaborating to develop exciting new products!
@Alex_Intel_ Probably that's why TSMC didn't buy the latest EUV machines from ASML. Trump told ASML not to sell to TSMC; its not that TSMC didn't want them :)