Amer Halawi

Global financial market strategy: global macro, equities & cross-assets. Head of Research, Al Ramz Capital | CEO Series host. Views are personal.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Global macro, equities, cross-assets.

What is changing, why it matters, where risk is building.

Selective swing trader. Liquid names only.

Defined risk before every entry. Cut the losers. Keep the winners.

No greed. No fear. No ego — Only process.

Signal over noise.

Views are personal, for information only, not investment advice.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

bitcoin:native: It did not take long to break $82,000 to the upside. Another world opens from here — uncluttered chart to $97,500. #TechnicalAnalysis

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Long $MSTR is working well now, as the best expression of the Bitcoin rebound.

Look for more upside upon breach and confirmation of $82k on $BTCUSD.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@markminervini The true secret of success 🌟

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Have been watching a rebound in $SNDK. My trigger yesterday was the upside breach of SMA10 at the open. My tailwind was the flow from the index inclusion. Now watching a break over 1,800.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@PeterLBrandt usually puts it simply and effectively.

Stellar move in $MSTR yesterday in twice volume. Playing a continuation from here.

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

A bear trap immediately followed by a spring board

This is not something to be taken casually

This can be powerful
$BTC

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@PeterLBrandt Impressive indeed. Maybe fundamentally supported by tokenized trading. Certainly technically encouraging on a break above $82k. MSTR is a courageous way to embrace this move.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Gold is back on my radar. Strong conviction, largest position. H&S spells continuation rather than reversal, for now. Must stay above $4,325 which is the neckline and the SMA100.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Hawkish Fed. Dollar up. Curve flatter. Whipsaw day. Still onside. Rebound underway. SPCX constructive. Gold back on the SMA100 — betting on continuation.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@markminervini Hike or no hike tomorrow is the wrong dilemma in my opinion. Regardless of what happens tomorrow, what will yields do? The path of least resistance is up, for now…

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@Barchart Continuation or reversal? The two are possible at this stage. Which direction will you trade?

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Where should investors look for warning signs in global markets?

In my conversation with Dan Murphy on CNBC’s Access Middle East, I discuss why bond yields deserve close attention amid concerns over a potential market bubble, and what continues to support Gulf markets and economies.

Watch the full interview below.

https://t.co/dTvekEpEqe

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Bessent / House of cards…

[Jeffrey Gundlach @TruthGundlach]

Bessent: “I am the house now. Bet against the house if you want.”

They’re betting against the house.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@JC_ParetsX A beautiful long term cup-with-handle built over ten years, now taking its full bloom! Poetic. We have exceeded my initial target but I agree that Gold has room to move further. Thanks for sharing!

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@markminervini Thank you for your timely comment, Mark. I really like how the stock bucked the trend of a choppy market for the past two weeks, after a good advance. Today at the open looked like the right time for me to enter this trade. More to go on a break above $150.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@GlobeLetter Lose the Strait and you lose your super power status. Lose the latter and you confirm systemic inflation, unleash the yield breakout and the debasement trade. And then you really make history.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@citrinowicz The global super power now needs to prove to the world that it still is “super”. This is becoming a long and costly shot. Hormuz is not such an insignificant pond.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

@oriental_ghost This is a good summary.

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

US equity futures are deeper in the red as yields soar and oil prices grind up. We were just stopped on our two remaining havens - Crypto and Gold. More work needed to reclaim uptrend. Caution warranted until further notice!

[Amer Halawi @HalawiAmer]

Yesterday was a pause: slow tape, thin volume, a downward grind. The market is still digesting higher-for-longer rates, a louder global military standoff, and liar’s-poker geopolitics while it awaits the next catalyst. UST Bonds now yield more than they did on 19 Aug, when Scott Bessent doubled the buyback program — another reminder that official interventions rarely fix structural problems. We shifted from cash to light hard-asset exposure with tight stops, a way to engage the stronger names with limited downside if they fail. Cautious for now.