We used to have insider detection scattered across every market page.
Now it’s time to bring it all together.
Presenting Insider Detection 🕵️♂️- one place to track concentrated bets, unusual size, and fresh wallets across all markets.
1/x 👇🏼
Interesting result. I'd love to see the forecast traces and source attribution — especially whether the agent was using Polymarket, sportsbook odds, other prediction markets, or purely primary/news sources. Also curious whether the final probabilities go through any explicit calibration step before submission. Cool stuff!
@devjoshstevens Thanks! Is the Polymarket-specific indexing logic / handlers for deriving trades, positions and balances from the raw events open source as well, or is that internal?
@MiaAI_lab https://t.co/HRB7RwfHXs I think I made it work on a single one! works fine on my DGX Spark! can you check it out ? its my first one so not super sure if I got everything right @MiaAI_lab
Binance is arguably the world's largest crypto exchange.
Feb 2026: Polymarket lists a small 5-minute Bitcoin contract. Since then, Binance order flow spikes in the final seconds before settlement; prices revert soon after.
New paper with David Dai and Shihao Yu ( @ShihaoY ): Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets (https://t.co/L4fFsnXLhW)🧵
The finding, up front:
Traders push Bitcoin's price in the final seconds to decide the contract. That push makes the price less informative, yet Bitcoin's market more liquid. Market makers are largely insulated; ordinary traders lose $7.6M in two months.
NEW: @CharlesSchwab is entering prediction markets with yes/no S&P 500 options, partnering with @Cboe.
The brokerage joins Coinbase, Robinhood, Polymarket, and Kalshi in a fast-growing sector. (per WSJ)
We're excited to announce our exclusive partnership with Nasdaq Private Market.
Retail traders can now get exposure to private companies, one of the historically most profitable asset classes, exclusively through Polymarket.
Polymarket is partnering with blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis to help police its platform as prediction markets grapple with increased scrutiny over insider trading. https://t.co/GzPjKJSYbO
Today we're publishing new market integrity rules across our CFTC-regulated US exchange & DeFi platform — making clear what's prohibited, how we enforce rules, & how to report suspicious activity.
The World's Largest Prediction Market runs on transparency
https://t.co/dWr23zcki6
We're excited to announce 'The Situation Room' by Polymarket is coming to Washington, D.C.
The world's first bar dedicated to monitoring the situation. 🧵